100 Million Dollar Movies 2003

[Jedi Master Carr]

Since 2002 is about finished (a few films TTT, Chicago, HP2, will be playing for a while longer) I figured I start 2003, so what will the first film be for 2003? None of the January films will do it, the closest one so far is Just Married and that is a long way from it. Right now I am thinking Daredevil looks like the obvious choice though this new film 10 Ways to lose a guy could be a possibility with V day coming up.

[sirdizzy]

well how to lose a guy only made 24 million its opening weekend and should have really stiff contest next week vs daredevil so it might not get there

if ya consider chicago a 2003 release which i do i would say chicago (i hate that oscar begging bullshit release stuff short changes movies like road to perdition)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Still Chicago was playing for most of December just not wide (I think it was only playing in a handful of theaters until then) since that is the case then I will count that as 2002, when it does pass. I don't think 10 ways to lose a guy will do it either now, I thought it opened around 30-35 it could do it and maybe get some help from Valentines Day now I'm guessing it will make 75-85 which is still good for the budget. Daredevil now will be the first after that I would have to look at what is coming out. I know Dreamcatcher (based on a Stephen King novel) comes out in Feburary or March that is a possibility another is The Core (March) but I have a feeling that will bomb. Anger Mangament should but that doesn't come out till April.

[sirdizzy]

the core is an armageddon rip off looks horrible

[Jedi Master Carr]

That is why I have a feeling it will bomb, it also has been delayed twice it was suppose to come out in October originally then moved to Jan, now March, that is usually not a good sign.

[sirdizzy]

looks like bringing down the house, daredevil and how to lose a guy in 10 days will be the first


how to lose a guy in 10 days should cross first sometime this week or next weekend

[ReaperFett]

DD is on 98.4, having made 1.4 this weekend. It's going to creep it :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

All three will make it, BDH will make the most of three probably around 120. Anger Managment staring Nicholson and Sandler should be the next movie to cross before X2.

[ReaperFett]

BDH and 10 days have made it I believe, as they have passed Daredevil, just $450,000 off. That will make it by next weekend.

[sirdizzy]

1. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $101,051,022
2. Bringing Down the House $100,068,024




and daredevil is close at $99,488,672

[ReaperFett]

Daredevil is about 38,000 off :D

[Jedi Master Carr]

Maybe they were wrong with the estimate, and it will change tonight if not it will pass it later this week.

[sirdizzy]

1. Bringing Down the House $111,133,733
2. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $102,415,092
3. Daredevil $100,010,380

[Jedi Master Carr]

We got one more. AM should pass BDTH but probably not until after X2 passes both of them.

1. Bringing Down the House $126.1M
2. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $103.8
3. Anger Managment 103.5M
4. Daredevil $100.8M

[Jedieb]

Damn, DD had some pretty weak legs, didn't it?

[CMJ]

Legs, what legs? ;)

[ReaperFett]

Not really. For a film that opened when there was a huge snow problem and a huge drop in ticket sales due to the world situation, plus the fact that it is a character few know, I think it did quite good. IIRC, I predicted 110m total, so I wasnt far off. And it made a profit :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think it is just a front loaded movie, there is nothing wrong with that. It may have done better in the summer or Fall I feel. Also it is weird that there are more 100 million dollar films at this point compared to last year and at the same time the box office is struggling. Personally I don't think it was the war but just crappy films, I saw previews and most of those movies I won't even rent.

[ReaperFett]

Oh, definately would have done better in the summer. The problem was, when? August isn't always a good month, and there's X2 and Hulk, the guarenteed good sellers, to compete with.


And I think the war is causing lower sales, but you're also getting less films people want to see.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I didn't think it hurt that much look at Feburary the war hadn't started yet and the movies were still doing bad (besides DD and 10 things,,,) Also last year and some strong hold overs. Black Hawk Down did over 100 and (released really in Dec but went wide in Jan) ABM made most of its money in 2002, FOTR was strong in 2002. This time Chicago really was the only strong holdover. TTT did okay but not as well as FOTR (it was more front loaded and had no oscar help), so really the big difference is weaker holdovers and poor films in March. Realize last march had Ice Age, Blade, We were Soliders, and Panic Room all strong films that made over 75 million, then there was Time Machine which made over 50. This March only BDTH did well, I don't think anything else made over 50. But that was in part because the best contenders Basic, Dreamcatcher, A man Apart, Tears from the Sun, were all awful films or at least mediocre.

