Hundred Million Dollar Movies - 2005

[Lilaena De'Ville]

We didn't have this list started, and I miss looking at it. So, I'm doing it myself!

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $366,502,577
2. Hitch $179,446,079
3. Madagascar $172,131,077
4. Batman Begins $154,800,369
5. The Longest Yard $148,692,427
6. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $146,082,474
7. Robots $127,771,408
8. The Pacifier $112,810,234
9. War of the Worlds $112,744,353

Of note - last year by this time we had ten movies that had opened that either had, or went on to make 100 mil.

[Yog]

I expect WotW climb to the #2 spot of the year with the second 200M+ gross so far. It should keep that position until Harry Potter, Narnia and King Kong later in the year. It has a good chance for #3 spot overall for the year (I am fairly sure HP will beat WotW). The strongest 100M+ chances for the remainder of the summer is Charlie and the chocolate factory and Fantastic 4.

My preliminary prediction of the top 5:

1. ROTS
2. HP
3. WotW
4. King Kong
5. Narnia

ROTS will reside safely on the #1 spot. HP should take the #2 spot easily. King Kong is a question mark. Could become blockbuster and challenge WotW if all turns right. Narnia should take a spot among the top 5. Charlie and Fantastic 4 is not going to make top 5.


Of note - last year by this time we had ten movies that had opened that either had, or went on to make 100 mil

Yes, the 'box office slump' is a bit exaggerated in the press. There were some really high grossing movies though, like Shrek 2, Spiderman 2 and Passion.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah Passion, Shrek 2 and Spiderman 2 all made a lot of money. I slightly agree with you about Potter taking #2. I think GOF will be the action film of the series and it being back in the fall helps it should make 250-280 in the U.S which would be very good for it. Narnia is the question mark to me, I guess it depends how good it is, if it is a well liked film it could do a FOTR and make 300, at least should get to 200 at least. The question is how many 200 films will we have. I think SW, HP, WOTW, Narnia, King Kong will all make it. Batman Begins has been showing great legs and could crawl past 200, should do 190 at the very worst. For the rest of the summer, only two big films like you said Yog, both I think will make a 100 then you have question mark films. Dark Water, The Island, Stealth and The Dukes of Haazard, a few of them could surprise.

[JMK]

I hope that bastardization of the Dukes of Hazard fails miserably. It looks absolutely awful.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I would love to see it fail, but I bet it will be a hit concidering the crap teens watch these days.

[JMK]

Dude, you sound like a grandparent. ;)

[Darth McBain]

He does :) - but I gotta agree - while I don't hope it does well, it probably will... :rolleyes

[Jedi Master Carr]

lol kyle I am just cynical when I saw that Jack-censored (can't say that here heh) made over a 100 million I wondered about the moviegoers who went to see that.

[Yog]

Two new entries to the 100M dollar list: Charlie and the Chocolate Factory ($114,106,000) and Fantastic Four ($122,560,000). Next up is Wedding Crashers which should hit 100 next weekend.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $375,880,000
2. War of the Worlds $208,321,000
3. Batman Begins $191,108,000
4. Madagascar $186,631,000
5. Hitch $179,446,079
6. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $174,568,000
7. The Longest Yard $155,301,000
8. Robots $127,771,408
9 The Fantastic 4 $122,560,000
10 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $114,106,000
11. The Pacifier $112,810,234
Have 11 now, and Wedding Crashers should be joining this list soon. Nothing else currently out can make it, For the rest of the summer to me the only chances are Stealth and the Dukes of Haazard.

[JMK]

I hope neither make it. Neither look any good whatsoever.

[Jedi Master Carr]

If Dukes makes it, it will because of teens they went to the American Pie movies, and I wouldn't call them great movies. Stealth has to be good, IMO to make 100.

