Box office weekend 15

[Jedi Master Carr]

Okay 4 day weekend totals here and two new movies. War of the Worlds and Rebound, pick Friday-Monday gross. Have until Saturday 9AM good luck.

[CMJ]

1. War of the Worlds - 73.50M
2. Batman Begins - 19.51M
3. Bewitched - 13.23M
4. Mr. and Mrs. Smith - 12.42M
5. Rebound - 11.07M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 War of the Worlds 69.56
2 Batman Begins 21.47
3 Bewitched 17.23
4 Mr and Mr Smith 12.66
5 Rebound 10.99

[Yog]

1. War of the Worlds - $80.09M
2. Batman Begins - $23.52M
3. Mr. and Mrs. Smith - $13.56M
4. Bewitched - $12.22M
5. Rebound - $9.77M

[Yog]

Friday Estimates

WAR OF THE WORLDS 23.2 59.4
BATMAN BEGINS 5.3 141.7
BEWITCHED 3.3 33.6
MR. AND MRS SMITH 3.3 136.3
HERBIE: FULLY LOADED 2.8 29.4
MADAGASCAR 1.9 167.4
REBOUND 1.7 1.7
STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 1.2 362.6
LONGEST YARD THE 1.0 145.3
LAND OF THE DEAD .9 14.4

[CMJ]

Rock on. :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Different numbers from Mojo huge difference for some movies
1 WOTW 21.5
2 Batman Begins 4.515
3 Mr and Mrs. Smith 3.185
4 Bewitched 3.09
5 Herbie 2.82

So why the big difference between shobiz and Mojo? That is a 2 million difference for WOTW, Batman is about 800k still a sizeable difference. Only the bottom films seem to be the same, not sure why the big difference.

[Yog]

I have no idea, except it would not be the first time showbiz got it wrong. WotW got 66M estimated for the 3 day weekend.

BOM estimates:
Friday $21,500,000
Saturday $22,700,000
Sunday $21,800,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah Showbiz is off a lot, and I have no idea why.

[Yog]

Again, for saturday there are differences in showbiz and BOM numbers:

Estimates for Saturday (showbiz)
WAR OF THE WORLDS 24.6 84.0
BATMAN BEGINS 6.6 148.3
MR. AND MRS SMITH 4.0 140.3
BEWITCHED 3.6 37.1
HERBIE: FULLY LOADED 3.0 32.3
MADAGASCAR 2.0 169.4
REBOUND 1.9 3.6
STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 1.5 364.1
LONGEST YARD THE 1.1 146.4
LAND OF THE DEAD 1.0 15.4

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah I noticed that, I guess we will have to wait to see the studio estimates tomorrow and see what really happened.

[Yog]

Bah, looks like even BOM numbers were messed up. Here are the most recent weekend estimates:

3-day weekend
1 N War of the Worlds - $64,525,000 $100,207,000
2 1 Batman Begins - $15,685,000 -43.1% $151,146,000
3 3 Mr. and Mrs. Smith - $10,225,000 -39.2% $143,584,000
4 2 Bewitched - $9,100,000 -54.8% $38,606,000
5 4 Herbie: Fully Loaded - $8,669,000 -31.8% $35,001,000
6 6 Madagascar - $5,400,000 -27.4% $170,800,000
7 N Rebound - $5,000,000 $5,000,000
8 7 Star Wars: Episode III - $4,025,000 -34.2% $365,496,000
9 8 The Longest Yard - $2,925,000 -47.1% $147,613,000
10 5 Land of the Dead - $2,681,000 -73.8% $16,176,000

4-day Weekend (4th of july)
War of the Worlds Par. $77,600,000
Batman Begins WB $18,685,000 -32.3%
Mr. and Mrs. Smith Fox $12,700,000 -24.5%
Bewitched Sony $10,800,000 -46.4%
Herbie: Fully Loaded BV $10,508,000 -17.3%
Madagascar DW $7,000,000 -5.8%
Rebound Fox $6,000,000
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $5,000,000 -18.2%
The Longest Yard Par. $3,525,000 -36.2%
George A. Romero's Land of the Dead Uni. $3,244,000 -68.3%

[Yog]

The studio estimates were fairly accurate.

