Holiday Box Office Contest Weekend 3

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay time to get started, weekend three is upon and this time it is a Harry Potter weekend bonus. So whoever guesses Harry Potter the closest gets double points, for a possible 50 points that should improve one of your scores. Okay you have until Saturday 9AM or around that to get your guesses in, good luck.

[sirdizzy]

me first

1. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets 87.92
2. 8 Mile 26.11
3. The Santa Clause 2 14.34
4. The Ring 10.22
5. Half Past Dead 8.04

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend Theater Counts:

Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets: 3,682 (NEW!)
- <a href=http://www.apple.com/trailers/wb/potterchamberofsecrets-tlr2.html>Trailer 2 (http://www.apple.com/trailers/wb/harrypotterchamberofsecrets.html>Trailer) - Rotten Tomatoes: 50/61 - 82% (fresh!)

The Santa Clause 2: 3,346 (-6)

I Spy: 2,611 (-571)

The Ring: 2,882 (-45)

8 Mile: 2,499 (+29)

Jackass: 2,413 (-119)

Half Past Dead: 2,113 (NEW!)
<a href=http://www.apple.com/trailers/columbia/half_past_dead/>Trailer</a> - Rotten Tomatoes: 0/20 - 0% (all rotten!)

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 1,812 (-163)

[Master Yoghurt]

Weekend Predictions:

Box Office Guru
Harry Potter 2 - 80
8 Mile - 28
The Santa Clause 2 - 17
Half Past Dead - 8

Lees Movie Info
Chamber of Secrets $90.135
8 Mile $19.012 (-63%)
The Santa Clause 2 $14.615 (-40%)
The Ring $10.920 (-30%)
Half Past Dead $5.591
I Spy $5.055 (-43%)
Jackass $4.708 (-34%)
My Greek Wedding $4.550 (-22%)
Sweet Home Alabama $2.449 (-36%)
Frida $2.215 (-20%)

Box Office Prophets
Chamber of Secrets 86.3
8 Mile 32.7
The Santa Clause 2 16.1
The Ring 11.8
Half Past Dead 10.2
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 5.3
I Spy 5.2
jackass: the movie 3.8
Frida 3.5
Sweet Home Alabama 2.5

Box Office Report
Chamber of Secrets $86.0 m
8 Mile $26.0 m
The Santa Clause 2 $14.0 m
The Ring $12.0 m
Half Past Dead $11.0 m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding $5.5 m
I Spy $5.0 m
jackass: the movie $4.0 m
Sweet Home Alabama $2.8 m
Frida $2.5 m


Weekend Analysis: <a href=http://www.hsj.org/cl/shades033/>HSJ.org</a>

[Sene Unty]

Chamber of Secrets 88.54
8 Mile 35.23
The Santa Clause 2 13.12
The Ring 12.10
Half Past Dead 8.65

[ReaperFett]

Chamber of Secrets 89.99
8 Mile 38.83
The Santa Clause 2 14.93
The Ring 13.49
Half Past Dead 9.94

[Jedi Master Carr]

Harry Potter 2 91.54
8 Mile 34.42
Santa Clause 2 17.47
The Ring 12.22
Half Past Dead 7.47

[Quadinaros]

1. Harry $84.62
2. 8 Mile $28.62
3. Santa $13.62
4. Ring $9.62
5. Half Past Dead $8.62

[JMK]

1. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets 85.85
2. 8 Mile 27.78
3. The Santa Clause 2 13.65
4. The Ring 9.55
5. Half Past Dead 7.32

[Admiral Lebron]

1. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets - 97.31
2. 8 Mile - 35.24
3. Santa Claus 2 - 21.21
4. The Ring - 13.42
5. Half Past Dead - 11.00


Lose. All of you!

[Master Yoghurt]

Harry Smokes Pot Again: 101M!
8 mile 25.25M
SC2 12.88M
Ring: 10.66M
Half Past Dead: 6.85M

[Master Yoghurt]

Not sure if these are accurate or even the real studio estimates, but here are fridays numbers:

HARRY POTTER 28.844
8 MILE 6.493
THE RING 3.578
SANTA CLAUSE 3.530
HALF PAST DEAD 2.755
GREEK WEDDING 1.326
JACKASS 1.248
I SPY 1.193
FRIDA .802

[Admiral Lebron]

Damnit Yog. I hate you. I wanted the highest Potter guess. :(

[Master Yoghurt]

Looking at Friday estimate, I think neither of us will do any good on Harry Potter. 97 or 101 million seems too high.

(If you REALLY want the highest Harry Potter figure, we could trade our #1 predictions ;))

[Admiral Lebron]

I think it will hit in the 95-105 area.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I say it makes between 85-90, which will make it tough because all but two picked it between that range, (I went a little higher, I took in inflation :p) It also looks like we all will finally get the five films right. SC 2 was only like 100 thousand behind the Ring and it will do better on Saturday and Sunday to get it pass the Ring (It has done this the last two weekends) Now we will have to wait till Monday to see who gets those double points.

