Box office Contest Week 12

[Master Yoghurt]

0 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY $0.0
0 I, ROBOT $0.0
0 CATWOMAN $0.0
0 SPIDER-MAN 2 $0.0
0 ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY $0.0
0 A CINDERELLA STORY $0.0
0 FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $0.0
0 THE NOTEBOOK $0.0
0 KING ARTHUR $0.0
0 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $0.0

New openers:
Bourne Supremacy 2,900 theaters
Catwoman 2,925 theaters

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think the Bourne Supremacy will be #1 easily this weekend. One the Bourne Identity was the #1 DVD (rental wise) a few years ago, I think this could be one of those sequels that out does the original. And Well Catwoman look god awful.

[Master Yoghurt]

I am thinking maybe 35 million for The Bourne Supremacy and 18 million for catwoman.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think Bourne could make more 40 ish was what I was thinking.

[Master Yoghurt]

Well, maybe youre right. Apparently there was this marketing campaign where a movie ticket for the sequel was included for every sold copy of the Jason Bourne DVD. Im unsure how much impact that will have though. Concidering the success of the first, I am sure it will open bigger than the original, but the question is how much?

The current marketing campaign (trailers and general media coverage) has been fairly low gear from what I can see. Its not as highly anticipated as for example I, Robot which had a much higher awareness level. This one seems to slip under the radar somewhat.

[CMJ]

1. Bourne Supremacy - 36.69M
2. I, Robot - 25.98M
3. Catwoman - 20.20M
4. Spider-Man 2 - 14.37M
5. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - 7.35M
6. A Cinderella Story - 6.82M
7. Fahrenheit 9/11 - 5.05M
8. The Notebook - 4.86M
9. King Arthur - 3.86M
10. Dodgeball : A True Underdog Story - 2.51M

[Master Yoghurt]

Looks like reasonable predictions there, CMJ :)

Here is what the 'experts' say:

Weekend Warrior
1. Bourne Supremacy - 40.0M
2. I, Robot - 27.0M
3. Catwoman - 16.2M
4. Spider-Man 2 - 13.0M
5. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - 7.3M
6. A Cinderella Story - 7.8M
7. Fahrenheit 9/11 - 4.3M
8. The Notebook - 4.1M
9. King Arthur - 3.5M
10. Dodgeball : A True Underdog Story - 2.3M

Box Office Report
1. Bourne Supremacy - 36.0M
2. I, Robot - 25.0M
3. Catwoman - 20.0M
4. Spider-Man 2 - 14.0M
5. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - 7.3M
6. A Cinderella Story - 6.8M
7. Fahrenheit 9/11 - 5.0M
8. The Notebook - 4.8M
9. King Arthur - 3.8M
10. Dodgeball : A True Underdog Story - 2.5M

Box Office Guru
1. Bourne Supremacy - 30.0M
2. I, Robot - 26.0M
3. Catwoman - 21.0M
4. Spider-Man 2 - 13.5M
5. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - 7.5M
6. A Cinderella Story - 6.0M
7. Fahrenheit 9/11 - 4.5M

Lee's Movie Info
1. Bourne Supremacy - 28.2M
2. I, Robot - 22.7M
3. Catwoman - 18.2M
4. Spider-Man 2 - 13.4M
5. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - 6.6M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Lee Movies are morons This will make 35 at least. I think it could make low 40's, the DVD that was released last year was huge it was the most rented DVD of the year. SO I think it will do very well.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY $48.32
2 I, ROBOT $22.01
3 CATWOMAN $17.54
4 SPIDER-MAN 2 $15.77
5 ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY $8.22
6 A CINDERELLA STORY $6.99
7 FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $6.01
8 THE NOTEBOOK $5.88
9 KING ARTHUR $4.44
10 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $3.37

[Master Yoghurt]

1. THE BOURNE SUPREMACY $47.5
2. I, ROBOT $23.43
3. CATWOMAN $16.48
4. SPIDER-MAN 2 $13.52
5. A CINDERELLA STORY $7.35
6. ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY $6.95
7. FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $4.75
8. THE NOTEBOOK $4.48
9. KING ARTHUR $3.72
10 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $2.47

[ReaperFett]

1 The Bourne Supremacy 44.99
2 I, Robot 24.99
3 Catwoman 16.99 CRASH AND BURN! :D
4 Spider-Man 2 13.99
5 Anchorman 6.99
6 A Cinderella Story 5.99
7 Fahrenheit 9/11 4.99
8 The Notebook 3.99
9 King Arthur 3.49
10 Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story 2.49

[Master Yoghurt]

Friday estimates

1 THE BOURNE SUPREMACY 3,165 $19,000,000 -- / $6,003 $19,000,000
2 I, ROBOT 3,420 $6,871,000 51.7% / $2,009 $80,266,000
3 CATWOMAN 3,117 $6,250,000 -- / $2,005 $6,250,000
4 SPIDER-MAN 2 3,753 $4,424,000 64.7% / $1,179 $317,877,000
5 A CINDERELLA STORY 2,625 $2,736,000 48.4% / $1,042 $24,510,000
6 ANCHORMAN: THE LEGEND OF RON BURGUNDY 2,936 $2,291,000 42.9% / $780 $66,376,000
7 THE NOTEBOOK 2,003 $1,453,000 40.4% / $725 $59,503,000
8 FAHRENHEIT 9/11 1,855 $1,349,000 28.7% / $727 $99,705,000
9 KING ARTHUR 2,104 $913,000 -5.3% / $434 $43,047,000
10 SHREK 2 1,559 $655,000 23% / $420 $427,780,000
11 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY 1,373 $626,000 21.4% / $456 $107,939,000