4 day actuals

1 N War of the Worlds Par. $77,061,953
2 1 Batman Begins WB $19,339,432
3 3 Mr. and Mrs. Smith Fox $12,723,583
4 2 Bewitched Sony $11,076,523
5 4 Herbie: Fully Loaded BV $10,762,050
6 6 Madagascar DW $6,701,584
7 N Rebound Fox $6,003,237
8 7 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $5,031,463
9 8 The Longest Yard Par. $4,004,317
10 5 George A. Romero's Land of the Dead Uni. $3,255,585

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah only Batman was a million low, WB has been low on their estimate of that movie every weekend now.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Winner of Movie #1 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #2 CMJ
Winner of Movie #3 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #4 Master Yoghurt

Weekend points
Master Yoghurt 100
CMJ 60
Jedi Master Carr 50

Contest totals
Master Yoghurt 435
Jedi Master Carr 390
CMJ 335
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

[Lilaena De'Ville]

What happened to Jedieb?? :eek

[Yog]

I am not sure, he stopped playing I think :(

Of course, he is more than welcome to join the game again. Its more fun and competitive every week that way.. (and I get to show him who is the daddy!) :hat

Next weekend btw (week 11), I will have to submit my predictions early as I am going to Stocholm/Gothenborg friday morning 8th of july and not coming back until the 20th of july. I will just let Brandon Gray at BOM do my picks for week 12, if thats ok. So if someone could post my week 12 picks when the thread is up, it would be cool. Should give you guys plenty of time to sabotage my flimsy lead.. ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Heh we will sure try. And if I don't have the new thread up you are welcome to post you week 11 pick here. About Jedieb well I am guessing he didn't have the time, heck I was disapointed in the lack of players this is the worst year we have had. It is probably because three regular players didn't play. Marcus isn't really around, not sure about Ryan and Reaper I guess doesn't have time either.

[Yog]

Week 11 predictions

1. Fantastic Four - $42.67M
2. War of the Worlds - $36.8M
3. Dark Water - $17.54M
4. Batman Begins $8.8M
5. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $6.67M

[CMJ]

1. Fanastic Four - 42.95M
2. War of the Worlds - 31.14M
3. Dark Water - 14.86M
4. Batman Begins - 9.27M
5. Mr. and Mrs. Smith - 6.55M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Heh I will just edit the thread might be the easiest thing to do.

[Jedieb]

I haven't had the time to keep up. It's the first time I've checked in on the contest in a couple of weeks and I see Satan's evil runs unchecked yet again. We're facing the End of Days people, the End of Days......

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL well there is still time for me or CMJ to beat him :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 Fantastic 4 47.44
2 War of the World 35.68
3 Dark Water 18.55
4 Batman Begins 10.21
5 Mr and Mrs Smith 7.33

[Rutabaga]

If FF ends up making more money on its opening weekend than BB did, then that's gonna be pretty disgraceful o_O

[ReaperFett]

Originally posted by Jinn Fizz
If FF ends up making more money on its opening weekend than BB did, then that's gonna be pretty disgraceful o_O

5th movie in a series vs Movie that looks good for families.

[Rutabaga]

I'm just being cranky. I saw the FF trailer each time I saw ROTS, and it got worse and worse each time. To me, it's the equivalent of water torture. That trailer plus the trailer for Stealth (which I've been forced to sit through before ROTS as well as BB and WOTW) have nearly moved me to commit murder.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I think it will have horrible legs, considering the reviews, heck I don't think it will make 60 probably 55-58 for the weekend and end up making like 130 max. I see Hulk legs with this piece of crap.

[ReaperFett]

Most people I have heard from have enjoyed it. I'm going to listen to the people over the critics (Read Ebert's review? Apparently Human Torch looks just like The FLash and Sue Storm has the same powers as Storm :) ).

[Jedi Master Carr]

You see I have never liked a movie that was this universal hated by the critics, besides I can't like it because of the changes with Doom I despise the movie for those changes alone. I refuse to ever see it.

[ReaperFett]

BOM estimates...

1. Fantastic Four $56,000,000
2. War of the Worlds $31,300,000
3. Batman Begins $10,216,000
4. Dark Water $10,127,000
5. Mr. and Mrs. Smith $7,850,000



Oh, and ROTS just passed Passion of the Christ.

