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Jedi Master Carr
Mar 22nd, 2007, 05:42:30 PM
Updated figures as of
February 10th 2008
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,530,303
2. Shrek the Third $322,719,944
3. Transformers $319,246,193
4 At World's End $309,420,425
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $292,004,738
6. I Am Legend $253,571,734
7 The Bourne Ultimatum $227,471,070
8. National Treasure Book of Secerts $211,147,000
9 300 $210,614,939
10. Alvin and the Chipmunks $208,410,000
11. Ratatouille $206,445,654
12. The Simpsons $183,135,014
13 Wild Hogs $168,273,550
14 Knocked Up $148,761,765
15. Rush Hour 3 $140,125,968
16. Live Free or Die Hard $134,529,403
17 Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $131,921,738
18 American Gangster $130,164,645
19 Bee Movie $126,457,431
20.Enchanted $125,490,164
21. SuperBad $121,463,226
22. I now pronounce you Chuck and Larry $120,059,556
23 Hairspray $118,871,849
24. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
25. Ocean's Thirteen $117,154,724
26. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
27 Juno $113,530,000
28 Evan Almighty $100,289,690

Yog
Mar 23rd, 2007, 02:10:10 PM
I'm very excited by 300. It got such great legs, the word of mouth is terrific. Its also fun when a movie that is so out of the norm becomes a box office hit. That encourages the studios to make similar movies.


All three of the big movies of May will pass it.

Yeah, what a huge month that will be. Spiderman 3, Shrek 3 and POTC 3. Three of the biggest franchises releasing in the same month. How crazy is that?

CMJ
Mar 23rd, 2007, 06:22:12 PM
It's ridiculous. They aren't giving themselves time to breathe.

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 23rd, 2007, 06:54:58 PM
I know it could hurt all 4. I was thankfull WB was stupid enough to put Potter in June, now that would have been insane. At least in July it has some room to breathe. The question is outside of the big 4 franchise films. Will there be any surprises? I suppose Transformers could break 200. Not sure what else could do that though, maybe Rush Hour 3 or Bourne Ultimative, but they are franchise movies, so they aren't a surprise.

CMJ
Mar 24th, 2007, 10:50:25 PM
I know alot of people in my age bracket who are anticipating Transformrs(myself inluded), even though we expect it to suck. :lol

It could be pretty big.

JMK
Mar 25th, 2007, 06:01:31 PM
I think Transformers will be Superman Returns big. Unless it's cut down with bad reviews before it even hits the screens.

But May's big releases look like they could cannibalize one another. It should be interesting to see who wins out.

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 25th, 2007, 06:22:57 PM
I know alot of people in my age bracket who are anticipating Transformrs(myself inluded), even though we expect it to suck. :lol

It could be pretty big.

Well I think it could do Armagedeon numbers and that thing sucked. I dont' see it aproaching the top 5 films of the summer. Right now I think the top 5 will be,
1 Shrek 3
2 Pirates 3
3 Spiderman 3
4 Harry Potter 5
5 The Bourne Ultimatium

Should be very sequel dominated. I guess if the top 3 really do cannibalize each other it could work well for Potter. Besides Transfromers (which should drop hard though) it has July to itself, pretty much. And with the last book being released it could really generate a lot of Hype.

sirdizzy
Mar 26th, 2007, 12:03:48 AM
thats what I don't get, June is fairly light on big movies, why are they cramming may so full. I mean move one of those to june and do like a 3 week in between breather on all 4 megablockbusters. The only major movie in June is Silver Surfer and that could bomb because of how many people disliked Fantastic Four. To me it seems Pirates 3 is trying to give itself an excuse if it fails as it is coming off a number of people being vastly dissapointed in 2. They can blame it on coming out only 1 week after Shrek and 2 weeks after Spidey, as I think it will end up being 5 or 6 for the summer.

Its definitly the summer of 3's

Spidey 3
Pirates 3
Shrek 3
Bourne 3
Rush Hour 3
Ocean's 3

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 26th, 2007, 07:23:23 AM
A lot of three movies. Actually June is pretty crowded too.
Oceans 13
Fantastic Four 2
Evan Almighty
Ratouliee
Die Hard 4
and the last weekend Transformers

That is more crowded than last June when it was pretty much Cars, The Break Up and Superman Returns.
July is the weekest month with Transformers (which will make most of its money in the first week), Potter, and The Simpson Movie.
That is why I said Potter could benefit from the crowded May and having a fairly uncompetive July. Of course I think the last book will help it more than anything else. It will get so much free marketing from that event that it will hardly need to much marketing of its own. I have no idea how that will effect. My inclination right now is it will open huge (125 maybe then drop 65% the weekend the book comes out).

