Box office Contest week 13

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here is 13's choices

0 THE VILLAGE $0
0 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY $0
0 THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE $0
0 HAROLD AND KUMAR GO TO WHITE CASTLE $0
0 I, ROBOT $0
0 THUNDERBIRDS $0
0 SPIDER-MAN 2 $0
0 CATWOMAN $0
0 A CINDERELLA STORY $0
0 ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY $0

[Marcus Telcontar]

BOM for me?

[CMJ]

1. The Village - 64.04M
2. The Bourne Supremecy - 26.61
3. The Manchurian Candidate - 24.95M
4. Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle - 14.10M
5. I, Robot - 9.54M
6. Spider-Man 2 - 9.34M
7. Thunderbirds - 8.08M
8. Catwoman - 6.24M
9. A Cinderella Story - 4.52M
10. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - 3.55M

[Jedi Master Carr]

You are going high on the Village I think it will do above 60 but have no clue how high it can go
here are my guesses

1 THE VILLAGE $72.44
2 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY $25.77
3 THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE $23.56
4 HAROLD AND KUMAR GO TO WHITE CASTLE $12.11
5 I, ROBOT $9.66
6 THUNDERBIRDS $8.77
7 SPIDER-MAN 2 $8.64
8 CATWOMAN $7.01
9 A CINDERELLA STORY $4.44
10 ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY $3.99

[ReaperFett]

1 The Village 59.99
2 The Bourne Supremacy 24.99
3 The Manchurian Candidate 23.99
4 Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle 14.99
5 I, Robot 9.99
6 Spider-Man 2 9.49
7 Catwoman 6.49 CRASH AND BURN :D :lol
8 Thunderbirds 5.99
9 A Cinderella Story 3.99
10 Anchorman 3.98

[Master Yoghurt]

1 THE VILLAGE $59.49
2 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY $24.82
3 THE MANCHURIAN CANDIDATE $15.46
4 HAROLD AND KUMAR GO TO WHITE CASTLE $9.55
5 I, ROBOT $8.68
6 SPIDER-MAN 2 $8.50
7 CATWOMAN $6.22 <img src=http://www.thegjo.com/smileys/sleep.gif>
8 A CINDERELLA STORY $4.95
9 ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY $3.48
10 THUNDERBIRDS $3.33 <img src=http://www.thegjo.com/smileys/lmao.gif>

[Master Yoghurt]

Friday estimates

1. The Village - 20.8m NEW
2. The Bourne Supremacy - 7.5m -59.31%
3. The Manchurian Candidate - 6.1m NEW
4. I, Robot - 3.0m -56.52%
5. Spider-Man 2 - 2.4m -46.30%
6. Harold & Kumar got to White Castle - 2.0m NEW
7. Catwoman - 2.0m -67.17%
8. A Cinderella Story - 1.6m -41.79%
9. Anchorman - 1.0m -56.35%
10. Thunderbirds - 1.0m NEW

Thunderbird, a $70M production turns to be a bomb of epic proportions. Studio heads are likely to roll on this one! Harrald & Kumar does terrible, worse than I thought. Manchurian candidate does lukewarm business. Catwoman expectedly drops like a rock. Bad drop for bourne supremacy, but it has a solid first week as foundation, so it might not be that after all. No big surprises or anything special except..

The Village! Great first day result there. Still has a shot at 60M. Although, the WOM is terrible right now, so it might have a bad weekend multiplier. Nevertheless, its yet another 50M+ opening. We seem to get those every week now :)

[Marcus Telcontar]

HAHAHA @ Thunderbirds!

HAHAHA @ Catwoman!

[Jedi Master Carr]

Thunderbirds is a huge bomb, that really hurts Universal. The Village will do over 50 but the WOM might hurt it. I liked it but I suspect a lot of people will be disapointed.

[Master Yoghurt]

Yes, the first reactions to The Village have been fairly negative. Lots of people got disappointed. I think it will fall hard next weekend. It will pass 100M with little effort, but should have difficulty doing better than 150.

Good thing I looked at the crowd reports for Thunderbird, or my score would have really crashed. Although, Harald & Kumar is probably going to mess up my score this weekend anyway. Thunderbird reminds me of Pluto Nash. The concept is narrower than a purple striped elephant dressed in a clown suit dancing macarena inside a phone booth in the city of Tokyo.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Except everybody knew Pluto Nash was going to crash before it debuted. Thuderbirds nobody knew.

[Master Yoghurt]

Except everybody knew Pluto Nash was going to crash before it debuted

Well, not everybody. I remember people back then were predicting $20 million opening :)


Thunderbirds nobody knew

.. and least of all, Universal it seems :lol How they gave greenlights for that kind of budget is a mystery to me. By looking at the trailer, you can see it cost some money to make. What I can also see, its directed at kids, more specifically the segment watching crap like spykids 3D and cat in the hat. Difference being, this one did not klick. I guess it fell under the radar or somehow did not appeal to those.