[Jedi Master Carr]

About what I expected after the Friday estimates. F4 I think will have bad legs end up 125-150, could be similar to Van Helsing. WOTW dropped but it should still make close to 250. Batman had a great drop has an excellent chance at 200 now.

[Jedi Master Carr]

weekend actuals
Fantastic Four Fox $56,061,504 - 3,602 - $15,563 $56,061,504 $100 1
2 1 War of the Worlds Par. $30,469,118 -53.0% 3,910 +2 $7,792 $164,978,282 $132 2
3 2 Batman Begins WB $10,012,444 -35.9% 3,344 -421 $2,994 $171,901,777 $150 4
4 N Dark Water BV $9,939,251 - 2,657 - $3,740 $9,939,251 - 1
5 3 Mr. and Mrs. Smith Fox $7,872,275 -25.5% 2,781 -204 $2,830 $158,669,309 $110 5
6 5 Herbie: Fully Loaded BV $6,060,511 -31.3% 3,002 -519 $2,018 $48,292,675 $50 3
7 4 Bewitched Sony $5,583,833 -39.0% 3,014 -174 $1,852 $50,934,671 $85 3
8 6 Madagascar DW $4,009,053 -26.3% 2,162 -364 $1,854 $179,259,220 - 7
9 7 Rebound Fox $3,024,349 -39.9% 2,464 - $1,227 $11,513,266 - 2
10 8 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $2,600,800 -36.3% 1,355 -404 $1,919 $370,819,889 $113 8

Here is the weekend winners
Winner of Movie #1 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #2 CMJ
Winner of Movie #3 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #4 CMJ
Winner of Movie #5 Jedi Master Carr

Weekend points
Jedi Master Carr 60
CMJ 45
Master Yoghurt 15

Master Yoghurt 450
Jedi Master Carr 450
CMJ 380
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

Pretty close between the three of us. It looks like it will be a close finish.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Going to just continuing using this thread. Two new films, Charlie and the Chocolate Factor and Wedding Crashers.

[CMJ]

1. Charlie & the Chocolate Factory - 51.01M
2. Wedding Crashers - 29.90M
3. Fantastic Four - 22.96M
4. War of the Worlds - 14.95M
5. Batman Begins - 6.34M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Charlie & the Chocolate Factory - 46.77M
2. Wedding Crashers - 26.21M
3. Fantastic Four - 24.26M
4. War of the Worlds - 16.81M
5. Batman Begins - 7.88M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Oh and for Yoghurt here is Mojo's predictions

1 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory 57.7
2 Wedding Crashers 28.3
3 Fantastic Four 22.6
4 War of the Worlds 15.9
5 Batman Begins 6.4

[Jedi Master Carr]

Charlie made almost 21 million on friday according to Showbiz, man I knew I should have went higher. It looks like it will make 60-65, IMO right now. The way I see it F4 did like 21 and ended up making 56 but that was a very friday frontloaded film. Charlie is a kids movie which will have a Saturday increase and a small sunday decrease.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Winner of Movie #1 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #2 CMJ
Winner of Movie #3 Master Yoghurt
winner of Movie #4 CMJ
Winner of Movie #5 CMJ

weekend points
CMJ 65
Master Yoghurt 65
Jedi Master Carr 25

Master Yoghurt 515
Jedi Master Carr 475
CMJ 445
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

[CMJ]

Same thread?

If so - here are mine for this weekend.

1. The Island - 39.63M
2. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 26.96M
3. The Wedding Crashers - 18.75M
4. Bad News Bears - 18.32M
5. Fantastic Four - 11.01M

[Yog]

1. The Island - $37.56M
2. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - $29.32M
3. The Wedding Crashers - $16.94M
4. Bad News Bears - $15.33M
5. Fantastic Four - $10.12M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 The island 38.45
2 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory 31.21
3 Wedding Crashers 18.77
4 The Bad News Bears 17.11
5 Fantastic Four 10.66

[Yog]

Friday estimates (showbiz):

CHARLIE AND THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY 9.0 94.9
WEDDING CRASHERS 7.7 62.8
ISLAND, THE 4.4 4.4
BAD NEWS BEARS 4.2 4.2
FANTASTIC FOUR 3.6 112.3
DEVIL'S REJECTS, THE 3.1 3.1
HUSTLE & FLOW 2.7 2.7
WAR OF THE WORLDS 2.5 202.3
BATMAN BEGINS 1.1 190.2
MR. AND MRS SMITH 1.1 172.1

Ouch, ouch ouch for The Island.. :eek

[Jedi Master Carr]

Wow man the Island bombed, I mean the Bad News Bears I expected to do 12-15 but man. I guess Charlie will be number one again should do 30-32 for the weekend.

