Summer 2007 Box office contest Week 14

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here is the new contest.
Here is the top 5 from last week
1 THE SIMPSONS MOVIE 74.04
2 I NOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK... 19.13
3 HARRY POTTER ORDER OF PHOENIX 17.73
4 HAIRSPRAY 15.90
5 NO RESERVATIONS 11.70

New Releases
The Bourne Ultimatum
Underdog
Hot Rod
BRATZ

Outside of Bourne, I have no clue how the other three movies will do. Underdog and Bratz look like pieces of crap.

[CMJ]

1. Bourne Ultimatum - 60.06M
2. Simpsons Movie - 30.13M
3. Underdog 13.13M
4. Hot Rod - 11.01M
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - 10.54M

[CMJ]

Yoghurt's Predictions


1. Bourne Ultimatum - 60.00M
2. The Simpsons Movie - 30.00M
3. Underdog - 13.00M
4. Hot Rod - 11.00M
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry - 10.50M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am not sure what to expect from the new movies. Bratz looks like it is DOA. I haven't even seen any advertising for it around here. Underdog looks horrible. I am not sure about Hot Rod though it doesn't look funny. I wouldn't be shocked if none of those 3 make the top 5. That makes this weekend tougher because both Order of the Phoenix and Hairspray could still crack the top 5 since they will both be around 9.5-10 million.

[Jedi Master Carr]

This weekend will probably kill me, I might make some changes before midnight
1 Bourne Ultimatium 67.45
2 The Simpsons 29.21
3 Underdog 14.33
4 I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry 10.87
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 10.44

[Lilaena De'Ville]

1. Bourne Ultimatum - $63.41
2. Simpsons Movie - $29.00
3. Underdog $13.78
4. Hot Rod - $12.55
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - $10.01

I feel like I'm playing the Price is Right. :D

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Bourne Ultimatum - $63.41
2. Simpsons Movie - $29.00
3. Underdog $13.78
4. Hot Rod - $12.55
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry - $10.01

I feel like I'm playing the Price is Right. :D

LOL sometimes it can.

[CMJ]

Slow week predictions wise - even other than losing Dizzy. Everyone forgot about this week.

[Jedi Master Carr]

People are starting to give up because they don't think they have a chance at winning. I think that is the main reason why.
Here are Friday's estimates
1. BOURNE ULTIMATUM, THE UNIVERSAL 3,660 23,671,000 6,467 n/a 23,671,000
2. SIMPSONS MOVIE, THE 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,926 7,876,000 2,006 -73% 110,827,787
3. UNDERDOG BVI 3,013 4,123,000 1,368 n/a 4,123,000
4. I KNOW PRONOUNCE YOU CHUCK & LARRY UNIVERSAL 3,289 3,197,000 972 -47% 84,362,000
5. HAIRSPRAY NEW LINE 3,115 3,043,000 977 -40% 72,660,287
6. HARRY POTTER AND THE ORDER OF THE PHOENIX WARNER BROS. 3,125 2,647,000 847 -47% 254,106,000
7. NO RESERVATIONS WARNER BROS. 2,425 2,100,000 866 -48% 19,689,357
8. HOT ROD PARAMOUNT 2,607 1,954,000 750 n/a 1,954,000
9. BRATZ LIONS GATE 1,509 1,725,000 1,143 n/a 1,725,000
10. TRANSFORMERS PARAMOUNT 2,419 1,587,000 656 -50% 291,819,134

Looks like I was right about Hotrod, not doing well. The movie just didn't look funny. Potter should beat out Hairspray for the top 5 because it will have a better multiplier since it is more kid friendly. Mojo has a higher figure for Bourne with 24.5 so it could do anywhere from 65-70 million for the three day.

Oh awful drop for the Simpsons. I think our predictions are all too high for it.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend Estimates
1 The Bourne Ultimatum $ 70,181,000 3,660 1 $ 19,175 70,181,000 Universal
2 The Simpsons Movie 25,600,000 74,036,787 -65.4 3,926 2 6,521 128,550,000 Fox
3 Underdog 12,009,000 3,013 1 3,986 12,009,000 Buena Vista
4 I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry 10,528,000 19,132,965 -45.0 3,290 3 3,200 91,697,000 Universal
5 Hairspray 9,320,000 15,899,890 -41.4 3,115 3 2,992 79,121,000 New Line
6 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 9,290,000 17,733,085 -47.6 3,125 4 2,973 260,795,000 Warner Bros.
7 No Reservations 6,570,000 11,704,357 -43.9 2,425 2 2,709 24,157,000 Warner Bros.
8 Transformers 5,950,000 11,643,129 -48.9 2,419 5 2,460 296,308,000 Paramount
9 Hot Rod 5,015,000 2,607 1 1,924 5,015,000 Paramount
10 Bratz 4,310,000 1,509 1 2,856 4,310,000 Lionsgate

Great for Bourne. I think it will do 200. If Potter was underestimated or Hairspray overestimated, I could get the order right :)

[CMJ]

Looks like I did really lousy.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well to be fair I knew this weekend was going to be hard. At the same time you didn't do that bad, mainly just overestimated HotRod. I picked Harry out of bias and had a feeling that Hot Rod was going to bomb.

1 N The Bourne Ultimatum Uni. $69,283,690
2 1 The Simpsons Movie Fox $25,110,873
3 N Underdog BV $11,585,121
4 2 I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry Uni. $10,626,345
5 3 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix WB $9,522,220

Accuracy Points
# 1 - 25 pts: Jedi Master Carr (The Bourne Ultimatum)
# 2 - 20 pts: Lilaena De'Ville (The Simpsons)
# 3 - 15 pts: Yog (Underdog)
# 4 - 10 pts: CMJ (Chuck and Larry)
# 5 - 5 pts: Jedi Maser Carr (Order of the Phoenix)

Weekend points
Jedi Master Carr 55
Lilaena De'Ville 35
Yog 30
CMJ 25

Season Totals
CMJ: 585
Lilaena De'Ville: 565
Jedi Master Carr: 550
Yog: 415
SirDizzy: 335
Ryan Pode: 280
Jedieb: 220
Hera: 165
Kaast Dulli: 85
JMK: 75


Man is it close between the top 3. 35 points seperating three of us. Not sure how losing 4 weekends will help or hurt yet.