[Master Yoghurt]

Saturday estimates
The Village $16,950,000 ( -16.9% )
The Bourne Supremacy $9,256,000 ( +23.4% )
The Manchurian Candidate $7,600,000 ( +25.4% )
Spider-Man 2 $3,539,000 ( +39.6% )
Catwoman $2,378,000 ( +18.8% )
A Cinderella Story $1,775,000 ( +9.2% )
Harold and Kumar Go To White Castle $1,725,000 ( -11.1% )
Fahrenheit 9/11 $1,239,000 ( +39.5% )
Anchorman $1,170,000 ( +11.5% )
Thunerbirds $1,040,000 ( +13% )
The Notebook $1,002,000 ( +16% )

A -16.9% drop on a saturday suggests The Village is frontloaded and got some terrible WOM. Should be interesting to see how much it drops next weekend.



Weekend estimates
The Village $50,813,000 (NEW) PTA=$13,622 Total=$50,813,000
The Bourne Supremacy $23,421,000 ( -55.4% ) PTA=$7,365 Total=$98,083,000
The Manchurian Candidate $20,200,000 (NEW) PTA=$7,045 Total=$20,200,000
I, Robot $10,050,000 ( -53.7% ) PTA=$3,136 Total=$114,734,000
Spider-Man 2 $8,500,000 ( -43.4% ) PTA=$2,832 Total=$344,327,000
Catwoman $6,081,000 ( -63.6% ) PTA=$1,950 Total=$29,412,000
Harold and Kumar $5,150,000 (NEW) PTA=$2,412 Total=$5,150,000
A Cinderella Story $4,691,000 ( -40.1% PTA=$1,996 Total=$40,145,000
Anchorman $3,100,000 ( -55.6% ) PTA=$1,525 Total=$78,134,000
Fahrenheit 9/11 $3,060,000 ( -35.7% ) PTA=$2,514 Total=$109,392,000
The Notebook $2,675,000 ( -37.3% ) PTA=$1,776 Total=$68,244,000
Thunderbirds $2,654,000 (NEW) PTA=$1,290 Total=$2,654,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

That is worse drop than Harry Potter had back in June (of course that movie was frontloaded more because of the combo of the midnight showings and die hards rushing out first day to see it, The villiage doesn't have that) About Thunderbirds yeah I see Spy Kids rip off from the trailer (the first Spy kids at least was a good fun movie) this looked awful.

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend actuals

1. The Village $50,746,142 - 3,730 - $13,604.
2. The Bourne Supremacy Uni. $24,167,895 -54%
3. The Manchurian Candidate Par. $20,018,620
4. I, Robot Fox $10,355,190 -52.3%
5. Spider-Man 2 Sony $8,613,693 -42.6%
6. Catwoman WB $6,445,488 -61.5%
7. Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle NL $5,480,378
8. A Cinderella Story WB $4,868,485 -37.9%
9. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy DW $3,132,946 -55.1%
10. Fahrenheit 9/11 Lions $3,109,038 -34.7%
11. Thunderbirds Uni. $2,766,810

[Master Yoghurt]

Harald and Thunderbird really messed up our scores :x

Weekend Accuracy Table
Master Yoghurt 83.10%
Marcus 70.85
CMJ 70.52
ReaperFett 69.58
Jedi Master Carr 67.76

Weekend Winners
1. Master Yoghurt - 15 points
2. Marcus - 10
3. CMJ - 5

Movie Order Points
Everyone gets 5 points for having the top 3 right

[Master Yoghurt]

Season Scoretable

Position - Name - Streak (5 best weeks) - Bonus Points - Total Score

1. Master Yoghurt: 91.25 - 94.43 - 89.25 - 90.48 - 91.21 (+315) = 4881.2
2. ReaperFett: 92.42 - 90.83 - 90.16 - 90.23 - 88.67 (+275) = 4803.1
3. CMJ: 82.23 - 91.22 - 90.81 - 86.04 - 83.50 (+155) = 4493
4. Marcus: 84.84 - 83.76 - 83.93 - 88.31 - 89.46 (+155) = 4458
5. Jedi Master Carr: 71.13 - 86.15 - 88.28 - 78.70 - 77.42 (+125) = 4141.8
6. Ryan Pode: 61.30 - 40.79 - 49.02 (+40) = 1551.1
7. Rasha Vill: 75.88 - 70.34 (+5) = 1467.2
8. Asudak Jasra: 67.07 - 77.45 (+5) = 1450.2

[Marcus Telcontar]

!!!!!!!!

That's such a terrible opening for Chunderbirds. Why oh why was that movie made?