Yog
Mar 26th, 2007, 11:41:13 AM
Looking at all those releases, I think it will be a pretty big summer overall. No box office "slump" this year, no sir.

sirdizzy
Mar 26th, 2007, 12:47:34 PM
I am actually a little wary on how well Potter will do because of the book release. I have argued for several years now that Harry Potter will die in this book and if that is the case and I am correct on my theory having the book come out two weeks after the movie could actually hurt it. I mean if Harry dies there will be a lot of pissed off Harry fans and the movies numbers could plummet.

I mean the whole series and the movie have been surrounded by turmoil in the last month as Emma Watson was said to not be returning for the last two movies to continue to play Hermione. Then just last week WB backtracked on that statement claiming that she will be in the last two movies and getting a direct quote from her. But she the actress of the trio they have had the most trouble signing for the last 2 movies to begin with. I mean this could very well be the last movie they make.

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 26th, 2007, 01:16:28 PM
I am actually a little wary on how well Potter will do because of the book release. I have argued for several years now that Harry Potter will die in this book and if that is the case and I am correct on my theory having the book come out two weeks after the movie could actually hurt it. I mean if Harry dies there will be a lot of pissed off Harry fans and the movies numbers could plummet.

I mean the whole series and the movie have been surrounded by turmoil in the last month as Emma Watson was said to not be returning for the last two movies to continue to play Hermione. Then just last week WB backtracked on that statement claiming that she will be in the last two movies and getting a direct quote from her. But she the actress of the trio they have had the most trouble signing for the last 2 movies to begin with. I mean this could very well be the last movie they make.

First who knows if Harry will die. I am not sure what will happen right now. I also think it depends on how it is written and unless Voldemort wins I don't see fans that upset that they wouldn't see the movies anymore. About Emma she has been signed for the last two movies. WB issued a press release friday
http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/March2007/23/c6173.html
That is official she even has a contract. The rumors she wanted to quit came out of a British Tabloid right next to an article about who is having an affair this week. I think the series is set and there will be two more movies and the last one will probably be the biggest.

sirdizzy
Mar 26th, 2007, 01:40:05 PM
it definitly has to go down as the most successful series of movies ever if they can finish it. I mean you look at most series' and by the time they reach a seventh movie the series is on a definite downswing. Police Academy's, Halloweens (although H20 and Ressurection were improvements) Friday the 13th, Star Treks (this has almost been an every other movie failure from the beginning, the whole even and odd theory), James Bond (they really didn't bounce back into the success of the first 4 movies until Brosnan took over in 1995, I mean the Moores did ok but nothing like Goldfinger and Thunderball).


All seven movies will have made over 200 million (prisoner just fell short of making them all 250 plus movies) and only star wars can claim that on six movies.

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 26th, 2007, 04:44:17 PM
it definitly has to go down as the most successful series of movies ever if they can finish it. I mean you look at most series' and by the time they reach a seventh movie the series is on a definite downswing. Police Academy's, Halloweens (although H20 and Ressurection were improvements) Friday the 13th, Star Treks (this has almost been an every other movie failure from the beginning, the whole even and odd theory), James Bond (they really didn't bounce back into the success of the first 4 movies until Brosnan took over in 1995, I mean the Moores did ok but nothing like Goldfinger and Thunderball).


All seven movies will have made over 200 million (prisoner just fell short of making them all 250 plus movies) and only star wars can claim that on six movies.

Add in the WW success. They have all made over 750, would have been 800 if not for Azkaban. I think the last three will be over 800 maybe 900. I think the final film could make a billion making it the fourth film to do it.

We will see how OOTP does, I have good feeling about it. I think at worse it will make POA adjusted for inflation which would put it around 260. However the last two films had great word of mouth. Azkaban really got hurt from the previous film, Chamber which wasn't that well liked. I think it will do at least 275 could top 300 though, especially with IMAX. IMAX is what helped both 300 and it helped Superman get over 300. IMAX could push Phoenix over 300.