[JMK]

Well if 85 and 90 is what it makes then I may have a chance!

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here are the estimates
Harry Potter 2 87.69
8 Mile 21.33
Santa Clause 2 15.06
The Ring 11.03
Half Past Dead 8.20

Well it looks like it is between JMK and Sene if the estimate holds and it isn't off by more than a million. Everybody will get 25 points at least because everybody got the top 5 right.

[ReaperFett]

Santa Clause 2 looks good for me, but 8 Mile was WAY off :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

8 Mile Tanked badly, also I was wrong it looks like Dizzy is pretty close, (he posted before Yog posted the theater counts so I didn't see it) It will depend on if they over predicted or not, if they did JMK wins if not Dizzy takes it Sene would only win if they underpredicted it, which is possible.

[Admiral Lebron]

Maybe they underpredicted by 10mil?

[Jedi Master Carr]

You never know;)

[JMK]

Yum, 50 bonus points would be wonderful! But if Sene gets it that would be ok, he's a Dolphins' fan. ;)

[Sene Unty]

Go fins!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[sirdizzy]

the final numbers were
1 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets WB $88,357,488
2 1 8 Mile UNIV $19,344,025
3 2 The Santa Clause 2 BV $15,102,078
4 3 The Ring D'WORKS $10,662,183
5 - Half Past Dead SONY/SCREEN $7,820,536

[sirdizzy]

man i got kyped in 2 grosses including harry potter i was only .53 away and i still don't get the points

i did get the gorss for half past dead though at least

[JMK]

Looks like I just get the regular fare of 25 points. :(

[Master Yoghurt]

Besides getting #2 and #4 right, it looks like I nailed The Ring to the nearest ten thousand! :eek

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah you did and it really gives you a big lead now, hopefully we can all catch up. Here are the winners

Winner of #1 Sene Unty
Winner of #2 Master Yoghurt
Winner of #3 ReaperFett
Winner of #4 Master Yoghurt
Winner of #5 Sir Dizzy

Master Yoghurt got the Ring almost exactly right so he will get 15 more points to his total.

Sene Unty 75
Master Yoghurt 70
ReaperFett 40
Sir Dizzy 30
JMK 25
Jedi Master Carr 25
Quadinaros 25
Admiral Lebron 25

Master Yoghurt 130
ReaperFett 105
Sene Unty 90
Sir Dizzy 70
Jedi Master Carr 65
Admiral Lebron 60
JMK 45
Quadinaros 40
Jedieb 20
Marcus Q'Dunn 20

[Sene Unty]

hahahahaha 3rd place......hmmmmm......this reminds me of that push I made into first on the football picks and then later have begun to bomb out.......don't get scared guys, I won't keep it up:D

[ReaperFett]

IIRC, Yog overtook me last time with a huge one week :)

[Sene Unty]

well I am snapping at your heels.

*snap. Snap*

Feel the pressure?

(I love talking smack!) :D

[Admiral Lebron]

IIRC I overtook dizzy in a week and it stayed like that for most of june through gold member.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Ok as you can see I changed the bonus, me and Yog discussed and we felt that we make some changes with it this is how it will be if you get as close as he did
You guess #1 and you get 50 points
#2 25
#3 20
#4 15
#5 10

I think this is the fairest way to do it so that somebody doesn't guess the #5 movie that close and get 50 points and might get more points than the person who guessed the #1 movie. Still Yog has taken a good lead, but I think the rest of us still have a chance.

[Master Yoghurt]

Not bad :)

I just noticed an error in the maths calculating accuracy last weekend. I will just use the <a href=http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/derbyrules.html>same system</a> as boxoffice mojo from now on. My percentage accuracy this weekend is:

Title - Prediction/Actual - Accuracy

Harry Potter 2: 101/88.36 - 85.69%
8 mile: 25.25/19.34 - 69.44%
Santa Clause 2: 12.88/15.10 - 85.30%
Ring: 10.66/10.66 - 100% :D
Half Past Dead: 6.85/7.82 - 87.60%

Average accuracy: 85.6%

[Master Yoghurt]

I got to hand it to sirdizzy, he predicted excellent this weekend!

Sirdizzy
HP2: 99.5%
8mile: 64.99%
SC2: 94.97%
Ring: 95.87%
HPD: 97.19%

Avg 90.50%

[sirdizzy]

yea and i got freaking 5 points for all the good predicting

[Quadinaros]

That's what happens when you go first. :evil

[sirdizzy]

hey at least i have the balls to go first instead of waiting to snipe people

[Quadinaros]

Brave of you my boy... but foolish. I try to reach a middle ground by waiting until Friday evening after I have seen the Thursday box office numbers, then coming up with the best predictions I can, allowing only about 12 hours for my predictions to be 'sniped.' ;)

Well, so far it ain't working.

[sirdizzy]

somebody has to go first afterall


and anyways it appears i am doing better then you