Box Office Contest Week 5

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay week 5 here and two new wide releases. Finding Nemo (the Pixar-Disney collabriation) and the Italian Job a remake of an older film. So will Bruce Allmighty stay on top? Its up to you to figure that out.

[Marcus Telcontar]

I think Finding Nemo will cut the market out from under Ol' Bruce. Pixar rules!

[sirdizzy]

1 Finding Nemo $48.3
2 Bruce Almighty $30.1
3 The Italian Job $19.0
4 Matrix Reloaded $17.2
5 Daddy Day Care $7.4

[sirdizzy]

actually wrong turn hits wide release too for 3 movies not 2

[Jedi Master Carr]

yeah but it is only playing in like 1300 theaters I don't see it cracking the top 5.

[sirdizzy]

hey its coming to my town, and we just got bend it like beckhman

[Jedi Master Carr]

Its not playing near me, 1300 theaters is a lot but not enough to make more than 5 million for this particular film.

[Marcus Telcontar]

I've got the feeling this week will be hard to pick. Finding Nemo will depend not on reviews, but what people think of Pixar and the reputation they now have. I feel a new Pixar movie has to be big now.

1. Finding Nemo - $68.99987 mill
2. Bruce almighty - $35.222 mill
3. The Wog Job - $23.1936753mill
4. The Matrix Unloaded $17.000001 mill
5. Daddy Day Care $7.129665

[ReaperFett]

You guys not got the new Ripley movie yet?

[Jedi Master Carr]

Not yet I am not sure when that is coming out here, July? August?

[ReaperFett]

Ouch, that's a while. Least you'll know if it's any good early ;)

[Jedieb]

1. Nemo 62.123456
2. Bruce 35.987654
3. The Italian Walberg 21.1234345
4. MR 18.1234567
5. DDC 7.1234567

[CMJ]

1. Finding Nemo - 66.17M
2 Bruce Almighty - 35.79M
3 Italian Job - 20.03M
4 Matrix Reloaded - 17.32M
5 Daddy Day Care - 8.11M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Man everybody is going high for Nemo not sure what that means :)
1 Finding Nemo 59.44
2 Bruce Allmighty 36.44
3 The Italian Job 20.11
4 Matrix 16.22
5 Daddy Day Care 7.99

[sirdizzy]

it means its pixar and they have been advertising the hell out of it

i am not going to see it, pixar has gone to hell since disney bought them out, not as good as when they were an indy and struggling making movies like toy story

[CMJ]

I seem to recall "Toy Story": being a Disney film as well sirdizzy. Pixar has been owned by them for years now.

[JediBoricua]

Well reviews for Nemo are excellent, I guess Pixar doesn't want another year without getting the animation oscar.


1. Nemo 53.9574
2. B. Almighty 31.5670
3. Italian Job 24.8476
4. Matrix 17.3321
5. Daddy Day Care 6.789

[Marcus Telcontar]

Originally posted by sirdizzy
it means its pixar and they have been advertising the hell out of it

i am not going to see it, pixar has gone to hell since disney bought them out, not as good as when they were an indy and struggling making movies like toy story

Not a single thing in your post is true or even close to the truth

[ReaperFett]

1. Finding Nemo - 69.99M
2 Bruce Almighty - 39.99M
3 Italian Job - 19.99M
4 Matrix Reloaded - 16.99M
5 Daddy Day Care - 9.99M


Im scared, Italian Job is getting good reviews :uhoh

[Marcus Telcontar]

I'm amazed it is. You mena it could actually be good?

