Holiday Box office contest weekend 8 Christmas numbers, due by Friday 9AM

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay I know it isn't due till Friday but with Christmas I want to give you guys the chance. It is a four day weekend starting with Christmas Day. All points are doubled. We got at least four wide openers
PayCheck (a sci-fi flick staring Mr Lopez :p)
Peter Pan
Cheaper by the Dozen (staring box office reliable Steve Martin)
Cold Mountain (oscar contender)
not sure on the theater counts, I suspect Cold Mountain to have under 2000 figuring they did that with Chicago last year.

[ReaperFett]

Originally posted by Jedi Master Carr
PayCheck (a sci-fi flick staring Mr Lopez :p)


He was the bomb in Phantoms yo! :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Heh I was only joking have to take my Affleck shot :p Not saying he is a bad actor just the whole JLO- Ben deal is a joke in it self.

[Marcus Telcontar]

You mean he's got an ego only baeten in size by his butt?

[Marcus Telcontar]

BTW, guess are BOM for the next two weeks. I wont be about.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am posting these now might forget later. I might edit them before Friday if I have a chance tomorrow

ROTK 55.33
Cheaper by the Dozen 32.11
Cold Mountain 25.61
Peter Pan 20.44
Payback 18.22

[Syo]

i am going to take a chance and leave ROTK as the #1 movie for the weekend ;)


1 Return of the King $51.2
2 Cheaper by the Dozen $29.2
3 Peter Pan $26.8
4 Paycheck $20.1
5 Cold Mountain $16.2

[ReaperFett]

Originally posted by Marcus Elessar
You mean he's got an ego only baeten in size by his butt?
He has an ego? No man with an ego would rip it out of himself in a movie :)


I'd like to point out btw that BOM appears to have not done a prediction.

But for me:



1 Return of the King $49.99
2 Cheaper by the Dozen $19.99
3 Peter Pan $14.99
4 Paycheck $13.99
5 Cold Mountain $12.99

[Master Yoghurt]

For Marcus, here are Brandon Gray's picks of BOM:

1. ROTK 54.5
2. Cheaper by the Dozen 20.6
3. Cold Mountain 14.9
4. Peter Pan 14.1
5. Something's Gonna Give 12.3

[Master Yoghurt]

And here are my picks:

1. ROTK 60.01
2. Cheaper by the Dozen 22.01
3. Cold Mountain 16.01
4. Peter Pan 15.01
5. Paycheck 14.01

[Jedi Master Carr]

It looks we got just about the same top 5. I was going to make Peter Pan a surprise like 2nd or third, but it looks like it will be a disapointment. The movie looks great to me and it has been getting great reviews, I think though that people aren't going to rush out to another Peter Pan flick.

[ReaperFett]

I used Lee's for guidance, as BOM hadn't bothered to do one at 3AM last night :angry:

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah and the ones for BOM are in complete only the new releases are 4 day. Marcus is going to have some problems I am afraid especially with New Years being a 4 day one too.

[Master Yoghurt]

Thursday estimates

RETURN OF THE KING 14.57
CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 8.20
PAYCHECK 5.16
COLD MOUNTAIN 4.50
PETER PAN 3.90
SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE 3.47
MONA LISA SMILE 2.73
THE LAST SAMURAI 2.58
BAD SANTA 1.40
ELF 1.21

[Syo]

I was surprised how crowded Cheaper by the Dozen was they had a line almost as long as Return of the King

but i did see at 11am when i got tickets to Paycheck that ROTK was sold out all day friday


We saw ROTK on Christmas day and it was sold out and packed too

[Master Yoghurt]

Friday estimates

RETURN OF THE KING 20.81
CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 10.03
COLD MOUNTAIN 5.30
PAYCHECK 4.91
SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE 4.80
PETER PAN 4.37
MONA LISA SMILE 4.08
THE LAST SAMURAI 2.93
BAD SANTA 1.59
ELF 1.49

[Marcus Telcontar]

ROTK 20.81?!?!?!?!?!?

That's got to be a mistake.

[Syo]

its been a very busy weekend at least here in my town, I have never seen the theatre so crowded for every single movie they were showing

There was a line for everything, and ROTK again was sold out all day

Saw Cold Mountain and Cheaper by the Dozen and they were both packed

[Syo]

and if that estimate is true that is nothing short of amazing as it did 21.81 million last friday and a 1 million drop over a week has to be a record thats about -5%

[Jedi Master Carr]

Its no record as I remember Titantic went up several times and may even went up in its second week I believe.