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 26th, 2007, 04:59:27 PM
1 300 $161,706,146
2 Wild Hogs $123,303,817
3 Ghost Rider $113,216,624

Nothing new to add, though Norbit gets 2 million closer. The next new film will be between that Blades of Glory and Meet the Robinson. I think 2 out of those three will make it at least.

Yog
Mar 26th, 2007, 08:15:29 PM
it definitly has to go down as the most successful series of movies ever if they can finish it. I mean you look at most series' and by the time they reach a seventh movie the series is on a definite downswing. Police Academy's, Halloweens (although H20 and Ressurection were improvements) Friday the 13th, Star Treks (this has almost been an every other movie failure from the beginning, the whole even and odd theory), James Bond (they really didn't bounce back into the success of the first 4 movies until Brosnan took over in 1995, I mean the Moores did ok but nothing like Goldfinger and Thunderball).


All seven movies will have made over 200 million (prisoner just fell short of making them all 250 plus movies) and only star wars can claim that on six movies.

I still think James Bond has the more impressive streak. How many franchises is still going strong for 40 years and after 20 movies? None. But yeah, its nuts to think HP makes so much money. I wonder how much it will make this year. The July schedule is better than may and june, but if WB were really smart, they would have released it in late november or december as it seems the right season for this kind of movie. I can't comprehend why they think this is a "summer movie", considering how well the earlier chapters did pre christmas season.

Jedi Master Carr
Mar 26th, 2007, 09:55:46 PM
I still think James Bond has the more impressive streak. How many franchises is still going strong for 40 years and after 20 movies? None. But yeah, its nuts to think HP makes so much money. I wonder how much it will make this year. The July schedule is better than may and june, but if WB were really smart, they would have released it in late november or december as it seems the right season for this kind of movie. I can't comprehend why they think this is a "summer movie", considering how well the earlier chapters did pre christmas season.

I agree with you on that. That is why I am thinking 275 in November it could have made closer to 300. If does make more than what I am thinking, I think the book's release will be the reason. I am hoping the release the last two movies in November. They work so much better in the holiday months. I also agree with you about James Bond. Personally I would call Potter the third most powerful franchise ever behind Bond and Star Wars. Both of them have showed tremendous staying power over decades.

sirdizzy
Mar 28th, 2007, 03:14:41 PM
The amazing thing about Bond is the upswing in recent years where after 20 movies they are just as successful or even more so

1 Casino Royale $167,445,960
2 Die Another Day $160,942,139
3 The World Is Not Enough $126,943,684
4 Tomorrow Never Dies $125,304,276
5 GoldenEye $106,429,941
6 Moonraker $70,308,099
7 Octopussy $67,893,619
8 Thunderball $63,595,658
9 Never Say Never Again $55,432,841
10 For Your Eyes Only $54,812,802
11 The Living Daylights $51,185,897
12 Goldfinger $51,081,062
13 A View to a Kill $50,327,960
14 The Spy Who Loved Me $46,838,673
15 Diamonds Are Forever $43,819,547
16 You Only Live Twice $43,084,787
17 Live and Let Die $35,377,836
18 License to Kill $34,667,015
19 From Russia, with Love $24,796,765
20 On Her Majesty's Secret Service $22,774,493
21 The Man with the Golden Gun $20,972,000
22 Dr. No $16,067,035

an adjusted for inflation, ticket prices in 1962 averaged 70 cents and they average today $6.40



1 Thunderball $493,700,000
2 Goldfinger $362,300,000
3 You Only Live Twice $238,900,000
4 Moonraker $188,100,000
5 Die Another Day $183,500,000
6 Tomorrow Never Dies $180,200,000
7 From Russia, with Love $176,900,000
8 Diamonds Are Forever $175,600,000
9 Casino Royale $167,445,960
10 The World Is Not Enough $165,700,00
11 GoldenEye $163,000,000
12 For Your Eyes Only $147,800,000
13 The Spy Who Loved Me $144,500,000
14 Octopussy $142,600,000
15 Live and Let Die $132,700,000
16 Dr. No $125,400,000
17 Never Say Never Again $118,100,000
18 On Her Majesty's Secret Service $107,600,000
19 A View to a Kill $94,400,000
20 The Living Daylights $86,500,000
21 The Man with the Golden Gun $73,900,000
22 License to Kill $57,400,000


you can see the height of James bond was around Thunderball as the third, fourth and fifth installment of the series were the most successful. But then you look and Casino Royale breaking the top 10 which is impressive. License to Kill nearly killed the series and you can see it was trending downward by the time moore was done as well.