[James Prent]

Well, we're heading out to see The Island tonight - I think it looks like it's going to be fantastic. :D

[CMJ]

Whatever the quality of The Island(and i can't say either way since I haven't seen it) there's no doubt this is a huge disaster.

I guess the US can start dropping screener copies of it over Iraq now.


http://www.emeagwali.com/interviews/national-society-of-black-engineers/national-conference-orlando-florida-2002/nuclear-explosion.gif

[Yog]

:lol CMJ

Its a bomb allright. 120m budget ~12M opening. Ooow.

Seriously though, what went wrong? The trailers look pretty good to me. For some reason no one seemed to care going to watch it. Had anyone said it would make less then 20M this weekend, I would think they were crazy. Heck, I felt pretty sure it would make minimum 30M.

[CMJ]

It's on the scale of a Postman I'd say. Not quite a Pluto Nash but it's in select company. ;)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I saw the trailer for it with Star Wars and I couldn't figure out what the movie was about, it showed nothing of the plot just a few action scenes. I think it was bad marketing that killed this movie. I guess it can join Kingdom of Heaven although I am sure the island is worse.

[jjwr]

I saw the initial trailer during Star Wars and it looked interesting, you have people who are being cloned and then getting harvested and one finds out and tries to get away. Sounds interesting enough, problem is in every trailer I've seen since then they don't convey that, its a jumble of action sequences, kissing, etc with no real point.

22% for Wedding Crashers....wow!

[Jedi Master Carr]

Originally posted by jjwr
I saw the initial trailer during Star Wars and it looked interesting, you have people who are being cloned and then getting harvested and one finds out and tries to get away. Sounds interesting enough, problem is in every trailer I've seen since then they don't convey that, its a jumble of action sequences, kissing, etc with no real point.

22% for Wedding Crashers....wow!

Yep you hit the nail on the head there. The trailers were horrible. Terrible marketing job by Dreamworks. And I know Wedding Crashers's drop was amazing. Looks like it will be the #1 Adult comedy of the summer (not sure if it can beat Hitch). Not sure if Charlie will make it to 200, it still could, I think 190 is the worst it will do.

[Jedi Master Carr]

winner of Movie #1 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #2 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #3 CMJ
Winner of Movie #4 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #5 Master Yoghurt

Weekend points
Master Yoghurt 40
Jedi Master Carr 20
CMJ 15

Contest points
Master Yoghurt 555
Jedi Master Carr 495
CMJ 460
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

[CMJ]

1. Stealth - 22.77M
2. Wedding Crashers - 17.88M
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 17.06M
4. Must Love Dogs - 13.81M
5. Sky High - 10.90M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 Wedding Crashers 19.77
2 Charlie and the Chocolate Factor 18.21
3 Stealth 17.32
4 Sky High 17.10
5 Must Love Dogs 13.22

[Yog]

1. Stealth - $25.21M
2. Wedding Crashers - $17.23M
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - $16.55M
4. Must Love Dogs - $15.34M
5. Sky High - $9.69M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I guess I am the only one that sees Stealth really bombing. I guess after the island combined with the reviews I just don't see it doing that well.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Friday estimates from Showbiz

WEDDING CRASHERS 6.0 101.8
CHARLIE AND THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY 5.2 136.7
STEALTH 5.0 5.0
SKY HIGH 4.8 4.8
MUST LOVE DOGS 4.4 4.4
FANTASTIC FOUR 1.9 129.2
ISLAND, THE 1.8 20.5
BAD NEWS BEARS 1.7 18.8
WAR OF THE WORLDS 1.5 214.3
HUSTLE & FLOW 1.2 11.7

Stealth is following the Island here. Sky High might even make more this weekend. Looks like #1 is between The Wedding Crashers or Charlie.