[Syo]

yea but this is for a movie that opened in 3700 theatres in a very wide release

if i remember correctly titanic added screens its second week and was somewhat limited its first week

for a major release to match a 20 million dollar day in its second week has to be a record

[Jedi Master Carr]

I really don't remember I think Titanic had a wide release I am sure it opened in over 2000 theaters at least. Titantic had the best run of any film since the early 80's (when movies could run longer than today) and it went up several times during its run even if it didn't do it in its second week I know it did it later on like valentines day it went up like 50%.
Here is the answer

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=titanic.htm

Titanic opened in 2700 theaters it got a small increase of theaters in the second week. and it increased by 8 million which is really incredible. It went up 25% one weekend in early January and on Valentines day it went up 43%. It went up 73% in May (have no clue why it went up that much).

[Syo]

OK Titanics numbers are impressive (esspecially since the increases were happening when it was still making 30 million a weekend) but i am still happy for ROTK and while i know it has no chance of dethroning Titanic i can hope

[Syo]

Lees and Showbizdata have different numbers for friday

LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING 19.25 191.74
CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 10.25 18.62
COLD MOUNTAIN 5.24 9.77
PAYCHECK 5.04 10.37
SOMETHING'S GOTTA GIVE 4.81 46.99
PETER PAN 4.16 7.92
MONA LISA SMILE 3.83 23.57
LAST SAMURAI, THE 3.00 69.27
ELF 1.53 162.44
BAD SANTA 1.52 48.42

[Jedi Master Carr]

Showbiz always has different numbers I have no clue why. I trust Mojo they are usually more accurate.

[Master Yoghurt]

Here are the weekend estimates (3 day). Not seen any 4 day estimates yet, but it should be easy to figure out. Just add thursday number to the 3 days. I am really impressed by Cheaper By the Dozen. For a movie that looks like crap, it sure makes one heck of a lot of money. It is all because of Steve Martin I think. Cold Mountain looks to take 3rd spot with about 20M for the 4 days. Paycheck will take #4 I think, and Something's gotta give #5. Petter Pan is officially Da Bomb. You know, originally I was thinking to predict it really high, but then I read the reports of dust collecting theater seats for thursday. Its a bit of a shame, a good movie based on a classic book loses out like that. I blame it on marketing and the kids today don't like stuff like that anymore. They prefer to see Junk like Scream 3, Nickelodeon crap, Scooby Doo.. and yes this silly movie with Steve Martin. I will never truely understand them :)

Return of The King had drop for saturday, and the Studio estimates a 'low' number for sunday. Still very impressive performance. I look forward to see the actuals, because I am not sure how accurate the estimates are. Either way, it will have gross in the 65M+ dollar range for the 4 days, and should do very strong into the new year.

Weekend estimates - 3 day

1 Return of the King $51,220,000 -29% $223,690,000
2 Cheaper by the Dozen $28,225,000 NEW $36,400,000 (PTA: $8,558)
3 Cold Mountain $14,500,000 NEW $19,000,000 (PTA: $6,703)
4 Something's Gotta Give $14,200,000 +24% $56,400,000
5 Paycheck $13,900,000 NEW $19,200,000 (PTA: $5,032)
6 Mona Lisa Smile $11,500,000 -0.2% $31,500,000
7 Peter Pan $11,420,000 NEW $15,091,000 (PTA: $4,059)
8 The Last Samurai $8,370,000 +7% $74,370,000
9 Bad Santa $4,523,000 -11% $50,944,000
10 Elf $4,200,000 -23% $164,863,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

Peter Pan is a dispointment to me. I don't blame marketing I saw adds for it everywhere and it really showed off the hightlights. It is just that kids don't like that and I think it is really that people don't want to see another Peter Pan Movie I think that did it in. At least I will get 2 and 3 right. I saw Cheaper by the Dozen being big Steve Martin has been hot right now. And Cold Mountain I thought would open close to 20. I think it is going to have a really good box office run. It seems like a movie women will just swoon over and I bet it will make over 100 could even threaten 200 if it gets a lot of Oscar nods.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend totals

Winner of #1 Movie Master Yoghurt
Winner of #2 Movie Jedi Master Carr
Winner of #3 Movie Master Yoghurt
Winner of #4 Movie Syo
Winner of #5 Movie Marcus

Master Yoghurt 110
Jedi Master Carr 70
Syo 60
Marcus 50
ReaperFett 30

Master Yoghurt: 525
Marcus Elessar: 275
Reaperfett: 235
Jedi Master Carr: 225
Syo: 215
Ryan Pode: 20

Only one more week left I will post a thread for it later, it will be double points as well and also a 4 day weekend.