Summer 2007 Box office Contest Week 15

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am going to put this up now. I will probably post the top 5 and new movies tomorrow.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Top 5 from last weekend
1 N The Bourne Ultimatum Uni. $69,283,690
2 1 The Simpsons Movie Fox $25,110,873
3 N Underdog BV $11,585,121
4 2 I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry Uni. $10,626,345
5 3 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix WB $9,522,220

New Releases
Rush Hour 3
StarDust
Daddy Day Care Camp
I doubt the latter will make the top 5. I mean Eddie Murphy wouldn't even reprise his role for that movie. Poor Cuba Gooding Jr, got an Oscar and is now doing movies Eddie Murphy won't do.

[Yog]

I am just back from vacation at summerplace and now got Internet access again. Will post some predictions later, and maybe an analysis / projection if you like :)

[CMJ]

1. Rush Hour 3 - 67.67M
2. Bourne Ultimatum - 29.78M
3. Stardust - 13.30M
4. The Simpsons Movie - 12.52M
5. Underdog - 6.74M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am just back from vacation at summerplace and now got Internet access again. Will post some predictions later, and maybe an analysis / projection if you like :)

Cool go for it :)
The only film I am not sure about is Stardust. I thought by its cast it has potential but it might be a tough sale to for most people.

[Yog]

I do not have the time for a proper write up, so I will instead post some box office projections from 'experts' with links to analysis etc:


<a href=http://www.comingsoon.net/blog/2007/08/preview_and_box_office_analysi_11.php>Weekend Warrior</a>
1. Rush Hour 3 (New Line) - $55.6 million N/A
2. The Bourne Ultimatum (Universal) - $33.3 million -52%
3. Stardust (Paramount) - $13.6 million N/A
4. The Simpsons Movie (20th Century Fox) - $11.8 million -53%
5. Underdog (Walt Disney) - $6.6 million -43%
6. Daddy Day Camp (Sony/TriStar) - $6.1 million N/A
7. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry (Universal) - $5.8 million -45%
8. Hairspray (New Line) - $5.5 million -40%
9. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.) - $5.2 million -45%
10. No Reservations (Warner Bros.) - $3.9 million -40%

<a href=http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend.htm>Box Office Guru</a>
Rush Hour 3 - $61M
The Bourne Ultimatum - $31M
The Simpsons Movie - $12.5M
Stardust (Paramount) - $11M
Daddy Day Camp - $8M

<a href=http://www.boxofficeprophets.com/column/index.cfm?columnID=10179>Box Office Prophets</a>
1. Rush Hour 3 - 62.4M
2. The Bourne Ultimatum - 40.2M
3. The Simpsons Movie - 11.3M
4. Stardust - 10.9M
5. Underdog - 6.8M
6. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry - 5.9M
7. Hairspray - 5.0M
8. Order of the Phoenix - 4.9M
9. No Reservations - 3.8M
10. Daddy Day Camp - 3.5M

<a href=http://www.boxofficereport.com/wbon/forecast.shtml>Box Office Report</a>
1. Rush Hour 3 - $67.0m (NEW)
2. The Bourne Ultimatum - $29.0m (-58%)
3. Stardust - $13.0m (NEW)
4. The Simpsons Movie - $12.0m (-52%)
5. Underdog - $6.7m (-42%)
6. Daddy Day Camp - $6.5m (NEW)
7. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry - $6.2m (-42%)
8. Hairspray - $5.7m (-38%)
9. Order of the Phoenix - $5.5 m (-42%)
10. No Reservations - $4.0m (-40%)

[Yog]

Theater counts and trailers..