Jedi Master Carr
May 10th, 2007, 05:29:33 PM
Been bad about updating this. We are up to 5 100 million dollar movies
1 300 $208,012,928
2 Spiderman 3 $176,161,954
3 Wild Hogs $160,279,010
4 Ghost Rider $115,802,596
5 Blades of Glory $112,252,481

Meet the Robinsons might still make it but I think it will be tough because of Shrek the third opening next week. Spiderman should pass 300 soon, but its weekday numbers have been awful and I think it won't hold on to the #1 spot for long. I think its between Pirates At Worlds End and Shrek the Third now.

Jedi Master Carr
May 29th, 2007, 05:46:14 PM
1 Spiderman 3 $307,754,583
2 Shrek the Third $217,348,470
3 300 $209,184,269
4 Wild Hogs $163,409,353
5 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $153,042,234
6 Blades of Glory $116,366,996
7 Ghost Rider $115,802,596
Two new movies that have to be added. Pirates will probably pass Shrek eventually, Spiderman 3 is the question. This list should be updated a lot in the coming couple of months.

Jedi Master Carr
Jun 11th, 2007, 09:28:56 PM
1 Spiderman 3 $325,585,149
2 Shrek the Third $281,460,065
3 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $253,441,723
4 300 $209,960,532
5 Wild Hogs $165,158,099
6 Blades of Glory $117,018,917
7 Ghost Rider $115,802,596
Knocked up should make it next and I think Oceans 13 will get here too.

Yog
Jul 4th, 2007, 12:41:45 PM
1. Spider-Man 3 $333,790,022
2. Shrek the Third $314,132,750
3. At World's End $296,454,390
4. 300 $210,524,305
5. Wild Hogs $166,943,052
6. Knocked Up $123,344,430
7. Blades of Glory $117,912,269
8. Rise of the Silver Surfer $116,121,001
9. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
10. Ocean's Thirteen $102,907,030

Knocked Up and Ocean's 13 made the list as Carr predicted. Silver Surfer is still moving along, and will go up the list some more. The fight between the may blockblusters look settled at this point, with Spider-man 3 on top, Shrek 3 on second and Pirates at 3'rd.

Some big changes will happen the next couple weeks. Ratatouille will make 100M by sunday. DH4 should make it to 100M the next weekend after that. Transformers will make a monster leap up that list, taking 4th spot really easy. And then comes Harry Potter to fight it out with the robots.

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 4th, 2007, 02:41:45 PM
1. Spider-Man 3 $333,790,022
2. Shrek the Third $314,132,750
3. At World's End $296,454,390
4. 300 $210,524,305
5. Wild Hogs $166,943,052
6. Knocked Up $123,344,430
7. Blades of Glory $117,912,269
8. Rise of the Silver Surfer $116,121,001
9. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
10. Ocean's Thirteen $102,907,030

Knocked Up and Ocean's 13 made the list as Carr predicted. Silver Surfer is still moving along, and will go up the list some more. The fight between the may blockblusters look settled at this point, with Spider-man 3 on top, Shrek 3 on second and Pirates at 3'rd.

Some big changes will happen the next couple weeks. Ratatouille will make 100M by sunday. DH4 should make it to 100M the next weekend after that. Transformers will make a monster leap up that list, taking 4th spot really easy. And then comes Harry Potter to fight it out with the robots.

I assume you mean Transformers will be #4 soon. It should be 6th on Sunday, but next weekend should jump up to 4th. It will be an interesting battle between Potter and Transformers for that 4th spot.

Yog
Jul 4th, 2007, 03:49:29 PM
I assume you mean Transformers will be #4 soon. It should be 6th on Sunday, but next weekend should jump up to 4th. It will be an interesting battle between Potter and Transformers for that 4th spot.

Yeah, it should make 4th next weekend.

