Box office Contest Week 1

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay it is time for the fun to begin, the contest begins this weekend so if anybody wants to play here is your chance. You have until 9am Saturday to get your numbers in. Here are the rules if you need reminding

Period of contest: 2nd of May - Labor Day

1. How to play: Each weekend, predict the order of the top 5 movies, and how much each film will make. To make sure people don’t make the same predictions, post your dollar figures to the nearest ten thousand, for example "25.58M" (25 million 580 thousand).

2. Movie Order Points: For every film you place in the correct order, you get 5 points. If you get #1- 5 right, you would get 25 points.

3. Accuracy Points: The closest person to each of the five films also gets points, and they are as follows;

# 1 - 25 pts
# 2 - 20 pts
# 3 - 15 pts
# 4 - 10 pts
# 5 - 5 pts

Please notice; you only get points for a movie if you have it in the right #1-5 position.

4. Double Points Weekends. Points are doubled on the following weekends:
* Memorial Day May 23 - May 26 All points are doubled.
* 4th of July 4-6 All points are doubled.
* Labor day weekend Aug 29- Sept 1 All points are doubled.

5. "The Price is Right" - bonus for extreme accuracy. If someone guess a movie correct down to the nearest 10-thousandth, the contestant will be awarded with 50 extra points, in addition to the points he won that weekend. Example: If a movie makes 25.343M and you predict 25.34M, you will win the bonus.

6. Deadline: All predictions must be in by saturday 9 am EST every weekend. On double points weekends, special deadline will apply. Please make sure your predictions are in before the deadline, however, we may look the other way if the estimates are not yet made public and/or it is obvious such results have not been seen.

7. Who can play? Everyone. It is fun! You may enter or exit the contest at any time or post predictions whenever you like, as long it is within the deadline. Of course, be aware maximum participation increases your chances of a high score at the final tally, so it is recommended to participate as often as possible (it makes your predicting look smarter! ).

8. The winner: The player with the most points at the end of contest, wins instant fame and glory (being worshipped by the all the BO forum posters) AND a prize!


Okay everybody good luck lets see how we all can do this time :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here are the estimates for screen counts next weekend
X-Men 2 3700
Lizzy McGuire Movie 2700

I guess X2 is going to set a record HP: COS opend at 3680

I will also post the actuals for this past weekend when they come out to give you guys ideas of what might the top 5 look like.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here are the actuals for this weekend only the top 5

1 N Identity Sony $16,225,263
2 Anger Management SonR $15,006,174
3 Holes Dis. $12,552,722
4 Malibu's Most Wanted WB $7,337,473
5 N Confidence Lions $4,563,588

[sirdizzy]

my strategy that worked last year was picking first so ya all have to copy me hahahahaha so

1. X2 X-Men United $82.8M
2. Lizzie McGuire $15.3M
3. Identity 10.9M
4. Anger Management 10.1M
5. Holes 7.4M

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL Jumping on us early. It might work ;)

[JediBoricua]

I'm a rookie, and this is my first pick. (Hoping not to get creamed)

1. X2- $57.89
2. Identity- $14.43
3. Liz. Mcguire- $13.56
4. Anger Management- $8.52
5. Holes- $7.25

[Jedi Master Carr]

Hey who knows you might surprise us.

[CMJ]

1 X-Men 2 - 72.01M
2 Lizzy Maguire - 17.07M
3 Identity - 9.53M
4 Anger Management - 8.51M
5 Holes - 8.04M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here are Guru's predictions
X2 85
Lizzie 12
Identity 10
Anger Mangment 8.5
Holes 8

That is the only one that is final Lees has an early prediction up but that will probably change. I will post that and Mojo's when they come out.

[Darth Turbogeek]

You know, I have the feeling X2 will open 80+. As I have no idea WTF to pick, I (as Marcus) Go with the Guru for the first week.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Hey you are thinking like me :) I am thinking it will be huge 70 is a lock, IMO it could do in the 90's even it will depend on how much the public is dying to see a good movie. The Reviews sure help as X2 is getting really good reviews so far.

[Marcus Telcontar]

It jsut wont have legs to get past 300. It's have two good weeks and then Matrix : Reloaded will cut the market from under it.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am hoping it beats it :p but I know it won't. I am thinking it will make 250-260 and make 500-600 WW that would be awesome I think almost double the first one and one guarentee X3.

