Box office Contest week 9 4th of July weekend, picks due Thursday 9AM

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay I am posting this now since Spiderman 2 comes out Wed.

0 Spiderman 2 $0
0 FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $
0 WHITE CHICKS $0
0 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $0
0 THE TERMINAL $0
0 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $0
0 THE NOTEBOOK $0
0 SHREK 2 $0
0 TWO BROTHERS $0
0 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $0

[Master Yoghurt]

With only one movie opening.. this looks like a boring box office weekend.. hahaha.. yeah right! :lol

Opening wide in 4000 theaters, and being perhaps the most anticipated movie of the year, one thing is for sure, Spiderman II is going to bring in some major bucks.. but how much? Can it beat its record breaking predecessor?

Edit: Unless I am mistaken, its 5 day results for all movies. Wednesday 30th June to sunday 4th of July. When do people in America get time off from work this week btw? Curious about that.

[Garret Treborn]

Spider-Man 2 is going to set some records for sure. I'm not sure if it will beat the predecessor's gross of 114million for the first three days though.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well it won't beat the three day thing since it opens on Wed. I think people get time off here on Friday, some maybe Monday. Yeah the 4th fell on odd day this year.

[CMJ]

1. Spider-Man 2 - 136.02M
2. Fahrenheit 9/11 - 22.50M
3. White Chicks - 13.52M
4. Dodgeball : A True Underdog Story - 12.53M
5. The Terminal - 11.08M
6. The Notebook - 10.52M
7. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - 8.84M
8. Shrek 2 - 8.55M
9. Two Brothers - 5.52M
10. Garfield - 4.56M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think you might be about right CMJ, I am going to figure out mine later mostly because I am not sure about the rest of the top 10. Some people think that SM could do 200 for the six days (they are counting Monday) not sure if that will happen or not, I think it will do like 150 for the six days at the most, IMO.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 Spiderman 2 $151.34
2 FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $25.33
0 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $13.04
0 THE TERMINAL $12.11
0 WHITE CHICKS $11.99
0 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $10.14
0 THE NOTEBOOK $10.01
0 SHREK 2 $9.44
0 TWO BROTHERS $5.11
0 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $4.77

[Master Yoghurt]

1. SPIDERMAN 2 $148.45
2. FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $23.83
3. WHITE CHICKS $13.33
4. DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $13.62
5. THE NOTEBOOK $11.51
6. THE TERMINAL $11.15
7. HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $9.83
8. SHREK 2 $9.70
9. GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $6.10
10. TWO BROTHERS $4.91

[ReaperFett]

Think I'm too late, but I'll post anyway JIC.


1. SPIDERMAN 2 $149.99
2. FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $24.99
3. WHITE CHICKS $14.99
4. DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $13.99
5. THE NOTEBOOK $11.99
6. THE TERMINAL $10.99
7. HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $9.99
8. SHREK 2 $8.99
9. GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $5.99
10. TWO BROTHERS $4.99

[Master Yoghurt]

Youre were not too late I think, the numbers have not come out yet. Except spiderman estimated at 38M opening.

I will be offline for the evening, so if Jedi Master Carr could post the wednesday numbers, it would be great

[Jedi Master Carr]

that sounds about right, my five day guess though might be too high, it might do something like that more for the six day weekend. I will try to post actuals but I actually have to go out, I won't be back till tonight I guess I could do it then.

[Master Yoghurt]

Im back now. Here are wednesday numbers :)

Wednesday
1.SPIDERMAN 2 $40,442,604
2.FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $3,350,000 -11.5%
3.DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $1,806,197 -26.1%
4.THE NOTEBOOK $1,800,000 -14.7%
5.WHITE CHICKS $1,737,148 -15.3%
6.SHREK 2$1,224,214 -17.9%
7.HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $1,204,222 -22.8%
8.THE TERMINAL $1,154,977 -23.4%
9.GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $762,267 -28.2
10.TWO BROTHERS $641,555 -18.2

Thursday (estimates)
1. SPIDERMAN 2 $25,500,000
2. FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $3,500,000

[Master Yoghurt]

Originally posted by Jedi Master Carr
my five day guess though might be too high, it might do something like that more for the six day weekend.

For spiderman? I think my your, mine and everyones guess may be too low actually. It allready made about 65,9 million. It only needs to do 85 million during the 3 day weekend to go above the 150 checkpoint for 5 days..