Also, from a post at BOM, this seems like a reasonable analysis of possible 100M movies to go:

1. Ghost Rider (03.10.07)
2. 300 (03.16.07)
3. Wild Hogs (03.18.07)
4. Blades of Glory (04.22.07)
5. Spiderman 3 (05.06.07)
6. Shrek the Third (05.20.07)
7. At World's End (05.27.07)
8. Knocked Up (06.22.07)
9. FF: Rise of the Silver Surfer (06.26.07)
10. Oceans 13 (07.01.07)

Locks:
Live Free or Die Hard
Ratatouille
Transformers
HP5
Bourne Ultimatum
National Treasure: BOS

80-99% chance:
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry
The Simpsons Movie
Rush Hour 3
HDM: Golden Compass
I Am Legend

60-79% chance:
Hairspray
Evan Almighty

40-59% chance:
Bee Movie
American Gangster
Fred Claus

20-39% chance:
Stardust
The Invasion
Superbad

0-19% chance:
License To Wed
Balls of Fury

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 4th, 2007, 05:41:58 PM
Fred Claus and Rush Hour 3 I would put at 100% The rest I agree with where they put them.

Sam
Jul 5th, 2007, 12:00:39 PM
Add Transformers to the list. It's topped $101 million gross already.

Yog
Jul 5th, 2007, 12:16:30 PM
Well, not quite yet. It made 8.8M on monday, 27.4M on tuesday, and likely about 29M on wednesday. That would put it at about 64 million after 2.5 days. That is unless you count international box office, which is a different thing.

Itala Marzullo
Jul 5th, 2007, 12:34:28 PM
You guys should just edit the first post to be updated, kinda silly to have to search around for the latest numbers.

Yog
Jul 5th, 2007, 12:54:20 PM
You guys should just edit the first post to be updated, kinda silly to have to search around for the latest numbers.

Good idea. Carr, can you do that?

Sam
Jul 5th, 2007, 01:31:20 PM
Well, not quite yet. It made 8.8M on monday, 27.4M on tuesday, and likely about 29M on wednesday. That would put it at about 64 million after 2.5 days. That is unless you count international box office, which is a different thing.

Oh, I was including the international numbers, I didn't know it was supposed to be just U.S.

Yog
Jul 5th, 2007, 04:06:08 PM
Well, we could do that too, although it is harder to track international numbers, since the data can sometimes be outdated or inaccurate.

It would not make sense to track 100M movies though, since movies make more globally, maybe 300M movies.

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 5th, 2007, 04:40:40 PM
Well, we could do that too, although it is harder to track international numbers, since the data can sometimes be outdated or inaccurate.

It would not make sense to track 100M movies though, since movies make more globally, maybe 300M movies.

With Internationl figures, I am not sure what is considered like 100. I mean 800-1 Billion and beyond is the great numbers. 500-800 is considered good. Maybe 500 and up? And sure I will edit the first post, I have actually never thought of that.

Yog
Jul 5th, 2007, 04:56:00 PM
Sure, 500 and up sounds good.

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 5th, 2007, 05:17:46 PM
Of course #1 probably will be Pirates right now. Unless OOTP really does amazing overseas. It won't make 300 in the U.S so it will need to make like 640 million overseas which is possible but I don't know if it will do it.

Yog
Jul 5th, 2007, 05:26:26 PM
Found a good page for tracking international numbers. These numbers are overseas only (not including domestic)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/weekend/yearly/

1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $608,900,000 5/23
2. Spider-Man 3 $548,812,757 5/1
3. Shrek the Third $262,168,552 5/17
4. 300 $243,600,000 3/7
5. Mr. Bean's Holiday $184,278,126 3/22
6. Ocean's Thirteen $124,100,000 6/7
7. Blood Diamond $113,953,193 1/4
8. Ghost Rider $112,419,628 2/14

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 5th, 2007, 05:32:19 PM
Found a good page for tracking international numbers. These numbers are overseas only (not including domestic)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/weekend/yearly/

1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $608,900,000 5/23
2. Spider-Man 3 $548,812,757 5/1
3. Shrek the Third $262,168,552 5/17
4. 300 $243,600,000 3/7
5. Mr. Bean's Holiday $184,278,126 3/22
6. Ocean's Thirteen $124,100,000 6/7
7. Blood Diamond $113,953,193 1/4
8. Ghost Rider $112,419,628 2/14


Pirates has done amazing overseas. I never thought those two movies would have done that well. I am not even sure why it is so popular overseas. At least with Potter and LOTR I know why because of the popularity of the books. But Pirates is just hard to figure out.

Yog
Jul 5th, 2007, 05:52:42 PM
I was surprised as well, about both Pirates and Spidey. I think we generally like big budget superhero, fantasy / adventure and animation. Shrek 3 was not considered as good as the previous movies, so thus it makes less than Shrek 2.