[ReaperFett]

Maybe :)


I think the thing is, the US doesnt really know the original. And from the sounds of it, it's not really taking much from it either. But WE will see this piddle-poor adaptation of a modern day classic, where if Mark Wahlberg says about blowing any doors off, I will go on a wild rampage hurting people :)

[sirdizzy]

hey the italian job was a pretty good movie, i enjoyed it

[Jedi Master Carr]

Friday's numbers

1 FINDING NEMO $20,600,000
2 BRUCE ALMIGHTY $11,146,000
3 THE ITALIAN JOB $6,240,000
4 THE MATRIX RELOADED $4,400,000
5 WRONG TURN $1,690,000
6 DADDY DAY CARE $1,637,000
7 X2: X-MEN UNITED $1,285,000
8 THE IN-LAWS $993,000
9 DOWN WITH LOVE $484,000
10 HOLES $291,000


Looks like Nemo will make somewhere between 60-70 million for the weekend, so that will be 3 straight weekends a movie made 60 million. Matrix took another plunge it will be lucky to make 15 this weekend

[Dutchy]

Nemo's number is quite a bit higher than Monsters, Inc.'s first Friday: $17.4M. Monsters ended the weekend with $62.6M. Can Nemo beat that? Looks like it. That would be a surprise, I think. Monsters had a huge Fri-Sat increase, don't know if Nemo'll do the same. Then again, it has a lead.

(cross post)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well Nemo could make 70, IMO depending on the increase on Saturday. It should also do good on Sunday with kids out of school.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend Estimates

1 FINDING NEMO 70.64 1 70.6
2 BRUCE ALMIGHTY 35.62 2 135.7
3 THE ITALIAN JOB 19.30 1 19.3
4 THE MATRIX RELOADED 15.04 3 232.1
5 DADDY DAY CARE 6.80 4 82.0
6 X2: X-MEN UNITED 5.03 5 199.3
7 WRONG TURN 5.01 1 5.0
8 THE IN-LAWS 3.67 2 14.4
9 DOWN WITH LOVE 1.57 3 17.2
10 THE LIZZIE McGUIRE MOVIE 1.02 5 39.2


Looks like Reaper is the big winner this week he picked the highest guess on Nemo. Heck now I think Nemo has a chance at being the #1 movie of the summer. I think it should have better drops than the Matrix has had.

[ReaperFett]

IM GONNA WIN! IN YOUR FACE SPACE COYOTE! :D

[Jedi Master Carr]

This was a close weekend several of us split the movies and everybody got the order right so it was good week for all


Here are the results

Winner of Movie #1 ReaperFett
Winner of Movie #2 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #3 Sir Dizzy
Winner of Movie #4 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #5 JediBoricua

Weekend Results

Jedi Master Carr 55
ReaperFett 50
Sir Dizzy 40
JediBoricua 30
Jedieb 25
Marcus Elessar 25
CMJ 25

Marcus Elessar 265
CMJ 215
Jedi Master Carr 210
Sir Dizzy 200
ReaperFett 140
Jedieb 115
JediBoricua 80
Admiral Lebron 40
JMK 25
Maal Lah 10

[Marcus Telcontar]

:)

If you saw one of my edits, I considered 70 mill for Nemo. But, just didnt think it could do it.

Oh well.

edit - Who would have thought MR would be crashing like it is after such an opening? Talk about redefining Front Loaded.

But, it does leave the summer BO champ up for grabs. I dont see MR doing beyond 275 now, which is beatable.

How about Finding Nemo as a possibility? I dont really see it having the drops. And it has no real competition for a few weeks. I dont really think The Hulk and T3 will make it..

[sirdizzy]

gald to see marcus fall a little

[Jedi Master Carr]

I thought for an one second it might do 70 but reconsidered, I thought it would do like 65 at the most. As for Summer champ well it is between 3 movies right now, IMO. Matrix, Nemo and to me the wild card Hulk. I have no clue what Hulk will do, I am certain it will top the 50 something opening of AP2 (which is the current June weekend record). Right now I think it will do 80-90 first weekend, but as we have seen from X2 and MXR that doesn't seem to matter. Also watchout for Bruce Almighty it only dropped 44% from last weekend that was better than X2 and Matrix.

[CMJ]

I believe "Finding Nemo" will win the summer. Kids films generally have solid holds.