[Jedieb]

DD has made 2 1/2 times what it opened with. During the same time you've had a much cheaper comedies (HTLaGi10 & BDtH) come up with a lower openings and MUCH stronger legs. Both of them will end up outgrossing DD. There was an audience out there for it to hold over, it just never got the job done. I liked it, but it didn't strike me as something that was going to have as much succes as some of our more recent comic book movies.

X2 is going to outgross DD in less than a couple of weeks. There's a comic book movie that's crossing over well.

I'd have to call DD a modest success. With a $78M production budget and marketing costs of around $45 it's not going to start breaking even until international and DVD/VHS money starts coming in.

[ReaperFett]

It has already broken even due to international sales :D


marketing costs of around $45
Damn, that's cheap ;)

[Jedieb]

You know it's got to make around twice its costs to break even, right? ;) And I did say its international numbers were going to be needed to make it profitable. It'll make money, but not the kind of money some of these other comic book flicks are bringing in.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well X2 could make more than DD in one weekend :p It will probably pass it by next Friday.

[ReaperFett]

Eb, I dont think anyone in there wildest dreams could have said DD would have been more than a good success. IIRC I predicted 120M for US. Bare in mind the problems it had early, and I wouldnt be that far off IMO.

Now, DD2? THAT could be something big.

[Jedieb]

I'm just saying that its opening should have given it a gross closer to $150M than $100M. The studio had to be thinking it was going to get those kinds of numbers after that bug opening. But, it was a great opening for a minor CB character. But I don't see it going on to being a huge franchise. Afflec has too many crappy movies with JLo to film to devote the next ten years of his life to a DD series. (Okay, Jersey Girl should be good but JLo slams are so in vogue these days.)

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL Jedieb

[ReaperFett]

He can and will devote to it, else Kevin Smith will black list him from future films! ;)

[ReaperFett]

DD is nearing 102m now, after a 201% increase last week.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Bringing Down the House $127.6M
2. Anger Managment 115.3M
3.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $104.0M
4. Daredevil $101.2M

X2 will probably pass all of them by next weekend the way it is going.

[ReaperFett]

Should be intresting to see if X2 benefits from Hulk

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL it might maybe it will help it get over 250 or something.

[ReaperFett]

Well, Daredevil has been out, what, 2 1/2 months? Hulk is only in 1 1/2. If it has extra legs, it might. Especially if the reason DD got 200% was because X2 was full, which some are guessing.

[ReaperFett]

X2 is at $107,644,861. It has passed Batman & Robin, and 1.5m more will beat Superman 2 :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

It will easily pass BDTH this weekend and be the #1 movie of the year at least for now.

[Jedi Master Carr]

X2 is Number 1 :) at least for now

1. X-Men 2 150.7
2. Bringing Down the House $128.7M
3. Anger Managment 123.6M
4. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $104.2M
5. Daredevil $101.6M

[ReaperFett]

Daredevil only suffered a 35% drop, it lives again! ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. X-Men 2 176.6
2. Matrix Reloaded 151.9
3. Bringing Down the House $129.1M
4. Anger Managment 128.8M
5. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $104.3M
6. Daredevil $101.9M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Matrix Reloaded 212.3
2. X-Men 2 192.9
3. Anger Managment 131.9M
4. Bringing Down the House $129.1M
5. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $104.6M
6. Daredevil $102.2M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Matrix Reloaded 232.7
2. X-Men 2 199.6
3. Bruce Almighty 137.4
4. Anger Managment 132.8M
5. Bringing Down the House $130.4M
6. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $104.8M
7. Daredevil $102.3M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Matrix Reloaded 248.8M
2. X-Men 2 204.6M
3. Bruce Almighty 173.4M
4. Finding Nemo 148.5M
5. Anger Managment 133.4M
6. Bringing Down the House $130.8M
7. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.2M
8. Daredevil $102.4M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Matrix Reloaded 258.2M
2. X-Men 2 207.5M
3. Bruce Almighty 195.4M
4. Finding Nemo 195.1M
5. Anger Managment 133.8M
6. Bringing Down the House $131.2M
7. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.4M
8. Daredevil $102.5M

[ReaperFett]

An experiment considering Hulk just came out:

For June 13-15

Daredevil - $24,553 -62.8%
X2 - $1,740,529 -42.1%


Let's see if either makes a rise like DD did for X2 :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well Reaper X2 only dropped like 20% which is good, not sure what DD did. Here are the numbers through Sunday

1. Matrix Reloaded 264.4M
2. Finding Nemo 228.5M
3. Bruce Almighty 210.5M
4 X-Men 2 209.6M
5. Anger Managment 133.9M
6. Bringing Down the House $131.5M
7. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.5M
8. 2 Fast 2 Furious 102.9
9. Daredevil $102.5M