Jaime Tomahawk
Jul 5th, 2007, 06:08:44 PM
The reason why Intl figures are so good is the following -

1) A very big increase in cinemas showing Hollywood films in the last five years. China and India especially. China in fact had just 25 (!!!!) theaters showing Hollywood films a handful of years ago, now it's hundreds.

2) US dollar has fallen like a rock against a lot of currencies, thence the average US dollar price per ticket has increased remarkably.

In fact, its amazing more films haven't done a hell of a lot better given everything has run in favor of Intl box office receipts. I suspect Transformers may make a total mockery of everything if it gathers steam in Asia, where big robots fighting is most popular.

Basically, I also think Hollywood's worked out the Intl market is much bigger than the USA one so you will see more prints released Internationally and more films released either before the USA or at the same time.

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 5th, 2007, 06:10:20 PM
I was surprised as well, about both Pirates and Spidey. I think we generally like big budget superhero, fantasy / adventure and animation. Shrek 3 was not considered as good as the previous movies, so thus it makes less than Shrek 2.

Shrek the third didn't do well at all overseas. I mean it hasn't even cleared 300 million yet Pirates will probably stay #1 while OOTP will take the second spot. it will make 600 overseas. Could go as high as 630.

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 5th, 2007, 06:14:54 PM
The reason why Intl figures are so good is the following -

1) A very big increase in cinemas showing Hollywood films in the last five years. China and India especially. China in fact had just 25 (!!!!) theaters showing Hollywood films a handful of years ago, now it's hundreds.

2) US dollar has fallen like a rock against a lot of currencies, thence the average US dollar price per ticket has increased remarkably.

In fact, its amazing more films haven't done a hell of a lot better given everything has run in favor of Intl box office receipts. I suspect Transformers may make a total mockery of everything if it gathers steam in Asia, where big robots fighting is most popular.

Basically, I also think Hollywood's worked out the Intl market is much bigger than the USA one so you will see more prints released Internationally and more films released either before the USA or at the same time.

Yes this is true. Throw in Russia, Eastern Europe and India as well. Those places weren't big either. We will probably have another billion dollar film soon. I think one or both of the last two Potter films probably will do it. This one is going to be tough because it would need to make 300 domestic and do 700 overseas which I don't see happening, even though Potter is very popular overseas. As for Transformers it so far has done great in South Korea probably will make over 50% of its OS gross in Asia. Probably will do like 300-400 Os and make 700 million overall. This will probably be a record year for OS gross because you could have 4 films making over 400 million and probably 2 making over 600.

Jedi Master Carr
Jul 31st, 2007, 06:21:32 PM
A lot got updated since we last did this.
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,027,292
2. Shrek the Third $319,927,736
3. At World's End $306,888,712
4 Transformers $286,203,726
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $244,877,588
6. 300 $210,614,939
7 Ratatouille $180,969,194
8. Wild Hogs $168,213,584
9. Knocked Up $145,321,190
10. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $129,817,462
11 Live Free or Die Hard $126,087,168
12. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
13. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
14. Ocean's Thirteen $115,592,725


The Simpsons should be #15 on this list. It also should get past the 200 mark and has a good shot at the #6 spot, unless Ratatoille beats it to it. The next two films to make this list will be Evan Almighty (it only needs 3.5 million unfortunetly), and Chuck and Larry (again that alone is sad thought for humanity). Still neither should pass Ghost Rider so both will lag on the bottom of this list. That will make 17. Hairspray still has a chance which could make 18.If it does we will be at 20 for the summer because there is no way Rush Hour 3 and Bourne Ultimatium won't make it. Those are the last two big guns for this summer. Now for the top 5 that could be the way it will finish, although Transformers has a chance at beating Pirates. Also there is a small chance all 5 will be over 300. OOTP is starting to have better drops and it is having great weekeday numbers. If it keeps dropping like this it could get past 300. Right now it looks like it will do 285-295 to me.

Liam Jinn
Jul 31st, 2007, 09:43:00 PM
Has anyone even seen the Chuck and Larry movie?