[Yog]

Yeah, Stealth does incredible poor. In a way its not that shocking, because it had a very poor WOM even before the release, and there were some early reports indicating that. But on the other hand, this was wide release, high profile and I am guessing expensive budget, so its safe to call this a "flop" if not outright a bomb. But you know what, part of me is happy that the american audience could see through the marketing for what clearly seems to be a rubbish movie. The cynical side of me said "but wait, this is a special effect loaded action movie focused on military technology and lots of eyecandy. The americans probably love this crap.. 25M easily". I am happy to see I was wrong, and that there is hope for human civilization after all.. :)

Oh, and what does the lukewarm BO numbers the last 2 weeks tell me? Sadly, it looks like the summer season is pretty much over and there are no movies left in the nearby future with blockbuster potential. Boxoffice is allready entering autumn sleeper mode, and most likely wont spring back to life until christmas season (Kong, Narnia and HP). Personally, I think this is because Hollywood is releasing less and less original and good quality productions that folks are willing to spend expensive ticket money to see. I thought last year was bad in many ways, but now I realise this year is forming up to be quite a bit worse quality wise. Rehashing the same formulas over and over again simply wont be enough to guarantee a hit these days, and thats actually a good thing IMO. If there was a "slump" this year, Hollywood can blame themselves for it.

[Rutabaga]

I'm actually going to go see Sky High tomorrow, because it simply looks like a fun movie. I'm not expecting Shakespeare or something of Oscar caliber, not by far, but as long as I'm entertained and smile, that's all I'm looking for.

And that'll be it for me until late September, until The Corpse Bride comes out. So yeah, summer is essentially over movie-wise. I too am glad to be seeing that Stealth is bombing, being forced to see that trailer so many times made me crazy because it just looked so incredibly poor. I'm also hoping that The Dukes of Hazzard bombs, because that also looks like it's just a big ol' piece o' garbage.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I bet Dukes opens huge, teenagers will eat that film up, I can just see it already. I bet it makes 100 easily. That really is the last big summer film. Unless, one of the horror Films Skeleton Key or that one from Wes Craven comes out and surprises us.

[CMJ]

I saw Skeleton Key last week. It has the potential to be a real sleeper hit. One of the better horror movies of recent years IMHO. Not that that's saying much because most are crap, but I enjoyed it greatly.

[Jedi Master Carr]

cool the trailer looks good so that is why I said it has a possiblity. The Wes Craven film is Red Eye now that looks creepy starring Murphy from Batman Begins (The Scarecrow) it has potential as well.

[Yog]

Weekend estimates (BOM):

1. Wedding Crashers- $20,475,000
2. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory- $16,385,000
3. Sky High- $14,590,000
4. Stealth- $13,500,000
5. Must Love Dogs- $13,050,000
6. Fantastic Four- $6,800,000
7. The Island- $5,600,000
8. War Of the Worlds- $5,435,000
9. Bad News Bears- $5,425,000
10. March Of the Penguins- $4,131,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

Stealth is a bomb the equal to The Island.

[Rutabaga]

I did see Sky High today, and it was a lot of fun. If you're looking for something deep and dark and intellectually challenging, well, this isn't it, but it you're looking for a bright, fun, clean movie you can take the whole family to and enjoy, then Sky High is the perfect destination :) :) :).

[Jaime Tomahawk]

Originally posted by Jedi Master Carr
Well I bet Dukes opens huge, teenagers will eat that film up, I can just see it already. I bet it makes 100 easily. That really is the last big summer film. Unless, one of the horror Films Skeleton Key or that one from Wes Craven comes out and surprises us.

Is it too much to hope that such a pointless and frankly awful lookng POS fails big time? If I wanted to see cars jumping and sliding about, I'd watch WRC, not this dreck. The TV series was bad enough.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Sure, but I know teenagers will go see this type of flick. It won't make much more than a little more than 100 million hopefully that little bit amount doesn't secure a sequel. And I thought the same thing about F4 and that made more money that I wanted it to.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Winner of Movie #1 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #2 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #3 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #4 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #5 Jedi Master Carr

Weekend points
Jedi Master Carr 70
Master Yoghurt 20
CMJ 0

Contest points
Master Yoghurt 575
Jedi Master Carr 565
CMJ 460
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

I am catching up to you Yoghurt :p

[Yog]

Im traveling for a week and wont be back until friday the 12th. So here is my early box office prediction for this weekend:

1. The Dukes of Hazzard $33.09M
2. Wedding Crashers $14.92M
3. Sky High $10.12M
4. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory $9.79M
5. Must Love Dogs $8.22M

[CMJ]

1. Dukes of Hazzard - 29.60M
2. Wedding Crashers - 14.75M
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 9.41M
4. Sky High - 8.80M
5. Must Love Dogs - 7.56M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Dukes of Hazzard - 35.55M
2. Wedding Crashers - 13.92M
3. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory - 9.91M
4. Sky High - 8.21M
5. Must Love Dogs - 7.11M

[jjwr]

Dukes had a rough weekend, 12M on Friday, 9.6 on Saturday and down to 8.9 on Sunday. With 1st weekend drops like that its 2nd weekend #'s are going to be scary.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Here are the results

Winner of Movie #1 CMJ
Winner of Movie #2 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #3 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #4 CMJ
Winner of Movie #5 CMJ

Weekend points
CMJ 65
Jedi Master Carr 40
Master Yoghurt 35

Contest points
Master Yoghurt 610
Jedi Master Carr 605
CMJ 525
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

[CMJ]

Last weekend just killed my chances.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah you will have to win every weekend from here on out and do amazing on Labor to do it. Right now its between me and Yoghurt.

[CMJ]

1. Dukes of Hazzard - 14.36M
2. Duece Bigelow: European Gigilo - 14.29M
3. Wedding Crashers - 11.74M
4. Four Brothers - 11.21M
5. Skeleton Key - 9.07M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I guess Deuce Biglow 2 will be the worst reviewed movie of the year 3% at RT ouch.

[Yog]

1. Four Brothers $16.78M
2. The Dukes of Hazzard $13.33M
3. Skeleton Key $12.42M
4. Wedding Crashers $11.99M
5. Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo $9.91M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 Four Brothers 17.54
2 Dukes of Hazzard 13.99
3 Skeleton Key 13.01
4 Wedding Crashers 12.45
5 Deuce Bigalow 9.11

[Yog]

Weekend estimates

1 Four Brothers 20,700,000 - 20,700,000
2 Skeleton Key 15,794,700 - 15,794,700
3 Dukes Of Hazzard 13,030,000 -58% 57,477,823
4 Wedding Crashers 12,025,000 -25% 164,051,116
5 Deuce Bigalow: 9,400,000 - 9,400,000
6 Charlie And Choc 7,260,000 -34% 183,787,906
7 March Of The Penguin 6,730,000 -5% 37,605,105
8 Sky High 6,100,000 -32% 43,289,527
9 Must Love Dogs 4,585,000 -38% 34,614,926
10 Great Raid, The 3,374,124 - 3,374,124

[Jedi Master Carr]

4 Brothers is a surprise defintely, the same with Skeleton Key.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Winner of Movie #1 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #2 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #3 Master Yoghurt
Winner of Movie #4 CMJ
Winner of Movie #5 Master Yoghurt
Weekend numbers
Jedi Master Carr 60
Master Yoghurt 35
CMJ 10

Contest Totals
Jedi Master Carr 665
Master Yoghurt 645
CMJ 535
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

[CMJ]

Another bad weekend for me..lol

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah that sucks you went out on a limb and it failed. Looks like it is between me and Yoghurt now and I have the lead with three weeks to go :p

[CMJ]

1. The 40 Year Old Virgin - 21.49M
2. Red Eye - 14.26M
3. Four Brothers - 11.77M
4. Valiant - 9.25M
5. Wedding Crashers - 8.35M

[Jedi Master Carr]

I think Red Eye is going to be big, probably only mid 20's but it has been everywhere and probably the best horror/thriller of the year.

1 Red Eye 24.67
2 40 year Old Virgin 23.22
3 Four Brothers 12.01
4 Valiant 10.11
5 Wedding Crashers 8.77

[Yog]

1 Red Eye $22.54M
2 40 year Old Virgin $19.96M
3 Four Brothers $13.11M
4 Valiant $11.32M
5 Wedding Crashers $9.01M

I agree with you Red Eye is going to be a hit, question is how much. Trailer is smoking hot and reviews are glowing.

