Box office Contest Week 9 Transformers 2 numbers due Wed 10PM PST

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay this weekend will be different Transformers 2 is five days so that prediction will be doubled and is due Wed at 10 PM PST. Everything else is due on Friday regular time here is last weekend's actuals

1 N The Proposal BV ------------- $33,627,598
2 1 The Hangover WB ------------ $26,753,473
3 2 Up BV ----------------------- $23,492,677
4 N Year One -------------------- $19,610,304
5 3 The Taking of Pelham 123 ---- $12,034,899

Two new releases
Transformers 2
My Sister's Keeper

[Yog]

I predict...

1. Transformers 2: 185.22M (5 days)

Yep, that's right. 185M 5-day gross. That would make it only second to The Dark Knight's all time 5 day opening record of $203.8M. That also means, it would smash the 5-day opening record for a film debuting on a wednesday at $152.4 (spider-man 2).

Anyone going higher? :lol

[Crusader]

1. Transformers 2: 185.23M (5 days) FEAR ME!!!

[Ryan Pode]

1. Transformers 2: Revenge of the Fallen: 163.84M

[Xavier Synik]

Five days... But none are holidays, which could have made it like 200 Mil...

1) TF2: 147.34M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 Transformers 2 174.22
I think it is going to have very bad WOM if the reviews tell us anything.

Also nobody edit your posts just add the other movies in a new post.

[Yog]

I think it is going to have very bad WOM if the reviews tell us anything.
I think in this case, the WOM is not going to be nearly as bad as the reviews. It currently has a A- at yahoo user reviews (http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1809943432/info).

That being said, I think the reviews are probably right in the sense that the sequel is not as good as the original transformers movie. It will probably be entertaining enough to please the vast majority of the average moviegoer though, at least during the opening weekend.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I think it will keep anybody who didn't see the first one in theaters from going to see it. I know I have no interest now after seeing those reviews. I thought about it because I did see the first one on DVD and thought it was a good movie. Now I think all it will do is keep it from making more than 350-375.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Who is this person who didn't see the first one? ;) They weren't going to see this one anyway, regardless of the reviews.

1. Transformers: RotF - $168.29 M

[CMJ]

1. Transformers 2 - 189.02M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Who is this person who didn't see the first one? ;) They weren't going to see this one anyway, regardless of the reviews.

1. Transformers: RotF - $168.29 M

Well those who saw it on DVD like me. The reviews turned me off. It just will keep it from making 400 million but 350+ is hell a lot of money and I think only one movie could beat it and that would be Avatar.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

You saw it though.

[Jedi Master Carr]

You saw it though.

True just not in theaters. I see what you mean though.

[Lykaios]

1. Transformers 2

*drum roll please*



























































$193. 45 M :o

[Xavier Synik]

You sir are on something.... and I want some...

[Liam Jinn]

1. Transformers 2 - $165.34 M

[Crusader]

Don't forget guys: This is the first real big summer blockbuster popcorn film that is not based on a franchise that had already more than 2 entries.
I guess there is still a lot of money on the street for movies even in our current times.

[Yog]

Now I think all it will do is keep it from making more than 350-375.
Care to make a bet? :p

I think you are looking way too hard at the critics (if it's rotten tomatoes score you're looking at). Most of those reviews are actually not that terrible, it's just the threshold for getting a fresh rating. You need at least 3/5 stars, or 2.5/4 to get a fresh rating, and many of those reviews are just beneath that threshold. Those same critics roasted the original movie, or gave it lukewarm reviews. The consensus seems to be it is an action packed visual extravaganza, but lacking in the deeper qualities of film making. Duh. It's the biggest summer popcorn movie of the year, and it is about giant robots trashing each other. What did they expect?

I also think it's a huge mistake waiting for DVD release, because no other movie that I know of benefits as much of a high screen resolution as the original Transformers movie. There is so much visual effects and fast moving action, it is hard to track what is going on at low resolution screeens. I had to watch it twice in the theaters just to absorb all that was happening. Then when the DVD was released, I was appaled by all the details lost due to the format. It was like missing 3/4th of the movie. You need 1080p on a big screen at the bare minimum (with a top of the line home theater system), IMO, and even that is not enough compared to 4K digital movie theater projections and 35mm. DVD is simply inadequate for Transformers, and I suspect even more so for the sequel.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

We're planning on catching this in IMAX this weekend, should the stars/babysitters align.

[Yog]

^^ I'm envious about your IMAX screen. We had one in Oslo, but then they shut it down just when full length movies on IMAX were starting to take off.

