Summer 2007 Box office contest week 9 Picks due by 9PM PST

[Jedi Master Carr]

Ninth weekend. There are two wide releases. Not sure if she could count Sicko or not. Sicko might not open in enough theaters to make the top 5.
Here are last weekend's numbers
1 Evan Almighty $31,192,615 $31.19
2 1408 $20,617,667 $20.62
3 Fantastic Four:Rise Of The Silver Surfer $20,009,476 $97.46
4 Ocean's Thirteen $11,411,268 $91.08
5 Knocked Up $10,977,595 $109.32

The new releases

Ratatouille
A rat named Remy dreams of becoming a great French chef despite his family's wishes and the obvious problem of being a rat in a decidedly rodent-phobic profession. When fate places Remy in the sewers of Paris, he finds himself ideally situated beneath a restaurant made famous by his culinary hero, Auguste Gusteau. Despite the apparent dangers of being an unlikely - and certainly unwanted - visitor in the kitchen of a fine French restaurant, Remy's passion for cooking soon sets into motion a hilarious and exciting rat race that turns the culinary world of Paris upside down.

http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1808490293/trailer

Live Free or Die Hard
On the July 4th holiday, an attack on the vulnerable United States infrastructure begins to shut down the entire nation. The mysterious figure behind the scheme has figured out every modern angle -- but he never figured on an old-school "analog" fly in the "digital" ointment: John McClane. No mask. No cape. No problem.

http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1808403725/trailer

If Sicko gets into another theaters we might have to consider it. There is some movie called Evening but I am not sure if that will be enought theaters either. I will update this with the thater counts.

[Yog]

Preliminary theater counts

Ratatouille 3,500+
Live Free or Die Hard 3,170
Evening 900
Sicko 441

Looks like neither Evening or Sicko will be able to crack the top 5.

[Jaime Tomahawk]

What I find amazing is that Ratatouille looks to be arguably Pixar's best and when you have Toy Story, Finding Nemo and the Incredibles as your best, that's got to be one hell of a statement. But then again when your worst is A Bug's Life.... that probably says even more. Why cant ore studios do what Pixar does?

Plus, Rotten Tomatoes has Live Free or Die Hard at 86(!)% right now. Looks to actually be a damn good action blockbuster.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Preliminary theater counts

Ratatouille 3,500+
Live Free or Die Hard 3,170
Evening 900
Sicko 441

Looks like neither Evening or Sicko will be able to crack the top 5.

Well Sicko could make 7 or 8 million but I don't think that will be enough to make the top 5. Will probably finish like 6 or 7th. Evening doesn't have the ability to even open that high.
Ratatouille is getting great reviews. I was surprised how good reviews Die Hard got. I didn't factor in the Wed release and didn't want to let people guess it because of the deadline. Although we will have to do that next weekend with the Fourth. Both Transformers and the Robin Williams movie moved up to the 3rd.

[sirdizzy]

umm die hard comes out today, so do we pick from today or friday

[Jedi Master Carr]

umm die hard comes out today, so do we pick from today or friday

Friday, I decided not to make Die Hard that special. The only three films that will get that treatment will be Transformers and Licenses to wed (because of the 4th) and Harry Potter because they are releasing it on Wed.

[sirdizzy]

1. Ratatouille $60.11
2. Live Free or Die Hard $34.77
3. Evan Almighty $13.86
4. 1408 $12.91
5. Fantastic Four: Rise Of The Silver Surfer $10.00

[Yog]

Die Hard, Transformers, Ratatouille and Sicko are all received well. The next couple weeks are going to be absolutely terrific for movie goers. It is such a relief considering how frontloaded and disappointing the may blockbusters were.

[Yog]

1. Ratatouille: $62.72M
2. Live Free or Die Hard: $38.55M
3. 1408: $12.36M
4. Evan Almighty: $10.32M
5. Rise Of The Silver Surfer: $7.69M

[Lilaena De'Ville]

1. Ratatouille: $52.12M
2. Live Free or Die Hard: $35.54M
3. 1408: $13.01M
4. Evan Almighty: $11.02M
5. Rise Of The Silver Surfer: $8.50M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Die Hard, Transformers, Ratatouille and Sicko are all received well. The next couple weeks are going to be absolutely terrific for movie goers. It is such a relief considering how frontloaded and disappointing the may blockbusters were.

Throw in Harry Potter a few early reviews I have read of that are saying it is the best of the Summer blockbusters this year and either the best or second best Potter film. July actually may be the best month. And may overshadow May.

[Yog]

Throw in Harry Potter a few early reviews I have read of that are saying it is the best of the Summer blockbusters this year and either the best or second best Potter film. July actually may be the best month.

This is great news, cause I was getting really annoyed by the lacking quality of releases so far this year.



And may overshadow May.

Hey, that rhymes.