[Yog]

Weekend Estimates

1 N The 40-Year-Old Virgin Uni. $20,555,000 - 2,845 - $7,224 $20,555,000 $26 1
2 N Red Eye DW $16,500,000 - 3,079 - $5,358 $16,500,000 $26 1
3 1 Four Brothers Par. $13,000,000 -38.6% 2,649 +116 $4,907 $43,631,000 $45 2
4 4 Wedding Crashers NL $8,275,000 -30.1% 2,920 -211 $2,833 $177,915,000 $40 6
5 2 The Skeleton Key Uni. $7,420,000 -53.8% 2,774 +3 $2,674 $30,144,000 $43 2

Well, Jedi Master Carr. Looks like we messed up on Red Eye :p

[Jedi Master Carr]

Yeah we did, looks like CMJ was all over this one. I think Red Eye might have good legs and make it to the 80 million range and that is a hit concidering its budget. Man and where is Valiant?? That is a big bomb for Disney, couldn't even crack the top 5.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Weekend actuals
1 N The 40-Year-Old Virgin Uni. $21,422,815
2 N Red Eye DW $16,167,662
3 1 Four Brothers Par. $12,487,537
4 4 Wedding Crashers NL $8,002,613 -
5 2 The Skeleton Key Uni. $7,725,495




Winner of Movie 1 CMJ
Winner of Movie 2 CMJ
Winner of Movie 3 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie 4 CMJ

K now here is the thing, CMJ is the closest to a movie that I have seen in a long time, he is 70 thousand off. Here is the difference
21.422
21.490
I think I came about 100 thousand from a movie once this year but nobody has come closer since I installed the price is right rule, so for that I am rewarding him the bonus prize I think I set it as 50 (if there is a disagreement with that we can fix it). Yoghurt you have any problems with that? It would make the contest incredilby close the last weekend. I just figured that is the closest I seen somebody get since before we put that rule in place (I remember JMK getting that close once before it).
Okay weekend points
CMJ 120
Jedi Master Carr 20
Master Yoghurt 5

Contest Totals
Jedi Master Carr 685
CMJ 655
Master Yoghurt 650
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

[CMJ]

WTF?! :lol

Awarding me bonus just to make it competitive. Hey, that's cool. :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

LOL Well I want to see what Yoghurt says, you were darn close to it though I think I came with 90 some thousand for some movie I can't remember what. I didn't want to reward it for me though heh.

[Yog]

Sure, I am cool with that :)

[Lilaena De'Ville]

Red Eye was an awesome movie. :D:thumbup

The 40yr old Virgin was hilarious, and sweet in the right places. I liked it.

[CMJ]

I might change....

1. Brother's Grimm - 14.77M
2. Forty Year Old Virgin - 14.67M
3. Red Eye - 7.95M
4. Four Brothers - 7.43M
5. The Cave - 7.01M

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 40 Year old Virgin 15.88
2 Brothers Grimm 13.77
3 Red Eye 9.43
4 Four Brothers 7.61
5 The Cave 7.01

[Yog]

1. Brother's Grimm - $15.65M
2. Forty Year Old Virgin - $13.88M
3. Red Eye - $8.67M
4. Four Brothers - $7.33M
5. The Cave - $6.87M

[Jedi Master Carr]

Winner of Movie #1 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #2 CMJ
Winner of Movie #3 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #4 Jedi Master Carr
Winner of Movie #5 Master Yoghurt

weekend points
Jedi Master Carr 75
CMJ 35
Master Yoghurt 20


Contest Totals
Jedi Master Carr 760
CMJ 690
Master Yoghurt 670
Jedieb 95
Clive Solo 5
Liam Jinn 5
Drake Shadowstalker 5

Anybody want to concede heh just kiding. Seriously since you have double points with Labor Day maybe I could be caught.

[CMJ]

1. 40 Year Old Virgin - 15.32M
2. Transporter 2 - 13.79M
3. Brother's Grimm - 9.23M
4. Red Eye - 8.54M
5. Constant Gardner - 6.90M

[Jedieb]

The Devil in 3rd!? First the hurriance, now this. It's armaggedon!!!!!!!!! :crack

[Jedi Master Carr]

Heh Jedieb, and I might win, which would be shocking since I haven't finished better than 3rd before now. Here are my picks

1 Transporter 2 18.54
2 40 Year old Virgin 16.21
3 Brother Grimm 9.55
4 Red Eye 8.77
5 The Constant Gardner 8.04

[Yog]