I personally wish I said 160 for 5 days :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well it won't do very well for the 4th, generally during the 4th july weekend most movies do the worst on that day, it will probably do less on Sunday then it did yesterday. I think it depends on how frontloaded it is. If people rushed out to it like they have to other movies then it might do 140-150 for five days and 180 at the most for 6.

[ReaperFett]

SM2 arguably had the highest first day ever (Matrix Reloaded actually took in money for a 26 hour day).

[Master Yoghurt]

Well, I am just looking at thursday 25 million result, and think to myself I would be very surprised if it makes less than 150, weak sunday or not. If it makes more than 30 million on friday (very likely), I think its fairly safe to say its going to make more than 85 during the weekend. With a saturday boost to near 40 or in the high thirties at least, its hardly going to go below 85 for 3 days. It would then make more than 85 even with a $20 million sunday.

[Master Yoghurt]

Friday estimates
1. Spiderman 2 $31,760,000
2. Farenheit 9.11 $5,166,000
3. White Chicks: $3,256,000
4. Dodgeball $2,939,000
5. notebook $2,752,000
6. Terminal: $2,475,000
7. Shrek 2 $1,963,000
8. Harry Potter $1,934,000
9. Garfield $1,012,000
10. Two Brothers $948,000

[Master Yoghurt]

5-day
1 SPIDERMAN 2 $152.41
2 FAHRENHEIT 9/11 $23.05
3 WHITE CHICKS $12.07
4 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $11.64
5 THE NOTEBOOK $11.03
6 THE TERMINAL $10.31
7 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $8.44
8 SHREK 2 $8.39
9 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $4.55
10 TWO BROTHERS $3.94

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend Accuracy Table
CMJ: 90.81%
Jedi Master Carr: 88.28%
Master Yoghurt: 86.33%
ReaperFett: 84.65%

Weekend Winners (bonus weekend)
1. CMJ - 30 points
2. Jedi Master Carr - 20
3. Master Yoghurt - 15
4. ReaperFett - 10

Movie Order Points
Master Yoghurt (top 10) - 30 points
ReaperFett (top 10) - 30 points
CMJ (top 3) - 5 points

[Master Yoghurt]

Season Scoretable
Position - Name - Streak (5 best weeks) - Bonus Points - Total Score

1. ReaperFett: 87.14 - 85.17 - 92.42 - 90.83 - 90.16 (+235) = 4692.2
2. Master Yoghurt: 91.25 - 85.56 - 88.20 - 94.43 - 86.33 (+210) = 4667.7
3. Marcus: 84.84 - 83.76 - 83.93 - 88.31 - 89.46 (+125) = 4428
4. CMJ: 82.23 - 77.18 - 77.32 - 91.22 - 90.81 (+120) = 4307.6
5. Madmartigan: 73.07 - 74.89 - 83.84 - 70.65 - 88.38 (+40) = 3948.3
6. Jedi Master Carr: 71.13 - 67.50 - 69.31 - 86.15 - 88.28 (+100) = 3923.7
7. Ryan Pode: 61.30 - 40.79 - 49.02 (+40) = 1551.1
8. Rasha Vill: 75.88 - 70.34 (+5) = 1467.2
9. Asudak Jasra: 67.07 - 77.45 (+5) = 1450.2

[Master Yoghurt]

Good going CMJ! Also nice one of Jedi Master Carr, you keep improving.

Here is accuracy of our weekend winner (CMJ):

Spiderman 2 - (136.02 / 152.41) -- Accuracy: 89.25%
Fahrenheit 9/11 - (22.5 / 23.05) -- Accuracy: 97.61%
White Chicks - (13.52 / 12.07) -- Accuracy: 87.99%
Dodgeball - (12.53 / 11.64) -- Accuracy: 92.35%
The Terminal - (11.08 / 10.31) -- Accuracy: 92.53%
The Notebook - (10.52 / 11.03) -- Accuracy: 95.38%
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - (8.84 / 8.44) -- Accuracy: 95.26%
Shrek 2 - (8.55 / 8.39) -- Accuracy: 98.09%
Garfield - (4.56 / 4.55) -- Accuracy: 99.78%
Two Brothers - (5.52 / 3.94) -- Accuracy: 59.90%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 90.81%

New Release: 89.25%
Still in Theater: 90.99%

[Master Yoghurt]

I just remembered this was a bonus weekend. I will fix the scores now..

Fixed :)