Summer 2007 Box office Contest Week 8 Picks due by 9PM PST

[Jedi Master Carr]

8th weekend upon us. Here is last week's top 5
1. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $58,051,684
2. Ocean's Thirteen $19,724,405
3. Knocked Up $14,069,880
4. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $12,411,786
5. Surf's Up $9,254,793

New Releases
Evan Almighty

Newly elected to Congress, the polished, preening newscaster, Evan Baxter, is the next one anointed by God to accomplish a holy mission--walking in the footsteps of Bruce Almighty. Evan leaves Buffalo behind and shepherds his family to suburban northern Virginia. Once there, his life gets turned upside-down when God appears and mysteriously commands him to build an ark. But his befuddled family just can't decide whether Evan is having an extraordinary mid-life crisis or is truly onto something of Biblical proportions.


Trailers
http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1808723527/trailer

1408- Stephen King based story.
Renowned horror novelist Mike Enslin believes only in what he can see with his own two eyes. But after a string of best-sellers discrediting paranormal events in the most infamous haunted houses and graveyards around the world, he has no real proof of life--afterlife. But Enslin's phantom-free run of long and lonely nights is about to change forever when he checks into suite 1408 of the notorious Dolphin Hotel for his latest project, "Ten Nights in Haunted Hotel Rooms." Defying the warnings of the hotel manager, the author is the first person in years to stay in the reputedly haunted room. Another best-seller may be imminent, but first he must go from skeptic to true believer--and ultimately survive the night.

Trailers
http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1809721616/trailer

I am not going to bother with A Mighty heart. I don't think it will be in enough theaters to make the top 5.

[Yog]

It's early, but Bruce Almighty is sitting at 27% rotten tomatoes score right now. Does not look promising. It's been a disappointing year for sequels so far.

[Jedi Master Carr]

It's early, but Bruce Almighty is sitting at 27% rotten tomatoes score right now. Does not look promising. It's been a disappointing year for sequels so far.

You mean Evan Almighty :p Actually Evan Almighty I think will be the worse of the sequels. I think this one will be bombs away.

[Yog]

Yeah, I mean Evan Almighty.

It was not that big of a franchise in the first place, so if it flops, it really flops, heh

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well the minute Carrey said no the Franchise took a hit. He made the first film work. I don't understand how it cost 170 million to make. I heard one review say it has the worse CGI of any film this year. So what did they blow that money on?

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Probably all the animals.

[CMJ]

1. Evan Almighty - 38.03M
2. Fantastic Four 2 - 22.92M
3. 1408 - 16.10M
4. Oceans 13 - 11.53M
5. Knocked Up - 10.51M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Probably all the animals.

Still 170 million is a lot for animals especially when they don't look real from what I read in the reviews. It sounds like they wasted a lot of money or something. It is probably something like Waterworld which went way over budget because of a lot different things. Also I am having a tough time with this weekend. I am not sure if I should let the reviews influence my picks or not. Even is getting trounced probably the worse reviews of the summer so far and as bad as Poseidon did last summer. 1408 on the other hand is getting the best reviews of the new films. So could it possibly score an upset?

[sirdizzy]

1. Evan Almighty - 34.33M
2. Fantastic Four 2 - 25.44M
3. Knocked Up - 10.99M
4. Oceans 13 - 10.22M
5. 1408- 7.11M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Evan Almighty - 34.33M
2. Fantastic Four 2 - 25.44M
3. Knocked Up - 10.99M
4. Oceans 13 - 10.22M
5. 1408- 7.11M

I think you are underestimating 1408. It is getting great reviews and is having really good buzz so far. Also why did Paramount release A Mighty Heart in June? It seems more like a fall film and I think they are really stupid releasing it now. I bet it bombs and gets no Oscar nominations because of that move.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay this is my guess right now, might change it later
1 Evan Almighty 32.67
2 Fantastic Four 2 21.06
3 1408 20.77
4 Oceans 13 11.65
5 Knocked Up 10.11

[Lilaena De'Ville]

1. Evan Almighty - $36.52M
2. 1408 - $20.97M
3. F4 Silver Surfer - $19.85M
4. Oceans 13 - $11.17M
5. Knocked Up - $10.99M

I go out on a limb with 1408 but I love me my John Cusack even if I'm too much of a chicken to actually watch this movie. ;)

[sirdizzy]

I am going to see 1408 but horror movies are tanking right now, so I am going out on a limb and saying the trend will continue

[Yog]

1. Evan Almighty: $42.11M
2. Fantastic Four 2: $23.22M
3. 1408: $19.37M
4. Oceans 13: $12.55M
5. Knocked Up: $9.78M

[Jedieb]

1. Evan Almighty - 40.987654M
2. Fantastic Four 2 - 24.987654M
3. Oceans 13 - 11.987654M
4. Knocked Up - 11.687654M
5. 1408 - 11.567432M

[Yog]