So we now have 4 films over 200 that is very good, not sure Hulk will make it to 200 or not, will depend on WOM. It will make at least 150, IMO. Also who here doubts now that Finding Nemo will past MR? I think it will it is only 40 million behind it and MR is about finished I think it will make 270-275 max, I think Nemo will make about 280-290.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Matrix Reloaded 268.9M
2. Finding Nemo 253.9M
3. Bruce Almighty 221.3M
4 X-Men 2 211.3M
5. Anger Managment 133.9M
6. Bringing Down the House $131.7M
7. 2 Fast 2 Furious 113.9
8. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.6M
9. Daredevil $102.5M
10. Hulk 100.6

[ReaperFett]

DD dropped, but it had some days of rising. It's not doing TOO bad, it is only 5 weeks off what EP2 lasted. Depending on if some places are keeping it in to work with X2 and Hulk (Maybe even LEG), it could hit...103? :)

[sirdizzy]

well hulk did 2.5 million to pass daredevil on monday, so its already done beter than DD and DD already has 2 sequels in the plans

one for elektra and one for dd himself

[ReaperFett]

DD cost less to make though.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well Hulk will make a profit it will make 140 domestically I feel and probably another 150-200 overseas and add in DVD sales and you have a profit, I think they will make some radical changes in a sequel probably no Ang Lee :p

[ReaperFett]

Well, of course itll make a profit on DVD. Waterworld is now a profitable movie including DVD :)

[Jedieb]

You're kidding, Waterworld generated well over $200M in DVD sales and international B.O? Wow.......

[ReaperFett]

I'm serious :)

I heard that because of giving it to TV firms and the like, it ended up breaking even.

[Jedieb]

I really doubt that. With that disasterous production budget (around $175M) it would have had to generate well over $300M. It didn't break $200M internationally and it's US take was only $88M. Solid for a normal film, but not for a movie with one of the biggest budgets of all time.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Reaper might be right here it depends on how much it got from TV revenue.

[CMJ]

Eb, like I studied in school...practically every movie ends up breaking even eventually.

Believe me...we looked and studied alot of "flops" that ended up making money.

[ReaperFett]

I'm sure this'll make a sequel a possibility.










...;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

I doubt Pluto Nash will ever break even though :p

[ReaperFett]

Maybe when Murphy gets to around 110 years old ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL I don't know it cost over 100 and took in WW like 30 million, it might make it when his grand children are 110 :p

[Jedi Master Carr]

Hey it made less than I thought :p It only made 4.5 million in the US and only 2.7 million WW. That is embarassing it only made 8 million WW, if it breaks even it might be when Hell Freezes over.

[ReaperFett]

Dont even know if weve had it released yet :)

I mean, this week we have too delayed, some film with Kurt Russel and Ving Rhames (Dark Blue) and Animal House, which Steve Buscemi directed YEEEEEEEEEEARS ago :)


Actually, it'd be best if the film doesn't become profitable in his lifetime. The shock could finish him ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL yeah Murphy needs to move on actually his career has taken another nose dive though that Daddy Day Care has done okay.

[Jedi Master Carr]

A new number one

1. Finding Nemo 276.8M
2. Matrix Reloaded 272.2M
3. Bruce Almighty 229.2M
4 X-Men 2 213.3M
5. Anger Managment 134.8M
6. Bringing Down the House $131.9M
7. 2 Fast 2 Furious 119.9
8. Hulk 118.2
9.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.8M
10.Daredevil $102.5M

And hey Reaper if DDC makes it in the next week it looks like Daredevil won't be last in this list :)

[ReaperFett]

Huzzah! :)

[JMK]

Holy crap Finding Nemo is tearing the box office up! I had no idea! :eek

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 293.8M
2. Matrix Reloaded 274.2M
3. Bruce Almighty 233.9M
4 X-Men 2 213.9M
5. Anger Managment 135.0M
6. Bringing Down the House $132.2M
7. Hulk 125.7M
8. 2 Fast 2 Furious 122.8M
9 Terminator 3 114.7M
10.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.8M
11.Daredevil $102.5M
12 Daddy Day Care 100.0M

We should be adding Pirates of the Carribean next weekend. After that The Italian Job and Charlie's Angels are next closest. The Italian Job needs like 11 million, CA 2 needs 15, right now I think they will both fall short.

[ReaperFett]

Daredevil is now on 8 screens, so doubt itll hit .6 :)

[imported_Marcus]

Yow. Who would have oicked Finding Nemo to hit 300 million, as it will clearly do? Proboably will make 330 million.