[CMJ]

1. Ratatouille - 56.09M
2. Live Free or Die Hard - 32.52M
3. Evan Almighty - 15.05M
4. 1408 - 11.73M
5. Fantastic Four 2 - 9.51M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Ratatouille - 58.55M
2. Live Free or Die Hard - 30.66M
3. Evan Almighty - 14.11M
4. 1408 - 12.44M
5. Fantastic Four 2 - 10.47M

[Ryan Pode]

1. Ratatouille - $57,493,069
2. Live Free or Die Hard - $42,395,593
3. Evan Almighty - $18,503,109
4. 1408 - $13,403,299
5. Fantastic Four 2 - $9,000,001

[Yog]

Friday estimates:

1. RATATOUILLE BVI 3,940 16,395,000 4,161 n/a 16,395,000
2. LIVE FREE OR DIE HARD 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,175 10,495,000 3,306 n/a 25,507,000
3. EVAN ALMIGHTY UNIVERSAL 3,602 5,023,000 1,395 -55% 50,535,125
4. 1408 MGM 2,678 3,676,000 1,373 -52% 33,457,034
5. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,963 2,695,000 680 -55% 108,547,632
6. KNOCKED UP UNIVERSAL 2,972 2,246,000 756 -33% 117,231,335
7. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN WARNER BROS. 3,450 1,887,000 547 -46% 97,938,028
8. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END BVI 2,802 1,452,000 518 -28% 292,248,588
9. SICKO LIONS GATE 441 1,368,000 3,102 5,600% 1,368,000
10. EVENING FOCUS FEATURES 977 1,212,000 1,241 n/a 1,212,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

Ratatouille will probably do like 50-53 million for the three day. Not bad although I overestimated it by a little bit. Die Hard surprises me. I didn't think it could do much beyond 30 for the three day but it is looking like it will.

[Yog]

Sounds about right. Can't wait for Transformers release. It's box office has always been a mystery to me, and soon we will have the answer.

Oh, and it is a bit disturbing that the god awful Evan Almighty does not drop more than 55%.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think it didn't drop more because Universal has been marketing the movie to Church groups. I guess that is keeping it from dropping 60%. Still won't pass 100 million.

[Yog]

It's not really a christian movie though, more of a comedy spoof. If there were any justice, it should have dropped by at least as much as Silver Surfer did the second week. Still, it's true about church groups. I read they actually had buses loaded with church people to watch it opening weekend. Then when there were not buses, the theater would often be nearly emty. How bizarre.

[Cat X]

I think it didn't drop more because Universal has been marketing the movie to Church groups. I guess that is keeping it from dropping 60%. Still won't pass 100 million.

Intelligent Christians wont touch it with a barge pole

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think it didn't drop more because Universal has been marketing the movie to Church groups. I guess that is keeping it from dropping 60%. Still won't pass 100 million.

Intelligent Christians wont touch it with a barge pole

Well that is probably why it hasn't helped much :p I think it will give the movie 10 million dollars at the most.

On to another with the 4th coming up, can everybody here do a 6 day prediction? Going to need to put that up tomorrow night if we do that then to give people a chance to do that. The next two weeks are going to be rough there. Potter is opening on wednesday this year so that should be interesting.

[CMJ]

Are we counting Monday's 4 hours in the 6 days?

[Jedi Master Carr]

Are we counting Monday's 4 hours in the 6 days?

Nope mainly because we didn't do it with Pirates so we won't do it with Transformers. I think it be too hard with the deadline and everything.

[Rutabaga]

I saw Live Free or Die Hard today, and I was somewhat surprised that there were only about 30 other people in the theater along with me. But overall I guess it did fairly well for the weekend, and has done well since it opened on Wednesday.

For a Pixar film, I guess Ratatouille kind of tanked, didn't it? All I know is, this is the second Pixar film in a row my father (my usual companion for animated films) and I have skipped because the subject matter just didn't appeal to us. I wonder if that's one of the reasons why it didn't do nearly as well as I guess everyone was expecting.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well it only did 47 million. WOM is suppose to be great, so I think it could make 200, might be tough though with harry Potter on it heals. That will steal some of it family audience, although it could make more money over the next six days with the 4th.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Die Hard yesterday at 3:15 pm was a packed house for me. :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend Actuals
1 Ratatouille $47,027,395
2 Live Free Or Die Hard $33,369,559
3 Evan Almighty $15,140,945
4 1408 $10,662,804
5 Fantastic Four:Rise Of The Silver Surfer $9,143,876

Accuracy Points
# 1 - 25 pts: Lilaena De'Ville (Ratatouille)
# 2 - 20 pts: CMJ (Live Free or Die Hard)
# 3 - 15 pts: CMJ (Evan Almighty)
# 4 - 10 pts: CMJ (1408)
# 5 - 5 pts: Ryan Pode (F42)

Weekend Points
CMJ 70
Lilaena De'Ville 40
Ryan Pode 30
Sir Dizzy 25
Jedi Master Carr 25
Yog 15

Season Totals
Lilaena De'Ville: 360
CMJ: 335
Jedi Master Carr: 305
Yog: 235
SirDizzy: 205
Ryan Pode: 200
Jedieb: 180
Hera: 165
Kaast Dulli: 85
JMK: 75

CMJ went gangbusters this week. The race is still very competive. Should be interesting to see what happens after the big 6 day weekend.