[Marcus Telcontar]

I bet your smack on the money there.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Another prediction Box Office Mojo

1 X2: X-Men United 77.2
2 The Lizzie McGuire Movie 13.4
3 Identity 8.9
4 Anger Management 8.5
5 Holes 7.4

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am going ahead to post mine now

X2 88.67
Lizzie McGuire 14.44
identity 10.11
Anger Managment 8.77
Holes 7.23

[Jedi Master Carr]

Just to give you a warning you have until 9am or there about to get your picks in so if you are going to make them get to it.

[ReaperFett]

X2 83.99
Lizzie 12.99
Identity 11.99
Anger Mangment 8.99
Holes 8.98

[Admiral Lebron]

1. X2: X-men United - 79.36
2. The Lizzie McGuire Movie - 14.28
3. Anger Management - 9.34
4. Identity- 9.00
5. Holes - 8.67

[Admiral Lebron]

Fridays Estimates...

1 X2: X-MEN UNITED $32,500,000

2 THE LIZZIE MCGUIRE MOVIE $5,700,000

3 IDENTITY $3,125,000

4 ANGER MANAGEMENT $2,820,000

5 HOLES $2,015,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

I say its between me and Marcus for #1 Mojo is thinking it will make 87 for the weekend that is a very good possibility.

[Jedieb]

CRAP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I meant to get my guesses in Friday afternoon but I got hung up at work and then I barely got online last night. :cry

[Admiral Lebron]

Sucks to you eh?

[Jedieb]

Your compasion makes it bearable. :cry

[Admiral Lebron]

Neat. I missed two weekends during the winter one. Don't be a wuss. :\

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am sorry Jedieb :( you can still do it next week, you might be able to catch up on the double weekends.

[Jedieb]

Freakin' kids. They're constantly distracting me. At work, at home, in my nightmares. One of these days.... :shootin

[CMJ]

Don't worry man, if you make the rest of the weeks and play it right you can catch up. There are always some bloodbath weekends where we all go in the tank.

[Admiral Lebron]

Eat one?

[Marcus Telcontar]

Mojo's top 5 estimates...

1 X2: X-Men United $88,000,000
2 The Lizzie McGuire Movie $18,000,000
3 Identity $9,500,000
4 Anger Management $8,500,000
5 Holes $7,200,000

JMC, you are looking gooooood

Memorial Day weekend is looking interesting. Anyone like to bet if a rated R film can beat this?

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/r.htm

records for R-rated filmes.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Those aren't the estimates they are Mojo's projections, I think it will make around that it might be closer to 90 it will depend on how Saturday went.

[Dutchy]

1 N X2: X-Men United Fox $85,850,000 - 3,741 - $22,948 $85,850,000 $110 / $40 1
2 N The Lizzie McGuire Movie Dis. $17,050,000 - 2,825 - $6,035 $17,049,000 $15 / - 1
3 1 Identity Sony $9,500,000 -41.4% 2,733 - $3,476 $30,260,000 $28 / $24 2
4 2 Anger Management SonR $8,500,000 -43.4% 3,471 -185 $2,448 $115,380,000 $75 / $35 4
5 3 Holes Dis. $6,514,000 -48.1% 2,402 +53 $2,711 $44,966,000 $20 / $20 3

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think Fox underestimated X2 probably because of the debacle last year with SW overestimating it by 6 million. I am thinking it will end up closer to 90 (probably 87 or 88) when the actualls are released.

[Marcus Telcontar]

I did say they were Mojo's estimates :p

[Jedi Master Carr]

I didn't even see that :p I am hoping they are right now.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay I calculated the results CMJ and Marcus have the most points but nobody did terrible

Winner of Movie #1 Marcus Elessar
Winner of Movie #2 CMJ
Winner of Movie #3 CMJ
Winner of Movie #4 Marcus Elessar
Winner of Movie #5 JediBorica

Totals
Marcus Elessar 60
CMJ 60
Sir Dizzy 25
Jedi Master Carr 25
ReaperFett 25
JediBorica 20
Admiral Lebron 15

I had trouble with the 4th movie that was a close one there there were like 4 people withing a .5 million of the actual total. So nobody has run away with it yet there is a long way to go so nobody get discouraged.

[Admiral Lebron]

Ew last.

[CMJ]

How the heck did I do so well? I thought I tanked!:lol

[Jedi Master Carr]

you got very close on two of them though, you were way off on X2. I was thinking after see Mojo's projections I would get X2 almost exactly right oh well.

[Marcus Telcontar]

Huh?

* blink *

Wow, did okay

[Jedi Master Carr]

As Han would say Good week kid, now don't get cocky :)

[Darth Turbogeek]

Heh. Hey, I did real wella t the end of the last contest, I started okay this time. Lets see how it goes