1. Transporter 2 19.52
2. 40 Year old Virgin 16.55
3. Red Eye 9.12
4. Brother Grimm 8.75
5. The Constant Gardner 8.22

[Yog]

It aint over before the fat lady sings. If these estimates hold, I will do a full sweep.. :p


Studio estimates - 4 day labor day weekend:

Transporter 2 $20,250,000
The 40-Year-Old Virgin $16,550,000
The Constant Gardener $10,804,000
Red Eye $9,300,000
The Brothers Grimm $7,930,000

[Jedi Master Carr]

90 points is still a tough to over come maybe we will have to see, besides the estimates could be wrong :)

[Jedieb]

I jinked it. Son of bit............ :shootin

[CMJ]

Way to screw it up Eb. :)

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well I have been dreading doing but I am conceding you won Yog. I know you won all 5 movies. I could calculate the points but it would show up that way. I guess I have been putting this off for several reasons, time, I have been very busy with work and stuff, second disapointment not just the fact that I lost but that it was a disapointing year in only 4 of us participated for more than 2 weeks.
Now I guess it is hard for people to it takes time, and you have to keep up with and I understand that. But I honestly probably won't be doing it again. I really might not have time next year for various reasons anyways, but I won't stop anybody else from doing it go for it if you want to, maybe you will have better luck than me.
Now I want to congratulate Yoghurt you won you have beatest us several times at this and I have to say you are the best at it. Sometimes, I don't know how you do it. Finally, I want to say overall the last few years doing has been fun, I enjoyed it until the latter part of this summer. As you have noticed I stopped making new threads and got real lazy and just continued this one and I stopped even changing the title. Some of it was time and the rest was that nobody was playing. Still, it was a blast to do and I don't regret it. So Congrats Yoghurt you are defintely the best at the box office contest.

[CMJ]

Congratulations Yoghurt. :crack :rollin :thumbup

[Yog]

:rollin

Thanks Carr and CMJ for the kind words. I know what you mean about time. This year, I have not had the time to do the kind of research and calculations I did in previous years on the movies, and sometimes, maybe that show. But I have to say this: Even though only 3 people played all the way to the end, you two really gave me a hard time with some extremely accurate predictions. Your picks were rarely much off from the final numbers, which show you do know your stuff when it comes to Box Office. I was saying to myself "do I go higher or do you go lower?".

Before the last weekend, I did not think highly of my chances to win, and honestly had a whole deal of luck. Only thing I knew was that I needed one heck of a streak to make up for the 90 point difference. I could easily gone lower on "40 year old Virgin" and then you would be the winner, regardless of the results of the other movies. Basically, I said to myself, "I undercut it last week, and I will be darned if I do it again!". I overpredicted that one with mere $15K.

Thanks for the good sportsmanship and good competitive spirit, keeping it going all the way through the summer. Previous years, I felt like I had some level of control, but this year, I was like "Holy crap! I better shape up, or they will beat the crap out of me!" You had me up against the wall on this one :)

As for future contests, I agree there should have been more people playing. And the current format takes a lot of time and energy out of the participants I guess. But that does not mean we should stop talking about box office. Maybe instead of full contests, we could have prediction threads like "what will be the top 5 christmas movies" what will be their opening/final gross etc.

I am pondering what will be the top movies next year. Superman and Da Vinci Code will be huge next summer. Then there are a whole lot of sequels, X-men 3, Pirates of Carribean 2, The Fast and the Furious 3, Mission Impossible 3 etc.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Originally posted by Master Yoghurt
As for future contests, I agree there should have been more people playing. And the current format takes a lot of time and energy out of the participants I guess. But that does not mean we should stop talking about box office. Maybe instead of full contests, we could have prediction threads like "what will be the top 5 christmas movies" what will be their opening/final gross etc.

I am pondering what will be the top movies next year. Superman and Da Vinci Code will be huge next summer. Then there are a whole lot of sequels, X-men 3, Pirates of Carribean 2, The Fast and the Furious 3, Mission Impossible 3 etc.

Ok I could go for this, we would have to come up with something maybe just make general threads and talk about what will will rule the holiday season or summer. That is easier and just as fun.

[Jedi Master Carr]

One thing I see wow I never saw that Exorism movie make almost 30 million this weekend, 11 million Friday estimates is incredible.