Friday estimates

1. EVAN ALMIGHTY UNIVERSAL 3,602 11,133,000 3,091 n/a 11,133,000
2. 1408 MGM 2,678 7,541,000 2,816 n/a 7,541,000
3. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,957 6,085,000 1,538 -72% 83,557,000
4. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN WARNER BROS. 3,565 3,518,000 987 -41% 83,183,000
5. KNOCKED UP UNIVERSAL 2,905 3,382,000 1,164 -25% 101,699,000
6. SURF'S UP SONY 3,531 2,069,000 586 -28% 42,699,000
7. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END BVI 3,329 1,992,000 598 -37% 281,852,000
8. SHREK THE THIRD DREAMWORK 3,505 1,711,000 488 -35% 303,433,000
9. NANCY DREW WARNER BROS. 2,612 1,516,000 580 -46% 13,181,000
10. MIGHT HEART, A PARAMOUNT 1,355 1,179,000 870 n/a 1,179,000

[Yog]

Even Almighty is tanking somewhat, should probably have mid 30M range over the weekend, below studio expectations. 1408 should have close to 20M. Very nasty drop for Fantastic 4. Knocked Up continues to hold well.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

*rubs hands together* perrrrrfect

Well, some of those movies need to make a little more money, but I think I have the order down. :D

[Jedi Master Carr]

You should have the order down unless the F4 does better Saturday. 1408 is going to be around 19-20 and there are three of us that pinned it around that so it will be nailbitting to see who wins that one. Evan Almighty will probably do 34-38. I think with that low of an opening it will not make 100.

[Yog]

Evan Almighty will probably do 34-38. I think with that low of an opening it will not make 100.

You are right, the horrible WOM will make sure of that. Which is sad, considering it's like the most expensive comedy EVER. I wonder what Universal was thinking. For starters, it does not have Jim Carrey in it, which pretty much guaranteed it would do worse than the first.

Oh, and Even Almighty got a 20% RT score now, haha. What a turkey.

The summer so far can be summarised like this: Lots of hype, frontloaded traffic and no legs for the big movies. Sequels have been disappointing.

Maybe Harry Potter, Transformers and Ratatouille will save the summer. At least one can hope.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Evan Almighty will probably do 34-38. I think with that low of an opening it will not make 100.

You are right, the horrible WOM will make sure of that. Which is sad, considering it's like the most expensive comedy EVER. I wonder what Universal was thinking. For starters, it does not have Jim Carrey in it, which pretty much guaranteed it would do worse than the first.

Oh, and Even Almighty got a 20% RT score now, haha. What a turkey.

The summer so far can be summarised like this: Lots of hype, frontloaded traffic and no legs for the big movies. Sequels have been disappointing.

Maybe Harry Potter, Transformers and Ratatouille will save the summer. At least one can hope.


Well critics are loving Ratatouille so I think quality wise that one will be great. I think the quality for Potter will be there much like it was for the last two films. I doubt Transformers will get lucky from the critics, although it probably won't matter in terms of box office. We also have Bourne Ultimatium and Rush Hour 3 left so I think Box office wise this summer will be fine, but it is more that the summer movies so far have underperformed.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Have you seen the trailer for Rush Hour 3? Chris Tucker put on like 100 pounds, he looks so bloated. :x

[Jedi Master Carr]

I haven't seen the trailer yet, so I haven't seen that. I actually haven't seen Chris Tucker in much since Rush Hour 2.

[Yog]

Saturday estimates
1. EVAN ALMIGHTY 11,159,000
2. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER 7,751,000
3. 1408 7,388,000
4. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN 4,590,000
5. KNOCKED UP 4,289,000

Weekend estimates
1. EVAN ALMIGHTY $32,112,000
2. 1408 $20,175,000
3. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER $20,150,000
4. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN $11,345,000
5. KNOCKED UP $10,636,000

Even Almighty is now barely making more than 30M. Close race between FF2 and 1408.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I know that second place battle should be a nail bitter. I have to say I am happy, I am very close to the top 2 films have to see how the actuals play out.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend Actuals
1 Evan Almighty $31,192,615 $31.19
2 1408 $20,617,667 $20.62
3 Fantastic Four:Rise Of The Silver Surfer $20,009,476 $97.46
4 Ocean's Thirteen $11,411,268 $91.08
5 Knocked Up $10,977,595 $109.32

Accuracy Points
# 1 - 25 pts: Jedi Master Carr (Evan Almighty)
# 2 - 20 pts: Jedi Master Carr (1408)
# 3 - 15 pts: Lilaena De'Ville (F4:Rise of the Silver Surfer)
# 4 - 10 pts: CMJ (Oceans 13)
# 5 - 5 pts: Sir Dizzy (Knocked Up) Oh Lilaena De'Ville got it right too, but because Dizzy went first he gets the prize for that one.

Weekend Points
Jedi Master Carr: 60
Lilaena De'Ville 40
CMJ 25
Yog: 15
Sir Dizzy: 15
Jedieb 5

Season Totals
Lilaena De'Ville: 320
Jedi Master Carr: 280
CMJ: 265
Yog: 220
Jedieb: 180
SirDizzy: 180
Ryan Pode: 170
Hera: 165
Kaast Dulli: 85
JMK: 75


Everybody check their points and mine too, even though I don't think I messed any up. Oh and I am gaining :) Although still we are pretty much still all in it. The next three weekends should be huge. We have a couple of double weekends coming up.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Argh, sorry for guessing the same as him, I guess I didn't double check to make sure I wasn't duplicating. >_<

[Yog]

Great weekend there Carr. Next weekend, it's Ratatouille, and Sicko.

Oh, and Die Hard also, opens wide tomorrow.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I am going to get up the weekend's contest right now.