Rush Hour 3
3,778 theaters
<a href=http://www.apple.com/trailers/newline/rushhour3/>Trailer</a>

StarDust
2,540 theaters
<a href=http://www.apple.com/trailers/paramount/stardust/>Trailer</a>

Daddy Day Care Camp
2,332 theaters
<a href=http://www.apple.com/trailers/sony_pictures/daddydaycamp/>Trailer</a>

[Jedi Master Carr]

Some of those predictions are a little too high for DDC. That movie will be lucky to do 4 million this weekend. It didn't even make 1 million in either of its first two days. It will probably do 3.5-4 million and not crack the top 10.

[Yog]

You are right. Man it is tanking. They should have just shipped it directly to DVD as they originally planned. Here are the thursday numbers..

1. BOURNE ULTIMATUM 6,025,000
2. SIMPSONS MOVIE, THE 2,625,000
3. HAIRSPRAY 1,565,000
4. UNDERDOG 1,440,000
5. I KNOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK & LARRY 1,350,000
6. HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX 1,190,000
7. NO RESERVATIONS 950,000
8. HOT ROD 745,000
9. TRANSFORMERS 735,000
10. DADDY DAY CAMP 715,000 :lol

[Yog]

1. Rush Hour 3: $61.12M
2. Bourne Ultimatum: $28.87M
3. Stardust: $15.03M
4. The Simpsons Movie: $10.94M
5. Underdog: $6.97M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am going on a slight limb with Rush Hour
1 Rush Hour 3 70.22
2 The Bourne Ultimatium 30.44
3 StarDust 14.55
4 The Simpson Movie 11.04
5 Underdog 6.11

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Rush Hour 3 - $62.87
The Bourne Ultimatum - $29.99
The Simpsons Movie - $13.55
Stardust (Paramount) - $12.15
Underdog - $7.99

[Yog]

I just realized Daddy Day Camp has a 2% score at Rotten Tomatoes, hahaha.

[Ryan Pode]

1. Rush Hour 3 - $73,139,493
2. The Bourne Ultimatum - $27,837,293
3. Stardust - $17,394,983
4. The Simpsons Movie - $11,726,669
5. Underdog - $6,787,999

[Yog]

Friday estimates

1. RUSH HOUR 3 NEW LINE 3,778 19,085,000 5,052 n/a 19,085,000
2. BOURNE ULTIMATUM, THE UNIVERSAL 3,687 10,471,000 2,840 n/a 109,111,000
3. SIMPSONS MOVIE, THE 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,552 3,524,000 992 n/a 144,665,000
4. STARDUST PARAMOUNT 2,540 3,065,000 1,207 n/a 3,065,000
5. UNDERDOG BVI 3,013 2,231,000 740 n/a 20,546,000
6. HAIRSPRAY NEW LINE 2,805 2,167,000 773 n/a 87,917,000
7. I KNOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK & LARRY UNIVERSAL 2,798 1,867,000 667 n/a 99,722,000
8. HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WARNER BROS. 2,585 1,590,000 615 n/a 268,215,000
9. NO RESERVATIONS WARNER BROS. 2,425 1,323,000 546 n/a 29,512,357
10. DADDY DAY CAMP SONY 2,332 1,256,000 539 n/a 2,745,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

Rush Hour disapointed. I think it was that 6 year gap that hurt it. It should still clear 50 million but it won't do no 60 like we were all thinking. Looks like Yog wins this one.

[Cat X]

Rush Hour disapointed. I think it was that 6 year gap that hurt it.

No, it is the fact it is an unwanted sequel to a not particularly good Rush Hour 2. Even Rush Hour wasnt all that good to begin with.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Brett Ratner destroyed X-Men 3, so this is no surprise to me. :shakefist Except that I watched X-Men 3 and I didn't watch Rush Hour 2 or 3. :p

[Yog]

Transformers passed 300M on friday, and it's just a question of time when it beats Pirates.