Jedi Master Carr
Aug 21st, 2007, 04:08:02 PM
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,530,303
2. Shrek the Third $321,012,359
3. At World's End $307,771,457
4 Transformers $306,746,846
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $279,316,414
6. 300 $210,614,939
7 Ratatouille $196,953,427
8. Wild Hogs $168,273,550
9. The Bourne Ultimatum $166,915,290
10 The Simpsons $166,316,281
11 Knocked Up $147,348,145
12 Live Free or Die Hard $132,693,592
13. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $131,144,008
14. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
15. Ocean's Thirteen $116,678,932
16 Ghost Rider $115,802,596
17. I now pronounce you Chuck and Larry $110,958,515
18 Hairspray $101,630,000

We will probably get two more to this list. Rush hour 3 will join it next week. Evan Almighty needs 1.5 million so it might make it though it could take months before we find that out.l With the way Superbad opened it should make it, IMO. So we could have 20-21 films after the summer is over. Although it could be November before we get number 22.

Jedi Master Carr
Aug 21st, 2007, 04:11:32 PM
Figure we could update International gross as well
1 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $648,400,000 5/23
2 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $594,000,000 7/11
3 Spider-Man 3 $553,677,153 5/1
4 Shrek the Third $415,477,014 5/17
5 Transformers $354,328,204 6/28
6 The Simpsons Movie $270,175,003 7/25
7 300 $245,450,663 3/7
8 Live Free or Die Hard $215,274,200 6/26
9 Mr. Bean's Holiday $188,886,999 3/22
10 Ocean's Thirteen $179,500,000 6/7

Pirates sure made a lot of money overseas. Potter did great as well, and it has been having great drops so it should make 620-630 overseas.

Jedi Master Carr
Sep 4th, 2007, 07:12:12 PM
Figure I update this after Labor Day
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,530,303
2. Shrek the Third $321,012,359
3. Transformers $310,578,372
4 At World's End $308,681,208
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $286,825,495
6. 300 $210,614,939
7 The Bourne Ultimatum $202,810,455
8 Ratatouille $201,249,448
9. The Simpsons $178,526,451
10 Wild Hogs $168,273,550
11 Knocked Up $148,170,675
12 Live Free or Die Hard $133,614,216
13. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $131,597,271
14 Rush Hour 3 $122,695,339
15. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
16. Ocean's Thirteen $117,033,632
17 I now pronounce you Chuck and Larry $116,637,095
18. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
19 Hairspray $112,415,489

Evan Almighty needs 500k to make it to this list. I figure Universal will get it there somehow. Superbad will probably make this list first. After those two films it could be a while before we get anymore.

Jedi Master Carr
Sep 4th, 2007, 07:17:10 PM
I will update International gross as well
1 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $651,054,868
2 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $625,000,000
3 Spider-Man 3 $553,712,881
4 Shrek the Third $436,454,320
5 Transformers $375,016,486
6 The Simpsons Movie $291,027,628
7 300 $245,453,242
8 Live Free or Die Hard $220,623,745
9 Mr. Bean's Holiday $189,478,688
10 Ocean's Thirteen $188,500,000
11 Ratatouille $172,349,000
Really this is a record year for overseas and WW. This is the first time ever we had two films make over 600 million and over 900 million in one year. Also both Pirates and Potter are going to be in the top 6 of all time. AWE is already at fifth and Potter is on pase to pass Jurassic Park, Shrek 2, The Phantom Menance and Two Towers for 6th place all time. Speaking of Potter I guess I was wrong about the summer. OOTP has passed GOF WW and overseas gross and needs like 3.2 million to pass it in the U.S. I didn't think it would do this well. I think the last two films both should be over 900 WW with Deathly Hallows probably passing the 1 Billion mark and probably pass Dead Man's Chest for #3 spot all time. This is just my speculation at this point.

Jedi Master Carr
Nov 12th, 2007, 12:02:26 PM
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,530,303
2. Shrek the Third $321,012,359
3. Transformers $319,071,806
4 At World's End $309,420,425
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $291,729,787
6. The Bourne Ultimatum $227,006,000
7. 300 $210,614,939
8 Ratatouille $205,698,520
9. The Simpsons $182,938,287
10 Wild Hogs $168,273,550
11 Knocked Up $148,761,765
12. Rush Hour 3 $139,925,330
13. Live Free or Die Hard $134,529,403
14 Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $131,921,738
15. SuperBad $121,463,226
16. I now pronounce you Chuck and Larry $119,725,280
17 Hairspray $118,871,849
18. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
19. Ocean's Thirteen $117,154,724
20. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
21 Evan Almighty $100,289,690

I figured it was time to update this. American Gangster and Bee Movie both could pass 100 by next weekend. After that I think the guarented movies are Enchanted, Beowolf, The Golden Compass, National Treasure 2, and I am Legend. Fred Clause could make it if it has amazing holiday legs.