Also, Box Office Mojo says Transformers made about $16M in midnights, and 60M overall first day.... on a non holiday WEDNESDAY. :cyduck
(and in 3,000 theaters, rather than the 4,234 full theater wide)

Check this chart of reference:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/?page=single&p=.htm

[Yog]

Right now, I think this is between CMJ and Lykaios, with the odds being in Lykaios favor. I think 190M+ 5-day is very likely, and even 200M is a strong possibility, depending on thursday numbers.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Now I think all it will do is keep it from making more than 350-375.
Care to make a bet? :p

I think you are looking way too hard at the critics (if it's rotten tomatoes score you're looking at). Most of those reviews are actually not that terrible, it's just the threshold for getting a fresh rating. You need at least 3/5 stars, or 2.5/4 to get a fresh rating, and many of those reviews are just beneath that threshold. Those same critics roasted the original movie, or gave it lukewarm reviews. The consensus seems to be it is an action packed visual extravaganza, but lacking in the deeper qualities of film making. Duh. It's the biggest summer popcorn movie of the year, and it is about giant robots trashing each other. What did they expect?

I also think it's a huge mistake waiting for DVD release, because no other movie that I know of benefits as much of a high screen resolution as the original Transformers movie. There is so much visual effects and fast moving action, it is hard to track what is going on at low resolution screeens. I had to watch it twice in the theaters just to absorb all that was happening. Then when the DVD was released, I was appaled by all the details lost due to the format. It was like missing 3/4th of the movie. You need 1080p on a big screen at the bare minimum (with a top of the line home theater system), IMO, and even that is not enough compared to 4K digital movie theater projections and 35mm. DVD is simply inadequate for Transformers, and I suspect even more so for the sequel.

I have a blue ray so quality is almost never a issue for me. I disagree with you about the critics. It has a 4.0/10 rating which is horrible. That makes a major difference for me and will keep me from paying 8-10 bucks to see it. As for the weekend I still think it will be heavily frontloaded and still don't see 400 million. It will probably be #1 in the U.S, unless Avatar really shocks us. Potter will beat it WW. It did horrible in Japan and just average in the U.K this past weekend.

[Crusader]

Michael Bay! I want my brains back!
This was such hilarious mindless fun but I am having a hard time to call it a great movie. It was good but it was too mind blowing to really reflect on it while watching the movie.
Oh and BTW it is the best recruitment video for the US-Army since Top Gun.
The US Army steals the show again from the Autobots at the end of this movie.

[Jedi Master Carr]

That is part of my problem. I hate Michael Bay. I find most of movies garbage.

[Yog]

2. The Proposal - 20.35M
3. The Hangover - 16.92M
4. Up - 14.95M
5. My Sister's Keeper - 12.95M

[Crusader]

2. The Proposal - 19.85M
3. The Hangover - 17.65M
4. Up - 13.55M
5. My Sister's Keeper - 13.10M

[Xavier Synik]

2. The Proposal 22.45 M
3. The Hangover - 18.75 M
4. My Sister's Keeper - 15.50 M
5. Up - 10.25M

[CMJ]

2. The Propsal - 18.75
3. The Hangover - 16.75
4. Up - 13.75
5. My Sisters Keeper - 12.97

[Jedi Master Carr]

2 The Proposal 19.22
3 The Hangover 16.44
4 Up 13.77
5 My Sisters Keeper 10.11

[Lilaena De'Ville]

2. The Proposal - $19.12M
3. The Hangover - $16.42M
4. My Sisters Keeper - $13.12M
5. Up - $12.87M

[Ryan Pode]

2. The Proposal - 21.25M
3. The Hangover - 17.43M
4. Up - 14.64M
5. My Sister's Keeper - 11.15M

[Liam Jinn]

2. The Proposal - $18.46M
3. The Hangover - $16.99M
4. Up - $14.99M
5. My Sister's Keeper - $13.13M

[Crusader]

1 N Transformers 2 P/DV --------- $201,246,000 Lykaios
2 1 The Proposal BV -------------- $18,466,000 Liam
3 2 The Hangover WB ------------ $17,215,000 depending on the outcome Liam or Ryan
4 3 Up BV ----------------------- $13,046,000 Yog
5 N My Sister's Keeper WB-------- $12,030,000 Ryan

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 N Transformers 2 P/DV --------- $200,077,255Lykaios
2 1 The Proposal BV -------------- $18,578,541Liam
3 2 The Hangover WB ------------ $17,022,166 Liam
4 3 Up BV ----------------------- $13,061,737 Lilaena De'Ville
5 N My Sister's Keeper WB-------- $12,442,212 Yog

Weekend Totals
Liam Jinn 60
Lykaios 55
Yog 30
Lilaena De'Ville 25
CMJ 25
Crusader 25
Jedi Master Carr 25
Ryan Pode 25
Xavier Synik 15

Contest Totals
Liam Jinn 310
Lilaena De'Ville 305
CMJ 295
Yog 275
Jedi Master Carr 245
Crusader 230
Ryan Pode 170
Xavier Synik 165
Lykaios 140

We have a new leader.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Liaaaaaam!!!! :shakefist

[Liam Jinn]

Well would you look at that... :D

[Lykaios]

Now if I only would've remembered on Friday to add the rest -_-

At least I've hit triple digits now! w00t!