Box office Contest weekend 7

[Jedi Master Carr]

Ok here is the contest for Week 7, I will let Yoghurt put the winners on the other thread or I will do it later tonight.

0 THE TERMINAL $0
0 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $0
0 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $0
0 AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS $0
0 SHREK 2 $0
0 THE CHRONICLES OF RIDDICK $0
0 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $0
0 THE STEPFORD WIVES $0
0 THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW $0
0 RAISING HELEN $0

[CMJ]

1. The Terminal - 28.02M
2. Dodgeball - 24.24M
3. HP: Prisoner of Azkaban - 17.89M
4. Around the World in 80 Days - 15.37M
5. Shrek 2 - 14.99M
6. The Chronicles of Riddick - 11.52M
7. Garfield - 11.41M
8. The Stepford Wives - 10.97M
9. The Day After Tommorrow - 8.16M
10. Raising Helen - 2.25M

[Rasha Vill]

1. HP: Prisoner of Azkaban - 28.02M
2. Shrek 2 - 24.24M
3. The Terminal - 17.89M
4. Around the World in 80 Days - 15.37M
5. Dodgeball - 14.99M
6. The Chronicles of Riddick - 11.52M
7. Garfield - 11.41M
8. The Stepford Wives - 10.97M
9. The Day After Tommorrow - 8.16M
10. Raising Helen - 2.25M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Shoot I wish you were right I am hoping HP just does 20 for the weekend that would be a good drop.

Here are my guesses

1 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $28.22
2 THE TERMINAL $24.11
3 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $21.41
4 SHREK 2 $15.31
5 AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS $12.03
6 THE CHRONICLES OF RIDDICK $10.77
7 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $8.76
8 THE STEPFORD WIVES $7.94
9 THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW $5.01
10 RAISING HELEN $3.97

[ReaperFett]

1 The Terminal 29.99
2 Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story 21.99
3 Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban 19.99
4 Shrek 2 14.99
5 Around the World in 80 Days 12.99
6 Garfield 11.99
7 The Stepford Wives 9.99
8 The Chronicles of Riddick 9.98
9 The Day After Tomorrow 7.99
10 Raising Helen 1.99

[Master Yoghurt]

1. DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY $29.99
2. THE TERMINAL $20.01
3. HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN $18
4. SHREK 2 $15.12
5. GARFIELD: THE MOVIE $10.8
6. THE STEPFORD WIVES $10.22
7. AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS $9.23
8. THE CHRONICLES OF RIDDICK $8.95
9. THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW $8.01
10. RAISING HELEN $2.01

[Master Yoghurt]

Friday estimates

DODGEBALL 11.60
THE TERMINAL 6.20
HARRY POTTER 5.25
SHREK 2 4.16
GARFIELD 3.36
THE STEPFORD WIVES 3.21
CHRONICLES OF RIDDICK 2.76
THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW 2.14
AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS 2.13
TROY .52

[Master Yoghurt]

Around the world in 80 days looks like a huge bomb with a capitol H. Harry Potter is still dropping fast, although maybe not as dramatic as the weekend before. Although, I have to say the domestic performance looks disappointing compared to the International results. Riddick falls like a rock. Dodgeball did better than most expected, and Terminal a little lower than what some expected. Other than that, I see no big surprises.

[Master Yoghurt]

Oh, and I guess Raising Helen gets a (dis)honorable mention for dropping 62% from the last friday. Heh

That movie is going to mess up my score :x

[Jedi Master Carr]

80 Days is the biggest bomb of the Summer, it appears. I doubt it will make 30 million in he U.S. Harry will do better on Saturday should make like 17-19 million which is a lot better drop than last weekend. It should still make it to 250 don't know if it can beat COS. Still its overseas numbers have been unbelivable it will almost triple the U.S. numbers. I just think Harry is more popular overseas also there are two other things to consider. First the competition has been rough on it. June is just hard to open a movie because it is squashed between Memorial Day and the 4th. Really they should have grabbed the Pre Memorial day weekend before Shrek2 did, if they had I bet Harry Would have made more than it has. Hopefully they will learn and do that with the 5 movie which is squedule to open in the summer of 2007. Also the film is darker which could effect it more here, although that may have no effect. It is sure not effecting overseas.

[Master Yoghurt]

Saturday estimates
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story $10,575,000 ( -8% ) $22,075,000
The Terminal $7,600,000 ( 22.6% ) $13,800,000
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban $7,110,000 ( 34.2% ) $185,308,000
Shrek 2 $5,361,000 ( 28.9% ) $374,200,000
Garfield: The Movie $4,250,000 ( 25% ) $38,667,000
The Stepford Wives $3,550,000 ( 13.6% ) $36,929,000
The Chronicles of Riddick $3,316,000 ( 20.1% ) $39,161,000
The Day After Tommorow $3,100,000 ( 36.3% ) $164,581,000
Around the World in 80 Days $2,700,000 ( 26.5% ) $7,621,000
Troy $715,000 ( 37.5% ) $128,488,000
Raising Helen $499,000 ( 8.2% ) $34,288,000
Saved! $469,000 ( 6.6% ) $6,184,000