Jedi Master Carr
Nov 12th, 2007, 12:05:58 PM
I know it could hurt all 4. I was thankfull WB was stupid enough to put Potter in June, now that would have been insane. At least in July it has some room to breathe. The question is outside of the big 4 franchise films. Will there be any surprises? I suppose Transformers could break 200. Not sure what else could do that though, maybe Rush Hour 3 or Bourne Ultimative, but they are franchise movies, so they aren't a surprise.

Looking back I was wrong about Transformers here. I didn't think it would break the top 5 back then and it ended up finishing 3rd.

Jedi Master Carr
Dec 31st, 2007, 10:48:24 AM
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,530,303
2. Shrek the Third $321,012,359
3. Transformers $319,071,806
4 At World's End $309,420,425
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $292,004,738
6. The Bourne Ultimatum $227,471,070
7. 300 $210,614,939
8 Ratatouille $206,445,654
9 I Am Legend $194,575,000
10. The Simpsons $183,135,014
11 Wild Hogs $168,273,550
12 Knocked Up $148,761,765
13 Alvin and the Chipmunks $142,375,000 o_O
14. Rush Hour 3 $140,125,968
15. Live Free or Die Hard $134,529,403
16 Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $131,921,738
17 American Gangster $129,025,000
18 National Treasure Book of Secerts $124,035,000
19 Bee Movie $123,576,570
20. SuperBad $121,463,226
21. I now pronounce you Chuck and Larry $119,725,280
22 Hairspray $118,871,849
23. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
24. Ocean's Thirteen $117,154,724
25. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
26 Enchanted $110,650,000
27 Evan Almighty $100,289,690

I still can't get Alvin and the Chipmunks, that is going to finish over 200 million and in the top 10. It might even top the much better Ratatouille. It will not make the top 5 (thank god) now way it makes almost 300 million. On that note none of the December films will get up there. I am Legend will probably make 250-280 and National Treasure probably somewhere between 200-250.

Yog
Jan 1st, 2008, 09:06:19 AM
I still can't get Alvin and the Chipmunks

Your guess is as good as mine. I suspect it is an american thing, and that it won't do that great internationally, but I am not sure.

Park Kraken
Jan 1st, 2008, 11:55:08 AM
Well Alvin and the Chipmunks was a very popular cartoon show back in the day, during the mid to late 1990s or so, and some of thet songs that they composed, including one christmas song, has become very popular. I'm a little suprised that the movie is doing so well, just not very suprised.

EDIT: Christmas song - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dnrosVyamY

Yog
Jan 1st, 2008, 02:04:10 PM
That looks so 60's I would never have guessed it was made in the 90s.

Jedi Master Carr
Jan 1st, 2008, 02:06:22 PM
I still don't get it the only thing I can think of is since Golden Compass disapointed there is nothing for families and people are just draging their kids to this regardless of how bad it is. I mean Night of the Museum made 250 million last year and it wasn't that great of a movie.

Jedi Master Carr
Feb 10th, 2008, 11:18:32 AM
1. Spider-Man 3 $336,530,303
2. Shrek the Third $322,719,944
3. Transformers $319,246,193
4 At World's End $309,420,425
5 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix $292,004,738
6. I Am Legend $253,571,734
7 The Bourne Ultimatum $227,471,070
8. National Treasure Book of Secerts $211,147,000
9 300 $210,614,939
10. Alvin and the Chipmunks $208,410,000
11. Ratatouille $206,445,654
12. The Simpsons $183,135,014
13 Wild Hogs $168,273,550
14 Knocked Up $148,761,765
15. Rush Hour 3 $140,125,968
16. Live Free or Die Hard $134,529,403
17 Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer $131,921,738
18 American Gangster $130,164,645
19 Bee Movie $126,457,431
20.Enchanted $125,490,164
21. SuperBad $121,463,226
22. I now pronounce you Chuck and Larry $120,059,556
23 Hairspray $118,871,849
24. Blades of Glory $118,245,842
25. Ocean's Thirteen $117,154,724
26. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
27 Juno $113,530,000
28 Evan Almighty $100,289,690

Juno will probably be the last film to make this list. It could make as much as 150 million depending on the Oscars. Still' can't believe Alvin and the Chipmunks made the top 10 and beat the better Ratatouille in the process.