Originally Posted by
Jedieb
I've seen all of the major speeches and I'm looking forward to tonight. For what it's worth from me, it's been a very good convention. The media has been running down practically every "divided party" story it could find but I think the 2 Clinton speeches have done much to quell that story. The inevitable convention bounce is now starting to show. I expect it to continue but just as quickly drop a bit with McCain's VP announcement on Friday and the RNC next week. Unless the Republicans have a horrendous convention next week, the two candidates should be back close to even by the end of next week.
During this convention the Republicans have been attacking as often as possible. They're going to keep up the "Celebrity" attacks. One of the things the Republicans know how to do is to take a candidate's strength and turn it against him. They used Kerry's military service against him in 04 and their going to use Obama's popularity and oratory gifts against him. The latest RNC talking points include criticisms of the set he's using for the speech tonight. The columns, the stage, it's a coronation, blah, blah, blah. Never mind that the set looks very similar to the one Bush spoke on in 04, the attack is what matters.
I'm curious to see what the Dems will do next week. Will they hammer away with surrogates, ads, or the candidates themselves? I think they need to have Biden hammering away starting Monday morning. Start spending that war chests and flood the airwaves with ads while the RNC convention plays itself out. Sit on your hands during next week and you'll be sitting back in the Senate in January.
I wonder what effect Gustav may have on the RNC convention next week? It's churning towards the Gulf Coast and could make landfall next Tues. What will the effect of seeing another hurricane slam into that area have? It'll certainly suck up media coverage, but who will that hurt? Will memories of the Bush administration, FEMA, and "Heck of job Brownie" hurt McCain? Or will a efficient response by the Federal government and VP prospect Jindal be a boost for McCain? Jindal is a long shot and my money is on Romney, but he's gotten a lot face time with McCain on the campaign trail and a good job next week would reflect well on McCain. It could end up meaning nothing at all but both parties are probably watching the Weather Channel right now.
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