Spectacular opening for Bourne Supremacy! :eek

[Jedi Master Carr]

Heh I was on to something. Actually I looked in on the mojo forums before I went to bed and saw the crowd reports I changed it right then. It looks 50 for Bourne I knew it would be because the first one was such a huge hit on DVD that people went to see this one. Also it looks like we will have three weeks of 50 million openings because the Village looks like it will do that without a problem.

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend estimates

1. The Bourne Supremacy - $53,520,000 - $53,520,000
2. I, Robot - $22,050,000 - -57.7% - $95,445,000
3. Catwoman - $17,155,000 - $17,155,000
4. Spider-Man 2 - $15,000,000 - -39.5% - $328,453,000
5. A Cinderella Story - $8,040,000 - -41% - $28,814,000
6. Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy - $7,100,000 - -48.7% - $71,185,000
7. Fahrenheit 9/11 - $5,000,000 - -30.3% - $103,356,000
8. The Notebook - $4,450,000 - -21.3% - $62,500,000
9. King Arthur - $3,064,000 - -57.2% - $45,198,000
10. Shrek 2 - $2,400,000 - -25.7% - $429,525,000
11.Dodgeball - $1,900,000 - -50.2% - $109,200,000
12. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $1,725,000 - -37.5% - $241,818,000
13.De-Lovely - $1,700,000 - +13.8% - $5,022,000
14. The Terminal - $1,700,000 - -46.2% - $74,542,000
15. Napoleon Dynamite - $1,625,000 - +116.5% - $6,534,000

[Master Yoghurt]

Originally posted by Jedi Master Carr
Heh I was on to something. Actually I looked in on the mojo forums before I went to bed and saw the crowd reports I changed it right then

I did the same thing, I saw the crowd reports and thought to myself "holy crap! Maybe Carr is right!"

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL we both slightly undepredicted but its all good I would have really underpredicted in the first place if I hadn't check the crowd reports.

[ReaperFett]

Shall we laugh at an opening weekend list?


Spider Man $114,844,116
Spider Man 2 (Skewed since it opened on a Wednesday) $88,156,227
X2 $85,558,731
Hulk $62,128,420
X-Men $54,471,475
Batman Forever $52,784,433
Van Helsing $51,748,040
Batman Returns $45,687,711
Batman & Robin $42,872,606
Batman $40,489,746
Daredevil $40,310,419
Blade II $32,528,016
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles $25,398,367
Hellboy $23,172,440
The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen $23,075,892
Dick Tracy $22,543,911
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles II $20,030,473
Catwoman $17,155,000


:lol

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah Dick Tracy beat it and that opened like 14 years ago that shows a lot about this piece of Junk. I am glad it crashed at burned, it will make Warner wake up (I think they already have though) about there comic films.

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend actuals

1 The Bourne Supremacy NEW $52.52
2 I, Robot -58.36% $21.73
3 Catwoman NEW $16.73
4 Spider-Man 2 -39.37% $15.02
5 A Cinderella Story -42.74% $7.8
6 Anchorman -49.67% $6.97
7 Fahrenheit 9/11 -34.09% $4.76
8 The Notebook -24.44% $4.27
9 King Arthur -57.55% $3.04
10 Shrek 2 -28.20% $2.32

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend Accuracy Table
Master Yoghurt 91.21%
ReaperFett 88.67%
CMJ 83.50%
Jedi Master Carr 77.42%

Weekend Winners
1. Master Yoghurt - 15 points
2. ReaperFett - 10
3. CMJ - 5

Movie Order Points
Master Yoghurt (top 10) - 30 points
ReaperFett (top 3) - 5 points
CMJ (top 3) - 5 points
Jedi Master Carr (top 3) - 5 points

[Master Yoghurt]

Season Scoretable

Position - Name - Streak (5 best weeks) - Bonus Points - Total Score

1. Master Yoghurt: 91.25 - 94.43 - 89.25 - 90.48 - 91.21 (+295) = 4861.2
2. ReaperFett: 92.42 - 90.83 - 90.16 - 90.23 - 88.67 (+275) = 4798.1
3. CMJ: 82.23 - 91.22 - 90.81 - 86.04 - 83.50 (+145) = 4483
4. Marcus: 84.84 - 83.76 - 83.93 - 88.31 - 89.46 (+140) = 4443
5. Jedi Master Carr: 71.13 - 86.15 - 88.28 - 78.70 - 77.42 (+120) = 4136.8
6. Ryan Pode: 61.30 - 40.79 - 49.02 (+40) = 1551.1
7. Rasha Vill: 75.88 - 70.34 (+5) = 1467.2
8. Asudak Jasra: 67.07 - 77.45 (+5) = 1450.2