[sirdizzy]

look at that huge gap between 4 and 5

[Jedi Master Carr]

I know wow almost 100 M I doubt that will stay that way T3 should make 150 I think. I am too surprised about Nemo I never saw 300 I thought 250 max, you think it will beat ROTK now? I think ROTK will beat it out but only by probably 5-10 million.

[imported_Marcus]

I think ROTK is not certain to be No 1. Sure, 300m is extremely likely, but Nemo is holding on amazingly well. Neo is still doing 1.5 million + weekdays, so the chances of reaching 300 million without another weekend are very good. And really, where's it's competition? What's goign to finally take it's audience?

Talk about Pixar becoming sure fire hits. Even if Pixar does make a bad movie, it's still make squillions.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think it will depend on how much ROTK makes if it makes 340-350 it will be #1 movie. I think it will depend on what happens with the Oscars this time. It also helps this is the last LOTR movie which will help in repeat viewings.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 304.9M
2. Matrix Reloaded 275.4M
3. Bruce Almighty 236.2M
4 X-Men 2 214.2M
5. Pirates of the Caribbean 138.3M
6. Anger Managment 135.0M
7. Bringing Down the House $132.4M
8. Terminator 3 129.0M
9.Hulk 128.4M
10 2 Fast 2 Furious 124.1M
11.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.8M
12.Daredevil $102.5M
13 Daddy Day Care 100.2M

POTC really shot up there, it should make 200M in my opinion not sure how far it can make it past, it is guarenteed to be top 5 for the summer right now.

[sirdizzy]

well the fact that it only had a %27 let off from its first week helped enormously, it is having the kind of drops finding nemo had

if it does it again this weekend i would say it will make 250-300 million dollars

[sirdizzy]

yea i think POTC is going to make 250 million, it passed bad boys II on tuesday and slipped back intot he #1 spot

1 Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl $5,449,000 $143,789,000
2 Bad Boys II $5,353,000 $57,893,000
3 The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen $1,427,000 $45,329,000
4 Johnny English $1,397,000 $11,806,000
5 Finding Nemo $1,296,000 $306,283,000
6 Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines $1,234,000 $130,282,000
7 Legally Blonde 2: Red, White & Blonde $1,098,000 $77,533,000
8 How to Deal $928,000 $7,718,000
9 Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle $664,000 $90,471,000
10 28 Days Later $410,000 $34,200,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think 250 million is very possible actually this is the surprise of the year, IMO I never though this movie could do more than 200.

[sirdizzy]

decided to update this for ya JMC


1. Finding Nemo 320.0M
2. Matrix Reloaded 277.1M
3. Bruce Almighty 238.5M
4 X-Men 2 214.6M
5. Pirates of the Caribbean 209.5M
6. Terminator 3 142.9M
7. Anger Managment 135.0M
8. Bringing Down the House $132.4M
9.Hulk 130.2M
10 2 Fast 2 Furious 125.4M
11. Bady Boys 2 111.3
12.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.8M
13.Daredevil $102.5M
14 Daddy Day Care 101.4M

[Jedi Master Carr]

It was okay except for T3 so I edited it for you, other wise thanks. :)

[Arya Ravenwing]

Yay for Pirates and Nemo!! Ocean movies rule. ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Right now I think by the end of September we will be adding at least two more movies. Spy Kids 3 should make it and I think Seabiscuit will as well. American Wedding is possible depends on how bad it drops on weekends. Swat, Freak Friday and Jason Vs Freddy are the only three films left to open that has a chance. I'd say 1-2 of those will. So we are looking at least 17 movies by the end of September. I am not going to predict the Fall although I have two guarentees right now ROTK and Cat in the Hat after that I am not sure.

[ReaperFett]

I wouldn't be suprised if Once Upon a Time in Mexico, Kill Bill and that Russel Crowe boat film make it too.

[Jedi Master Carr]

They are possiblities, though Kill Bill is now two movies so its 50-50. The Crowe Movie is a good possbility and Once upon a Time in Mexico could squeak by the 100 mark. I also haven't seen a full release schedule so I don't know what else is coming out from September to December. I know Scary Movie 3 is and Runaway Jury, and some Disney Cartoon after those I am not sure.

[sirdizzy]

matrix revolutiosn should be a guantee too JMC and i am thinking that looney toons movie has got a good chance too

[Jedi Master Carr]

I forgot about Revolutions I knew I was forgetting something :p Yeah and Looney Toons is possible it will be be big with the kids and also will have the new HP movie trailer on it which could help it.