Weekend estimates
Dodgeball: A True Underdog Story $30,000,000 NEW $30,000,000 PTA $11,135
The Terminal $18,700,000 NEW $18,700,000 PTA $6,652
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban $17,412,000 -50.1% $190,310,000 PTA $4,576
Shrek 2 $13,600,000 -41.7% $378,281,000 PTA $4,113
Garfield: The Movie $11,000,000 -49.4% $42,016,000 PTA $3,492
The Stepford Wives $9,200,000 -57% $39,454,000 PTA $3,009
The Chronicles of Riddick $8,271,000 -65.9% $41,354,000 PTA $3,000
The Day After Tommorow $7,550,000 -48.1% $166,756,000 PTA $2,830
Around the World in 80 Days $6,833,000 NEW $9,619,000 PTA $2,439
Troy $1,710,000 -50% $128,963,000 PTA $1,312
Raising Helen $1,308,000 -64.7% $34,635,000 PTA $1,037
Saved! $1,300,000 -48.7% $6,575,000 PTA $2,195
Super Size Me $655,000 -20.2% $8,714,000 PTA $2,847
Van Helsing $463,000 -61.2% $117,984,000 PTA $890
Soul Plane $281,000 -69.9% $14,689,000 PTA $1,003
Napoleon Dynamite $200,000 71.4% $411,000 PTA $11,111
Cofee and Cigarettes $118,000 -24.7% $1,572,000 PTA $2,565

[Jedi Master Carr]

Dodgeball did better than I even thought, and Terminal man this is Spielberg's worst opening in a lot time and it might be a huge disapointment considering the reviews haven't been that great for it. And 80 days is defintely a bomb biggest one of this year. Decent for HP maybe the estimates are low, still it should come close to the second movie in this country.

[CMJ]

Originally posted by Jedi Master Carr
Terminal man this is Spielberg's worst opening in a lot time and it might be a huge disapointment considering the reviews haven't been that great for it.

Amistad in '97 had a smaller opening(albeit in limited relase). I think Terminal will find some legs and flirt with 90M or so. This was not a high concept movie, so I'm not sure it was ever thought to be a HUGE hit. I know I didn't think it would do much more than 100M or so.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well it is different for Spielberg that is sure. I forgot about Amistad so yeah that would be the lowest. It might do 90 hopefully the WOM isn't as bad as some of the reviews.

[CMJ]

I know I'm gonna see it, just didn't get a chance this weekend. Even though Hanks films usually do rather well, they rarely open big. Now 18.7M is a very modest opening, but Hanks is good for a leggy release - not an opening weekend.

Typically anyways.

[The Professor]

Originally posted by CMJ
I know I'm gonna see it, just didn't get a chance this weekend. Even though Hanks films usually do rather well, they rarely open big. Now 18.7M is a very modest opening, but Hanks is good for a leggy release - not an opening weekend.

Typically anyways.

The film will probably end up grossing 100M or more. It's Tom Hanks after all.

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend Actuals
1. Dodgeball 30,070,196 New
2. Terminal 19,053,199 New
3. HP3 18,027,466 -48.4%
4. Shrek 13,941,950 -40.2%
5. Garfield 11,340,298 -47.8%
6. Riddick 9,415,155 -61.2%
7. Stepford 8,762,198 -59.1%
8. TDAT 8,104,100 -44.3%
9. AW80D 7,576,132 New
10. Troy 1,778,352 -48%
11. Raising 1,292,792 -65.1%


Weekend Accuracy Table
Master Yoghurt: 88.20%
ReaperFett: 74.37%
CMJ: 70.34%
Rasha Vill: 70.34%
Jedi Master Carr: 69.31%

Weekend Winners
1. Master Yoghurt - 15 points
2. ReaperFett - 10
3. CMJ - 5

Movie Order Points
Master Yoghurt (top 5) - 10 points

[Master Yoghurt]

Season Scoretable
Position - Name - Streak (5 best weeks) - Bonus Points - Total Score

1. ReaperFett: 87.14 - 85.17 - 77.51 - 92.42 - 90.83 (+185) = 4515.7
2. Marcus: 84.84 - 83.76 - 83.93 - 88.31 - 89.46 (+125) = 4428
3. Master Yoghurt: 79.94 - 78.87 - 91.25 - 85.56 - 88.20 (+145) = 4383.2
4. Madmartigan: 73.07 - 74.89 - 83.84 - 70.65 - 88.38 (+40) = 3948.3
5. CMJ: 72.25 - 82.23 - 77.18 - 77.32 - 70.34 (+70) = 3863.2
6. Jedi Master Carr: 71.13 - 67.50 - 63.65 - 56.91 - 69.31 (+80) = 3365
7. Ryan Pode: 61.30 - 40.79 - 49.02 (+40) = 1551.1
8. Rasha Vill: 75.88 - 70.34 (+5) = 1467.2
9. Asudak Jasra: 67.07 - 77.45 (+5) = 1450.2

[Master Yoghurt]

Pretty good weekend for me, concidering the circumstances (it was a difficult weekend to predict)

My #1-5 are actually at an average of 96% accuracy :)

Dodgeball - (29.99 / 30.1) -- Accuracy: 99.63%
The Terminal - (20.01 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 95.24%
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - (18 / 18) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Shrek 2 - (15.12 / 13.9) -- Accuracy: 91.22%
Garfield - (10.8 / 11.3) -- Accuracy: 95.58%
Around the World in 80 Days - (9.23 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 76.93%
The Chronicles of Riddick - (8.95 / 9.4) -- Accuracy: 95.21%
The Stepford Wives - (10.22 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 83.86%
The Day After Tomorrow - (8.01 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 98.89%
Raising Helen - (2.01 / 1.3) -- Accuracy: 45.38%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 88.20%

New Release: 90.60%
Still in Theater: 87.16%

[Master Yoghurt]

Even though Hanks films usually do rather well, they rarely open big. Now 18.7M is a very modest opening, but Hanks is good for a leggy release - not an opening weekend.


The film will probably end up grossing 100M or more. It's Tom Hanks after all.

I personally think Tom Hanks is starting to fade a little bit in terms of being a box office magnet. The real stars nowadays who seem to consistantly draw big money to every movie are IMO Brad Pitt and Tom Cruise. Maybe not in terms of legs, but for the final gross for sure.