[JMK]

Between Jessica Simpson's bikinis, Stiffler fans and Jackass fans, I'll bet Dukes will get to 100M.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $379,017,346
2. War of the Worlds $230,725,666
3. Batman Begins $202,358,091
4. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $193,219,376
5 Madagascar $190,283,678
6. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $183,438,987
7. Hitch $179,495,555
8 Wedding Crashers $178,518,000
9. The Longest Yard $157,354,770
10. The Fantastic 4 $150,774,680
11 Robots $128,188,302
12. The Pacifier $112,810,234

Nothing else should make the list. Dukes will make it to 85 max, IMO. Four Brothers is the same. 40 Year old virgin and Red Eye would both need amazing legs, though 40 has a small chance right now. Red Eye could do in the 80's is the most. The next film besides 40 is Tim Burton's Corpse Bride or FlightPlan staring Jodie Foster both have shots, IMO.

[JMK]

RotS will cross $380 million tonight. It's currently $7,985 away.

Took long enough. :p

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,243,785
2. War of the Worlds $233,604,519
3. Wedding Crashers $207,090,289
4. Batman Begins $205,205,347
5. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $204,975,605
6 Madagascar $193,166,575
7. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $185,938,653
8. Hitch $179,495,555
9. The Longest Yard $158,119,460
10. The Fantastic 4 $154,247,781
11 Robots $128,188,302
12. The Pacifier $112,810,234
13 The 40 year Old Virgin $104,571,208

Nothing else will do it now until either Zorro, Chicken Little or Harry Potter.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. War of the Worlds $234,277,056
3. Wedding Crashers $208,846,381
4. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,376,804
5. Batman Begins $205,343,774
6 Madagascar $193,202,933
7. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,319,314
8. Hitch $179,495,555
9. The Longest Yard $158,119,460
10. The Fantastic 4 $154,661,075
11 Robots $128,188,302
12. The Pacifier $112,810,234
13 The 40 year Old Virgin $108,636,583
14 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $102,335,066

GOF should shoot up this list pretty quick should at least end up #2 depending on what Kong and Narnia do. Chicken Little should join this list soon.

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Kong and Narnia should both get up pretty high on that list, I'm betting.

[Jedi Master Carr]

They will finish top 5, IMO right now I am thinking the top will be
1 Star Wars
2 Harry Potter
3 King Kong
4 Narnia
5 War of the Worlds

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. War of the Worlds $234,280,354
3. Wedding Crashers $209,021,798
4. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,441,688
5. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $205,596,807
6 Batman Begins $205,343,774
7 Madagascar $193,202,933
8. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,330,528
9. Hitch $179,495,555
10. The Longest Yard $158,119,460
11. The Fantastic 4 $154,677,101
12 Robots $128,188,302
13. Chicken Little $119,104,436
14 The Pacifier $112,810,234
15 The 40 year Old Virgin $108,945,768

Goblet of Fire could past War of the Worlds by next sunday or sometime next week at latest. The question then is will anything past it? It should finish somewhere between 275-300 (I am thinking 285 right now) Will Kong or Narnia make more than 285 is the question.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. War of the Worlds $234,280,354
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $233,803,862
4 Wedding Crashers $209,128,068
5. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,459,076
6 Batman Begins $205,343,774
7 Madagascar $193,202,933
8. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,335,511
9. Hitch $179,495,555
10. The Longest Yard $158,119,460
11. The Fantastic 4 $154,685,693
12 Robots $128,188,302
13. Chicken Little $124,973,549
14 The Pacifier $112,810,234
15 The 40 year Old Virgin $108,945,768

Goblet of Fire will pass War of the Worlds today. Where it will finish I am still not sure, should make 275 at worst right now, so probably somewhere between 275-300. I am going to say about 285 right now.