[Yog]

Weekend estimates

1 N RUSH HOUR 3 NL $50,240,000 - 3,778 - $13,298 $50,240,000 1
2 1 THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM Uni. $33,670,000 -51.4% 3,686 +26 $9,134 $132,343,000 2
3 2 THE SIMPSONS MOVIE Fox $11,125,000 -55.7% 3,552 -374 $3,132 $152,237,000 3
4 N STARDUST Par. $9,011,000 - 2,540 - $3,547 $9,011,000 1
5 3 UNDERDOG BV $6,456,000 -44.3% 3,013 - $2,142 $24,747,000 2
6 6 HAIRSPRAY NL $6,370,000 -31.0% 2,805 -310 $2,270 $92,113,000 4
7 4 I NOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK & LARRY Uni. $5,950,000 -44.0% 2,799 -490 $2,125 $103,849,000 4
8 5 HARRY POTTER & ORDER OF PHOENIX WB $5,385,000 -43.4% 2,585 -540 $2,083 $272,000,000 5
9 7 NO RESERVATIONS WB $3,925,000 -40.4% 2,053 -372 $1,911 $32,095,000 3
10 N DADDY DAY CAMP SonR $3,550,000 - 2,332 - $1,522 $5,035,000 1

[Jedi Master Carr]

Rush Hour disapointed. I think it was that 6 year gap that hurt it.

No, it is the fact it is an unwanted sequel to a not particularly good Rush Hour 2. Even Rush Hour wasnt all that good to begin with.

Rush Hour 2 was well liked actually. The Cinemscore for it was an A-. It also had very good legs and made 226 million and finished second that year.
It just wasn't a loved movie that could have a sequel 6 years later. If they had made a sequel two years after the second one, I bet it would have done better. To me Stardust is the bigger disapointment. I mean Rush Hour 3 will turn a profit, but Starudst is a bomb.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Stardust is an excellent movie, as well. You should go see it and help it turn a profit. :mad

[Jedi Master Carr]

Stardust is an excellent movie, as well. You should go see it and help it turn a profit. :mad

I want to go see it, but it will take more than me unfortunetly. I think we can blame Paramount's bad marketing for its failure. I saw hardly any previews for it on TV and the ones I did see were horrible. It looked like it gave a bad representation of the movie.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend Actuals
1 Rush Hour 3 $49,100,158 $49.1
2 Bourne Ultimatum, The $32,879,125 $131.55
3 Simpsons Movie, The $11,269,651 $152.38
4 Stardust $9,169,779 $9.17
5 Hairspray $6,396,666 $92.14

Accuracy Points
# 1 - 25 pts: Yog (Rush Hour 3)
# 2 - 20 pts: Jedi Master Carr (The Bourne Ultimatium)
# 3 - 15 pts: Jedi Master Carr (The Simpsons)
# 4 - 10 pts: Lilaena De'Ville (Stardust)
# 5 - 5 pts: Nobody (Hairspray)

Weekend points
Jedi Master Carr 45
Yog 35
Lilaena De'Ville 30
CMJ 10
Ryan Pode 10

Season Totals
CMJ: 595
Lilaena De'Ville: 595
Jedi Master Carr: 595
Yog: 450
SirDizzy: 335
Ryan Pode: 290
Jedieb: 220
Hera: 165
Kaast Dulli: 85
JMK: 75

3 Way tie now. Man is it close. I might try to figure out the cutting out of 4 weekend thing here. Though we could start doing that next weekend since we have three weekends left.

I took out everybody's worse 4 weekend (I have to say that is cumbersome process) At the same time it was easy because only four of us have not misses more than 4 weekends. So here are the results now
CMJ 545
Lilaena De'Ville 525
Jedi Master Carr 510
Yog 405
this new rule really helps Yog and CMJ the most because they had a couple really bad weekends. It hurts me because I have been too consistent lol. At the very least it gives everybody an idea where things stand going into the final three weekends.

[CMJ]

Yeah, I knew I'd had some really crappy weekends. I knew I couldn't hold the lead wire to wire.

[Jedi Master Carr]

You have the lead if you minus your 4 worse weekends. It is going to come down to the last three weekends, of course I think it might come down to Labor day since its double points.