[sirdizzy]

i like the last samurai but i thinks its a dark horse like seabiscuit it depends on how good it is

the new peter pan looks fun as well, but again i think the reviews on that one is going to make a big difference

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah Peter Pan is a maybe, IMO Last Samurai could do it will be hard to say Cruise has been iffy at the box office lately.

[sirdizzy]

we got to have the magnificient 7 though


the last 3 years there has been 7 (exactly 7) movies released nov-dec that have done 100 million during the holiday crunch

USA Today had a really fun article about it last November

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 327.8M
2. Matrix Reloaded 278.3M
3. Pirates of the Caribbean 248.7M
4 Bruce Almighty 239.9M
5. X-Men 2 214.8M
6. Terminator 3 147.6M
7. Anger Managment 135.6M
8. Bringing Down the House $132.7M
9. Hulk 131.2M
10 Bady Boys 2 128.9M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 126.2M
12.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.8M
13.Daredevil $102.5M
14 Daddy Day Care 102.4M

CA 2 is at 97.7. Will it make it?
Spy Kids 3 is next at 96 that should make it next weekend.
The Italian Job is at 96 and it getting a rerelease on Labor Day I bet it makes it. After that the next two possibilities are Seabiscuit at 83 and American Wedding at 80. Swat is possible and so is FVJ.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 330.1M
2. Matrix Reloaded 278.9M
3. Pirates of the Caribbean 262.7M
4 Bruce Almighty 240.4M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 148.6M
7. Anger Managment 135.6M
8. Bad Boys 2 132.8M
9. Bringing Down the House $132.7M
10 Hulk 131.5M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 126.6M
12.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days $105.8M
13. Spy Kids 3D 103.0M
14. Daddy Day Care 102.7M
15 Daredevil $102.5M

Okay Spy Kids made the list. It looks like unfortuntely that CA 2 will barely make this list. It is at 99.684, it needs 316 thousand to make, it could still fall short, but it made 2 million in a week some how??? Also the Italian Job has a great chance with it being put into 1500 theaters this weekend it could make it in a week or two. Seabiscuit is next at 94.291 it should make it, IMO. Also American Wedding and Swat are both over 90 both should make it with no problem. Freaky Friday and Freddy vs Jason both might fall short though.

[imported_Marcus]

whats the bet on Nemo winning the year? ROTK is no certaintly to reach 330 million. I think Nemo has a great chance now. ROTK Really will have to be as good as they are saying now and win Oscars to have a hope

[CMJ]

I think FN has a 95% chance of winning the year at this point.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well TTT made 339, so I think ROTK could make that much. I think ROTK will do it myself because it will be the best of the triolgy because it finally has an ending :p

[Master Yoghurt]

I'd say ROTK still wins the year. But not by much. I think its going to be a close race

But wow, 330 million and still climbing. Who would have thought that!

[General Tohmahawk]

If ROTK beats Nemo, it will also beat Forest Gump.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I don't think Nemo will make much more after this weekend. School is back after Monday for everybody and Nemo will go to Dollar theaters plus its going to DVD in November so right now I bet it makes 335-336. ROTK can beat that and do I agree with you Yog the race will be close.

[sirdizzy]

its sad i thought nemo was such a major dissapointment and it could end up being the #1 movie of the year


LOTR has had to overcome longer movies with less showtimes available and still do amazing amounts of money thats a testament to its greatness


but there are still those rumors circulating that Jackson will be releasing the extended version of ROTK to the screens which is another 30-40 minutes of footage

[Jedi Master Carr]

Man 4 movies made it this weekend

1. Finding Nemo 332.7M
2. Matrix Reloaded 279.8M
3. Pirates of the Caribbean 275.0M
4 Bruce Almighty 240.9M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 149.0M
7. Anger Managment 135.6M
8. Bad Boys 2 135.0M
9. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
10 Hulk 131.8M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 126.8M
12 Spy Kids 3D 107.4M
13 2.How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
14 Seabiscuit 104.6M
15. Daddy Day Care 103.1M
16. Swat 102.7M
17 Daredevil 102.5M
18 The Italian Job 100.9M
19 Charlies Angels 2 100.3M

American Wedding only needs 2.31 million to make it should get there next weekend. Freaky Friday needs 10 million more that should make it as well. That will probably be it for the Summer unless Freddy vs Jason can some how make 27 million more here though I doubt it. Also I think CA 2 will hold down that last spot so you don't have to worry about Daredevil being last on this list Reaper :p

[ReaperFett]