[CMJ]

It's hard to say. With all releases it's gonna be dropping theaters like crazy soon. I'm thinking more like 270-275M.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well Narnia didn't hurt that bad theater count wise and most of the new releases aren't wide until the 25 that is the weekend that will hurt it, but I am confident it will make 275 after that I am not sure that might be as high as it go. Still considering the last two films made 261 and 249 that is still impressive and I sure wouldn't be disapointed in that. Heck that was my prediction before it opened :p
Another thing, the movie is doing great overseas, has made 570 million World wide going into this weekend. Since overseas numbers aren't figured out during the week it could be at close to 650 after this weekend. It will probably make between 850-900 WW and edge out Revenge of the Sith as the #1 movie WW for the year. The only film that could top it is Kong, although I am not sure if that can reach those heights.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $254,485,801
3. War of the Worlds $234,280,354
4 Wedding Crashers $209,218,368
5. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,459,076
6 Batman Begins $205,343,774
7 Madagascar $193,202,933
8. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,336,279
9. Hitch $179,495,555
10. The Longest Yard $158,119,460
11. The Fantastic 4 $154,693,150
12 Chicken Little $129,240,868
13. Robots $128,188,302
14 The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe $122,739,357
15 The Pacifier $112,810,234
16 The 40 year Old Virgin $109,289,008

Right now I think GOF will do at least 275 could do as much as 290, although I doubt that, probably low 280's which would be great. Narnia should finish 240-270, IMO. King Kong, no idea, could finish 180 range or up close to 250, have to wait another week for it.

[Yog]

I think Kong will go above 200M easily. It seems like the kind of movie that will have great legs. Note: I never believed in a huge opening for Kong.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Right now I think Kong will go over 250, not sure, I am guessing 220-250 at the moment and it will finish 4th or 5th for the year.

[Jedi Master Carr]

King Kong might be in trouble now. Yesterday it fell to 4.8 million and Narnia past it to retake #1. If Narnia is #1 this weekend over Kong, Kong will not make 200 million.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $267,407,264
3. War of the Worlds $234,280,354
4 Wedding Crashers $209,218,368
5. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,459,076
6 Batman Begins $205,343,774
7 Madagascar $193,202,933
8. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,336,279
9. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe $183,116,192
10 Hitch $179,495,555
11. The Longest Yard $158,119,460
12. The Fantastic 4 $154,695,569
13 King Kong $135,632,875
14 Chicken Little $130,813,868
15. Robots $128,188,302
16 The Pacifier $112,810,234
17 The 40 year Old Virgin $109,289,008

Walk the Kine should inch over the 100 mark by the time Oscars come out. The only other film to have a chance is Fun With Dick and Jane and I think that won't do it right now. As for the rest of the list, I think Harry is safe at #2, I think it will do between 280-290 right now (it is making 2 million a day during the holidays. Narnia should make somewhere between 260-280 and Kong 220-240.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $277,724,469
3. War of the Worlds $234,280,354
4 The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe $228,281,863
5 Wedding Crashers $209,218,368
6. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,459,076
7 Batman Begins $205,343,774
8 Madagascar $193,202,933
9. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,336,279
10 Hitch $179,495,555
11. King Kong $176,826,950
12 The Longest Yard $158,119,460
13. The Fantastic 4 $154,695,569
14 Chicken Little $132,365,679
15. Robots $128,188,302
16 The Pacifier $112,810,234
17 The 40 year Old Virgin $109,289,008

Harry Potter should cross 290, I wish it could do 300, but unless WB really pushes it, I doubt it.
Narnia should do between 270-285 and finish third for the year. King Kong looks to finish between 215-230.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith $380,270,577
2. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $281,516,498
3. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe $247,777,824
4 War of the Worlds $234,280,354
5 Wedding Crashers $209,218,368
6. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $206,459,076
7 Batman Begins $205,343,774
8 Madagascar $193,202,933
9. King Kong $192,678,805
10 Mr. and Mrs. Smith $186,336,279
11. Hitch $179,495,555
12 The Longest Yard $158,119,460
13. The Fantastic 4 $154,695,569
14 Chicken Little $132,863,585
15. Robots $128,188,302
16 The Pacifier $112,810,234
17 The 40 year Old Virgin $109,289,008

Narnia is up to #3, it could make as much as 280-290 right now. GOF is inching towards 290 and Kong 220-230. One thing interesting to note Goblet of Fire passed Revenge of the sith world wide 851 to 848 respectably. I am not surprised, Potter is defintely more popular overseas than Star Wars is.