Damn right, I'm hoping for another burst at Christmas to knock it over DDC finally ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well here is a bi-weekly update

1. Finding Nemo 334.7M
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 288.1M
3. Matrix Reloaded 280.7M
4 Bruce Almighty 241.7M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 149.6M
7. Bad Boys 2 137.3M
8. Anger Managment 135.6M
9. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
10 Hulk 132.0M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.0M
12 Seabiscuit 113.8M
13. Swat 112.9M
14 Spy Kids 3D 109.6M
15 How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
16. The Italian Job 104.8M
17. Daddy Day Care 103.5M
18 American Wedding 102.6M
19 Daredevil 102.5M
20. Freaky Friday 102.1M
21 Charlies Angels 2 100.3M

21 Movies now we are going to have at least 25 could have as many as 30. Not sure what will be the next movie to hit 100. Jason and Freddy is the only film close that is still playing and it is at 80 don't think it will make it. Once Upon a Time in Mexico has a chance I think. If it can have good drops. Underworld is possible not sure if anything else in September can.

[CMJ]

"Underworld" can go either way. I can see it as a hit or a HUGE flop.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah that is my opinion on it as well. I forgot another possibility the Ben Stiller-Drew Barrymore comedy Duplex that is a possibility.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 335.7M
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 296.0M
3. Matrix Reloaded 281.0M
4 Bruce Almighty 242.2M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 150.1M
7. Bad Boys 2 137.9M
8. Anger Managment 135.6M
9. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
10 Hulk 132.2M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
12 Seabiscuit 117.5M
13. Swat 115.5M
14 Spy Kids 3D 110.4M
15 Freaky Friday 106.9M
16. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
17. The Italian Job 105.7M
18. Daddy Day Care 103.9M
19 American Wedding 103.8M
20 Daredevil 102.5M
21 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M


Not a lot of change and I think it might be a while before we add another. Once upon a time in Mexico is doing the best of the recent releases but it is at 50 and probably will do 80 at most (which is great considering its budget).
We are looking at Oct. now there are a lot of movies coming out like Scary Movie 3, Runway Jury, The school of Rock and Out of Time (which both open this weekend), Kill Bill V1, Texas Chainsaw Massacre, and Intolerable Cruelty. Those movies have the best chances in October.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 338.7M
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 301.2M
3. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
4 Bruce Almighty 242.7M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 150.4M
7. Bad Boys 2 138.5M
8. Anger Managment 135.6M
9. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
10 Hulk 132.2M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
12 Seabiscuit 119.4M
13. Swat 116.5M
14 Spy Kids 3D 110.9M
15 Freaky Friday 108.6M
16. The Italian Job 106.1M
17. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
18. American Wedding 104.4M
19 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
20 Daredevil 102.5M
21 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M

Nothing new to add. Not sure what the next movie will be to make it. Scary Movie 3 is the closest of anything recent, with 52 million after 5 days it probably should make 100. Brother Bear (which opens Saturday) could make it, and then there is Matrix Revolution coming out next Thursday.

[JMK]

Wow I had NO idea that the Pirates of the Caribbean made over 300 million. That's crazy and even though I haven't seen it and know nothing about it, I bet there's a sequel in the works. ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Heh there is. I have to say it is defintely the suprise film of the year. I never saw it being the #2 film of the summer and making 300.

[Sejah Haversh]

The Italian Job only made just over 100 million? Wow, I thougth it would have hit 150 at least, it was a totally awesome movie, and the best moviegoing experience I had almost all year.

[CMJ]

IJ actually did quite well. It wasn't ever projected at much more than it grossed. In fact after it's relatively small opening, 105M+ is a GREAT final number

[Syo]

Italian Job was great, I bought it on DVD. I have seen all those movies except Freaky Friday which i plan on seeing when it hits the dollar theatres.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 339.6M
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 304.2M
3. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
4 Bruce Almighty 242.7M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 150.4M
7. Bad Boys 2 138.5M
8. Anger Managment 135.6M
9. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
10 Hulk 132.2M
11. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
12 Matrix Revolution 125.4
13 Seabiscuit 120.0M
14. Swat 116.8M
15 Spy Kids 3D 111.0M
16 Freaky Friday 108.9M
17. Scary Movie 3 106.5
18 The Italian Job 106.1M
19. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
20. American Wedding 104.5M
21 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
22 Daredevil 102.5M
23 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M

Two more films got added, Elf should be next. I am not sure about Cat in the Hat now. I think it will probably barely make it maybe make 110-120 range. After that ROTK is a lock. Haunted Mansion and Last Samuari look like good possibilities, Timeline, The Missing, Cold Moutain, Mona Lisa Smiles (staring Julia Roberts), Peter Pan and that Jack Nicholson flick (forget the name) are all possibilities. We will get 25 100 for sure but probably somewhere between 27-30 I think right now.

[JMK]

Wow, it really doesn't look as if Revolutions will catch Reloaded does it?

[Syo]

It doesn't look like Revolutions is going to catch T3 much less Reloaded

The Jack Nicholson one is Something's Gotta Give costarring Diane Keaton and I honestly think its going to bomb for one its realising is at a bad time 5 days before ROTK, and there are better looking chick flicks out at that time like Love Actually and Mona Lisa Smile
I would be surprised if it makes 60 million


I am thinking Cat in the Hat is going to fail as well, as once the word of mouth gets out on how bad it is the movie will drop like a rock. Plus you got another kid movie being released this week in The Haunted Mansion that should give it troubles.

Elf is a guanteed lock, so is ROTK thats 25.

After that I only see Haunted Mansion, The Last Samurai , Peter Pan and Mona Lisa Smile having any chance of making a 100 million.

[ReaperFett]

Course Revolutions wont catch Reloaded. Part 2 of a large sequel, May opening and November opening. It never had a chance.

T3 it can manage if it shores up a bit. BB2 might not be too big a deal.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Cold Mountain is a maybe only because it will be a huge Oscar film it could do American Beauty money. (100-120)

[CMJ]

I think AB did 140M+.

Watch out for 'Big Fish'. That might be a surprise hit...has great buzz right now.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Thanks, I was sure :) Yeah I forgot about Big Fish that has some possibilities too.

[JMK]

November/December openings don't seem to hurt Harry Potter movies or LotR movies...

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah maybe WB should have had Harry Potter come out there I really think it would have destroyed everything in November especially this November. Although I think it has a better opening date in June, honestly. I don't see anything hurting ROTK this year.

[JediBoricua]

Well Disney made a killing this year.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 339.7M
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 305.1M
3. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
4 Bruce Almighty 242.8M
5. X-Men 2 214.9M
6. Terminator 3 150.4M
7. Elf 139.9M
8. Bad Boys 2 138.6M
9. Matrix Revolution 135.8M
10. Anger Managment 135.6M
11. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
12 Hulk 132.2M
13. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
14 Seabiscuit 120.2M
15. Swat 116.9M
16 Spy Kids 3D 111.4M
17 Freaky Friday 109.5M
18. Scary Movie 3 108.8
19 The Italian Job 106.1M
20. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
22. American Wedding 104.5M
23 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
24 Daredevil 102.5M
25 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M


We now reached 25 films. Elf made it last week and is zooming up there. Cat in the Hat might make it, it needs 15 million, but I think it will just barely make it accross. After that you have Haunted mansion at 50 million, and Last Samuari at 26. Last Samuari is a better bet it might eventually make it. After that ROTK seems a safe bet :p. Then there is Mona Lisa Smiles, Big Fish, Cold Mountain, Peter Pan and Something got to give. Those are really the big films to come out the rest of this month.

[JMK]

How much has Master and Commander brought in so far?

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think 70 million, I don't think it will make a a 100 unless it gets a bunch of oscar nods.

[Syo]

You forgot Paycheck the new Affleck film that looks pretty good that comes out on Christmas Day

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah that could do it although right now I am iffy on it. Another possibility is Stuck on you the new Farrley Brothers film, just about all of their films have been hits.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Finding Nemo 339.7M
2. Pirates of the Caribbean 305.4M
3. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
4 Bruce Almighty 242.8M
5. Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 241.9
6. X-Men 2 214.9M
7. Elf 166.7M
8. Terminator 3 150.4M
9. Bad Boys 2 138.6M
10. Matrix Revolution 138.0M
11. Anger Managment 135.6M
12. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
13 Hulk 132.2M
14. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
15 Seabiscuit 120.2M
16. Swat 116.9M
17 Spy Kids 3D 111.4M
18 Freaky Friday 110.0M
19. Scary Movie 3 109.2M
20 The Italian Job 106.1M
21. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
22. American Wedding 104.5M
23 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
24 Daredevil 102.5M
25 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M


Well we got 25 films. And it looks like we will get one more in Cat in the Hat very soon. After that I have no clue. Cheaper by the Dozen is off to a good start. Cold Mountain has a very good chance, IMO after that the only film that might come close is The Last Samuari. I have to say the holiday season is down compared to last year not sure why.

[Syo]

Well as far as holiday movies go there should be quite a few of them, they just took their time getting there

Return of the King, and Elf have already done it

The Cat in the Hat might have made it this weekend

It now looks for sure that The Last Samurai and Cheaper by the Dozen will accomplish the feat

Something's Gotta Give has a really good chance of limping over the mark

Cold Mountain might make it with an Oscar push (they are earlier this year too wonder when the nominations will be out)

and that would be 7 movies the same as the last 3 years

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am not sure about Last Samuari, it needs 10 million, it might inch over but not by much. Cold Mountain could go either way. I agree with the others. Still it is just down from the last two holiday seasons which I guess could be unfair comparisons 2001 had two 300 million films and one over 250, and 1 over 150 last year we had 1 over 300 and one over 250 and two I think over 150. Maybe its becuase we are missing Harry Potter this year :p

[Jedi Master Carr]

A bunch of films to add
1. Finding Nemo 339.7M
2. Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 329.0M
3. Pirates of the Caribbean 305.4M
4. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
5 Bruce Almighty 242.8M
6. X-Men 2 214.9M
7. Elf 172.1M
8. Terminator 3 150.4M
9. Matrix Revolution 138.7M
10. Bad Boys 2 138.6M
11. Anger Managment 135.6M
12. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
13 Hulk 132.2M
14. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
15 Seabiscuit 120.2M
16. Swat 116.9M
17 Cheaber by the Dozen 115.1M
18 Spy Kids 3D 111.4M
19 Freaky Friday 110.2M
20. Scary Movie 3 109.8M
21 The Italian Job 106.1M
22. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
23. American Wedding 104.5M
24 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
25 The Last Samuari 102.6M
26 Daredevil 102.5M
27 Something's Got to Give 101.7M
28 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M
29 Cat in the Hat 100.3M


Cat in the Hat finally made it but I bet it remains last on this list :p
There is only two films that I think have a chance to make it now. Cold Mountain, which is at 65 million currently it could do it once the Oscars are over. And Master and Command but it would have to do better than the Oscars than I can see happening.

[Syo]

well ya got the golden globes this sunday then on tuesday ya get the oscar nominations

so this might be the time it gets a big push

[Jedi Master Carr]

I'v been putting this off too long

1. Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 361.1M
2. Finding Nemo 339.7M
3. Pirates of the Caribbean 305.4M
4. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
5 Bruce Almighty 242.8M
6. X-Men 2 214.9M
7. Elf 173.3M
8. Terminator 3 150.4M
9. Matrix Revolution 139.2M
10. Bad Boys 2 138.6M
11. Anger Managment 135.6M
12. Cheaber by the Dozen 135.4M
13. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
14 Hulk 132.2M
15. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
16 Something's Got to Give 121.4M
17. Seabiscuit 120.2M
18. Swat 116.9M
19 Spy Kids 3D 111.4M
20 Freaky Friday 110.2M
21. The Last Samuari 110.1M
22. Scary Movie 3 110.0M
23 The Italian Job 106.1M
24. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
25. American Wedding 104.5M
26 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
27 Daredevil 102.5M
28 Cat in the Hat 100.9M
29 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M

nothing new Master and Command looks like it might make it, it needs 8 million, I'd say its iff if it does it or not. Cold Mountain is next, it needs 10 million, it may pass it. The only other film close is Mystic River at 79.2 it has a small chance at well. Otherwise the box office numbers for 2003 are getting close to done.

[Madmartigan]

update

1. Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 376.9M
2. Finding Nemo 339.7M
3. Pirates of the Caribbean 305.4M
4. Matrix Reloaded 281.5M
5 Bruce Almighty 242.8M
6. X-Men 2 214.9M
7. Elf 173.3M
8. Terminator 3 150.4M
9. Matrix Revolution 139.2M
10. Bad Boys 2 138.6M
11. Cheaper by the Dozen 138.6M
12. Anger Managment 135.6M
13. Bringing Down the House 132.7M
14 Hulk 132.2M
15. 2 Fast 2 Furious 127.1M
16 Something's Got to Give 124.6M
17. Seabiscuit 120.2M
18. Swat 116.9M
19 Spy Kids 3D 111.4M
20 Freaky Friday 110.2M
21. The Last Samuari 111.1M
22. Scary Movie 3 110.0M
23 The Italian Job 106.1M
24. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days 105.8M
25. American Wedding 104.5M
26 Daddy Day Care 104.1M
27 Daredevil 102.5M
28 Cat in the Hat 100.9M
29 Charlies Angels 2 100.8M